I'll offer some crit on the democrats at the end. But first...
Following up on the Republican convention, were you puzzled by… or even cynically dismissive of… The Donald's LGBT remark and Ivanka's feminist riff? I take a less jaundiced view, deeming those to be much more than just perfunctory toss-offs. Indeed, they were likely significant moments, testing the waters for how big a “veer to the center” the Trumps can get away with in the general election campaign.
Following up on the Republican convention, were you puzzled by… or even cynically dismissive of… The Donald's LGBT remark and Ivanka's feminist riff? I take a less jaundiced view, deeming those to be much more than just perfunctory toss-offs. Indeed, they were likely significant moments, testing the waters for how big a “veer to the center” the Trumps can get away with in the general election campaign.
Both of them
know that their confederate followers love to wrap themselves in virtue
and to shout: "we're not the bigots,
liberals are!" Remember, there’s almost no evidence in Donald Trump’s
past suggesting that this cynical, Svengali-manipulator actually believes any
of the racist stuff he’s been spouting. (Sexism, sure. But even that may be
complicated.)
I’ve long held it plausible that he might backtrack from any
polemical device that no longer suits his purpose. He’s done it before. (Remember the ‘birther” stuff?)
With the perfect Tea Partier Mike Pence guarding Trump's right flank, you can expect him to veer toward center in carefully chosen ways.
In fact, there'd be a
silver lining for the entire nation to his candidacy, if Donald - in the
debates - suddenly announced "I've
studied harder" and that he ‘now
understands’ the deep-rooted flaws in climate denialism and anti-science
campaigns and supply side 'voodoo economics.’ Shrugging aside any inconsistency
with his patented insouciance, he’d simply say “that’s behind us now…” just
like all his old birther obsessions and both calamitous Bush presidencies. (Bush
who?)
Any other candidate who flipped like that would suffer, but not DT. And millions of his followers would imitate his blithe shrug. “Denying climate change? Oh, we’re not doing that anymore. Move on. And anyone mentioning the word “Bush” is just digging up the past.”
Heck, do not be shocked if he suddenly, at a debate, declared support for legalizing pot! Even though only blue or bluish states have done it so far, and no other GOP officeholder has done anything but oppose, I doubt his evangelical base would raise a peep. And he could grab another 2% of the vote at a swoop, unless HC is ready.
Sidestep the Obamacare issue by suddenly supporting Medicare for everybody? I am telling you, he can reach out with grabs like that and barely shake his base. They are not Trump supporters because of past-failed GOP policies. He is their caudillo - that is enough.
Any other candidate who flipped like that would suffer, but not DT. And millions of his followers would imitate his blithe shrug. “Denying climate change? Oh, we’re not doing that anymore. Move on. And anyone mentioning the word “Bush” is just digging up the past.”
Heck, do not be shocked if he suddenly, at a debate, declared support for legalizing pot! Even though only blue or bluish states have done it so far, and no other GOP officeholder has done anything but oppose, I doubt his evangelical base would raise a peep. And he could grab another 2% of the vote at a swoop, unless HC is ready.
Sidestep the Obamacare issue by suddenly supporting Medicare for everybody? I am telling you, he can reach out with grabs like that and barely shake his base. They are not Trump supporters because of past-failed GOP policies. He is their caudillo - that is enough.
When this happens at a debate, Hillary Clinton must not stare in shock, or leap to accuse him of flopping. The dems
would be fools not to practice and carefully advance-calibrate HC's reaction to
such zinger surprises. (And Donald loves surprises!) Indeed, it might make
sense to congratulate him on shifting
the GOP permanently from one or two insanities.
Anyway what has he
got to lose, by dropping fact-disproved manias like denialism and Supply Side?
Making Kochs, Saudis and Murdochians mad at him? This is Trump’s party. For
now. Screw em.
== Will he
really do that? ==
Now, let me admit that I have been forced to backtrack a bit. Ever since I made my prediction -- that DT would perform some sudden, surprise veers to center. I first offered that prediction when it seemed that his core trait was fiercely intelligent, manipulative self-control.
Now, let me admit that I have been forced to backtrack a bit. Ever since I made my prediction -- that DT would perform some sudden, surprise veers to center. I first offered that prediction when it seemed that his core trait was fiercely intelligent, manipulative self-control.
Ah well. That was then. In the months since, we have witnessed
that Donald Trump’s primary personality trait is emotional, mercurial impulsiveness
and utter lack of discipline. Sure, he’s still a feral genius at polemics!
But for that reason, I have backed off somewhat from betting for a center-veer.
I’m no longer offering even-odds.
Despite his and Ivanka’s testing the waters in Cleveland, a
genuine center-veer would require laser-like focus, which we now can see DT
lacks. Still, I do offer 1:2 odds that some such judo surprises are in the offing.
That is why I am hoping Hillary Clinton chooses as her debate-prep surrogate opponent...
That is why I am hoping Hillary Clinton chooses as her debate-prep surrogate opponent...
== Tagliani
to the rescue ==
... Minnesota Senator Al Franken, a
man of supreme, caustic wit, a trained actor-comedian and someone who could channel the Donald role with ferocity, even having fun with it during the many
rehearsals.
Which means he will have to jar and insult and rattle HC, teaching
her to answer judo with judo. As Designated Trump, Franken will have the role
of a lifetime, and it will test HC’s vaunted ability to shrug off almost
anything. Which is why it may take guts on her part (but tons of brains) to
give him this job that he was born for.
My own message to Senator Franken... or whomever HC chooses for Designated Donald ... include some surprising center-veers in your repertoire!
Trump has shown he has no firm principles, at all. So
'channel' an opponent with the agility of a mercurial psychopath. (I’ve
stored up some great zingers… but no one will be asking me.)
Al Franken (AKA Pete Tagliani*) can do this.
== The missing word ==
Did anyone else notice the absence of a particular word, at the GOP convention? It was missing, almost the entire time, avoided like some horrible, infection. Which of course it was, for almost half of the last 26 years.
A word that was synonymous with Republicanism and deserves to remain so, since it says so much about their style and outcomes of governance. A word that every single speaker strove feverishly to distract us from remembering.
Bush.
And make no mistake. Though he avoids mentioning the two worst presidents of our lifetime (and I include Nixon), Donald Trump would appoint thousands of Bush factotums back into positions of power, going back to that noxiously corrupt and poisonous well. When a party is deeply ashamed of its last two presidents, shall we deem it likely they need some time away from power, to think things out?
Oh, but thinking is no longer what it's about.
== The missing word ==
Did anyone else notice the absence of a particular word, at the GOP convention? It was missing, almost the entire time, avoided like some horrible, infection. Which of course it was, for almost half of the last 26 years.
A word that was synonymous with Republicanism and deserves to remain so, since it says so much about their style and outcomes of governance. A word that every single speaker strove feverishly to distract us from remembering.
Bush.
And make no mistake. Though he avoids mentioning the two worst presidents of our lifetime (and I include Nixon), Donald Trump would appoint thousands of Bush factotums back into positions of power, going back to that noxiously corrupt and poisonous well. When a party is deeply ashamed of its last two presidents, shall we deem it likely they need some time away from power, to think things out?
Oh, but thinking is no longer what it's about.
== Ah, the Donald ==
Who knows a person better than the ghostwriter of his/her
autobiography?
Your spouse is biased - either positive or negative (in a decent
marriage- both! ;-) - as are business partners and siblings. But a skilled
biographer who spent weeks and months with you, attempting to channel your
'voice', your philosophy, the crises you overcame and your sense of self?
That's intimate and deeply knowing. Most biographers wind up identifying with
their subjects, conveying empathy/sympathy for them. Especially biographers who
do a great job making you look and sound like a billion bucks.
Ah. But now see how Donald Trump's ghostwriter for The Art of the Deal - the best-seller
that helped make DT a major public figure - speaks out.
Trump seems to have forgotten that he didn't really write
the book. Moreover, the actual (ghost) writer, Tony Schwartz, now says that he would gladly rename it The Sociopath. (Bear in mind that by breaking his silence clause, the
author exposes himself to a HUGE Trump-patented lawsuit. So this takes some
guts.)
== Calling on a gifted artist! ==
Remember the Disney
musical Mary Poppins? Well, the following excerpt from one of the songs has
only one word altered.
“Come feed the little birds,
Show
them you care
And
you’ll be glad if you do
Their young ones are hungry
Their
nests are so bare
All
it takes is trumppence from you.
“Feed the birds, trumppence a bag
Trumppence, trumppence, trumppence a
bag
Feed the birds, that’s what she cries
While overhead, her birds fill the
skies.”
So, might a satirical
cartoonist show that the “little birds” are billionaire coal and oil and Wall
street barons? And the skies filling with pollution? Just sayin’.
And finally…
== The Democrats' turn ==
Bernie’s terrific DNC speech had one chief flaw. He did not zero in hard on Congress. For 20 of the last 22 years, under Ryan, Boehner and McConnell, the GOP-led Congress has been the laziest, most worthless legislature in US history, especially since their beloved (now a convicted child molester) Dennis Hastert declared a rule to “never negotiate!” even (especially) when legislation might benefit the American people.
Bernites need to recognize that their campaign for a friend in the White House will only be 75% successful with HC elected. Tough. So? That also means maybe 80% satisfaction with the Supreme Court picks. Aw, poor babies.
What this means is the right place to shift their radical energy - especially in non-battleground states - is state and local and congressional races, where the liars who have hijacked the GOP must be ejected, finally reviving our legislative branch of government and transforming many states from dens of cheating into islands of progress for their citizens. (Thus enabling our conservative neighbors to re-evaluate and return to a saner version of their movement.)
The presidency is just one piece. If you got Bernie in the White House, and no change in Congress, all you'd have won is four years of whining-kvetching. I know. Bernie is an almost perfect clone of my dad.
Stop whining. Stop kvetching. Listen to Bernie. Go down ticket, where politics is really done.
