Sunday, February 06, 2011

Nobel for Wikileaks? Transparency and Society Stories... etc

First off... drop in at YouTube for my latest offering... reading aloud a popular passage from my novel Earth. “First came a supernova, dazzling the universe in brief, spendthrift glory, before ebbing into twisty, multi-spectral clouds of new-forged atoms. Swirling eddies spiraled until one of them ignited – a newborn star. The virgin sun wore whirling skirts of dust and electricity. Gas and rocks and bits of this and that fell iinto those pleats, gathering in dim lumps…planets…One tiny worldlet circled at a middle distance…”

A Nobel Prize for Wikileaks?

"WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange may soon have a new accolade to add to his resume -- "Nobel Prize winner." Reuters reports that a Norwegian parliamentarian has nominated WikiLeaks for what is arguably the world's most prestigious prize. "By disclosing information about corruption, human rights abuses and war crimes, WikiLeaks is a natural contender for the Nobel Peace Prize," said spokesman Snorre Valen."

Hm, well, for starters, it is Wikileaks and the principles of transparency that are actually nominated, not Assange. Heck, since the ideas were heavily promulgated by me in EARTH (1989) and in The Transparent Society (1997) ain't I just as responsible? ;-) Seriously, as you'll learn when I start posting my major analysis of the WikiLeaks Affair, I find Assange individually arrogant. His particular priorities and statements range from cogent to borderline crazy...

...but you cannot always choose your heroes or self-appointed paladins of transparency. Indeed, Assange has "done good" with his leaks in ways that no one would ever have imagined, certainly not him! Most surprisingly, his leaks have had the overall effect of vastly enhancing the credibility and reputation of the United States Government around the world, at a time when it was badly needed - a result that was almost-certainly diametrically opposite to his intent.

In any event, a Nobel for this KIND of activity would be a very important statement of support for the general movement toward world transparency. If the symbol for this movement must be Julian Assange, then so be it.

(Stay tuned, I will soon offer a suggestion that combines an old sci fi idea from Earth with WikiLeaks transparency and events in Egypt, offering a way to both benefit the people of that country and start the whole world down a road that is radically better and more hopeful than ever.)


The Physics of Terror : Mathematicians and physics look for patterns in terrorist campaigns and frequency that might allow prediction of future threats. Terror events follow a power law, similar to earthquakes: more frequent attacks result in fewer deaths, while infrequent, large events kill the most people.

Debunking Theories of a Terrorist Power Grab. A power-system expert at Penn State recently refuted theories that our power infrastructure is highly vulnerable to terrorist attack.


Are your apps spying on you? Your smartphone contains a wealth of personal data about you: your current location, contacts, phone numbers, age, gender, buying habits.  A survey by the WSJ found that 56 out of 101 popular smartphone apps regularly transmitted such personal info without the user’s knowledge or consent, often to tracking companies. As "Mr. Transparency" do I shrug this off? Not! Privacy must change. Not vanish!

Here are some privacy icons that tell you how sites use your personal data -- designed by Aza Rashkin for Mozilla.

Five Cyberthreats to watch for in 2011.

In Wired Magazine: 2010: The year the internet went to war.

President Obama is calling for an online privacy bill of rights -- to protect consumers and shield personal data from tracking. At this point, it would be voluntary, with sanctions from the FTC. Under discussion: a 'do-not-track' option, similar to the do-not-call list to block telemarketers.

Computers that See You and Keep Watch over You describes how facial recognition software is being used in prisons, hospitals, law enforcement, and the workplace. It is also used to sample audience reactions, as well in the front against terrorism.

Ten Ways a digital Big Brother can be good for you, by John D. Sutter, CNN. "These days, Big Brother doesn't need to do much snooping. We just tell him what we're up to." Yet, there are ways that this omniscience has improved our lives: health monitors, disaster response, traffic maps, smart city grids, environmental sensors, monitoring earthquakes...


Facing a crisis in drug abuse, Portugal decriminalized possession of all illicit drugs in 2000, focusing on treating instead of punishing drug addicts. The results: an increase in the number of people who tried drugs -- but drug abuse declined, especially among youth. More drug addicts are in treatment. Police now focus on high-level drug traffickers; there’s been an increase in drugs seized. Read the experiment.

This issue shows that different regions have different blind manias. Europeans seem far more ready than Americans to accept calm, modernist, rationalist revisions of old ways. Revising stupid-awful drug prohibition is one of these. If Portugal gains a good track record with this, and other Eurostates follow, the statistics might get so overwhelming that California can follow. (Europeans have their own manias - e.g. that the universe owes them half a lifespan of pure leisure, and that honorable work - potentially one of the greatest parts of human existence - is an inherently evil thing.)

Do artificial beings deserve human rights? by Mike Treder, director of IEET To what degree will we anthropomorphize orbits and artificial intelligence?

Do you distinguish pronunciations for pin vs. pen, cot vs. caught, father vs. bother? How about Bach’s, box & balks? Even after the homogenizing influences of radio, TV, the internet, and the increased mobility of the last few decades, regional distinctions persist across America. This site has a fascinating wealth of information on American dialects, with maps and audio samples of regional speech patterns.

To aid the cash-strapped U.S. Postal Service, an adviser to the Postal Regulatory Commission has proposed adding sensor arrays to postal trucks, to turn the fleet into a widespread data collecting operation -- collecting real-time data on weather, pollutants, gaps in internet coverage, poor road conditions, as well as detecting chemical or biological threats.

Tidying my pile of miscellaneous items to share:

I gave an interview to "The Eerie Times" - a sci fi fan site - mostly about my career as a science fiction author.

Renowned author Robert Sawyer offers an interesting essay about how scientists and Sci Fi witers take both similar and very different approaches to dealing with a future that contains plenty of opportunities and dangers.

Telomerase-based rejuvenation? Or a great way to ignite a storm of tumors?

Did I show you this one yet? More than half of the predictions are right on!

Recently leaked: the original draft of the script for _The Empire Strikes Back_ by Leigh Brackett ... Quite different from what finally made it to the screen. It seems the credit for this being by far the best SW film falls unto Kasden, not Brackett, after all. In any event, this shows one of my pet peeves. There must be (literally) more than 10,000 scripts kept locked up by various producers and studios, some of them no-doubt trash... but others which may be genuine gems of writing. Why can we not at least read them as literature?

When you cut past all the excuses and rationalizations, it really boils down to “embarrassment insurance”... Suppose one in a hundred revealed but never filmed scripts gain a following and praise from critics, perhaps even letters urging that the screenplay be released for somebody to film. How does the studio benefit? Well, sure, in one percent of THOSE cases, they might get spurred into actually resurrecting a once-dead jewel and benefit enormously! But meanwhile, the ghosts of many past mistakes would be let loose, and even a glorious resurrection would result in recriminations. “What idiot squelched this in the first place!”

No, it is beyond unjustifiable - and a travesty-betrayal of the purpose of "intellectual property" - for them to be locked away forever. But what do you expect, given that Hollywood had become so cowardly that the rare non-sequel is trumpeted automatically as “brave,” what would you expect?

Gates, on the seductive lure of idiotic cynicism (a disease that infests both the left and the right). As John Stuart Mill said in 1828, in a quote from the book that I especially enjoyed: "I have observed that not the man who hopes when others despair, but the man who despairs when others hope, is admired by a large class of persons as a sage."

The most concise scientific paper ever.

Have a look at my friend Lou Aronica’s new crossover fantasy novel BLUE.

I was badgered recently to offer up my forecast for December 21, 2012! All right, here goes! On THAT VERY DAY the sun will appear to undergo REVERSAL in its path across the sky! Not the east-west rising-setting, but in its north-south travels! On that particular day - as foretold by ancient astronomers and many of today's top scientists (though they aren't talking about it!), the sun will (to the astonishment of many!) stop appearing to move ever farther south, each day at noon.

From that day forward, and for a period that I predict will last six whole months, each noon will see the sun passing through a point farther north than on the previous day! Arcing ever-higher in the sky of the northern hemisphere, this change of course will bring with it massive waves of weather change all across that hemisphere, causing ice and snow fields to melt and water to come flooding down mountains and valleys to the sea! Moreover, sometimes unbidden or unwanted by man, green growths will start infesting almost every outdoor surface! Insects will appear, individually and even in swarms, accompanied by flocks of noisy birds! In some locales, there will be frogs, or beasts, intermittent periods of darkness, and even outbreaks of vermin! Politicians and cable news folk will proclaim reasons to panic!

And thus winter will finish turning into spring... and spring into.... SUMMER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Whereupon, on June 21, 2013... just in the nick of time... I predict the Earth will be saved when (to the surprise of many) the Sun's ever-rising noontime passage will reverse. And yes I am daring to be specific and exact in my prophecy! And from that day forth - for a time I am willing to calculate for you - its lifegiving force will seem to ebb away toward the very bottom of the world.

=== More stuff...

Cool! the Bureau of labor statistics lets you calculate in a shot what an amount was worth at any point in the period since 1913.

Tyler Cowan’s new book: The Great Stagnation seems to cover some of the same territory (much more deeply!) as my graphic novel about industrial decline:TINKERERS

See a thought provoking parallel between Egypt in 2011 and tragic Turkey in 1911.

Variant movie listings in TV Guide: It's a Wonderful Life: "An accused criminal's descent into madness is interrupted by a visitor from a distant star, who brings about an episode of mass hysteria after a visit to a hellish parallel universe."


«Oldest   ‹Older   201 – 206 of 206
Michael C. Rush said...

>>That IS the underlying meme, guys. Otherwise, the list of crimes, in your mind, wi=ould be as detailed on their side of the ledger as on the other.

I'm trying to understand your point, truly I am, but I just don't see anyone making the argument that you are describing, either here or anywhere else (I'm sure you could find some nuts somewhere to cite--one always can). But are you really claiming that current average-American sentiment toward Arabs ("terrorists, towel-heads, oil-extortionists, anti-modern feudalists, sexists par excellence, nuke-'em-into-the-stone-age") really produces a PRO-Arab bias so strong that everyone forgives them all their sins just in order to pile on Israel? Or is it supposed to be only blue-staters who feel this way, not the good ol' Arab-hating red-staters?

Everyone I've seen discuss the issue with any knowledge and nuance acknowledges a history fraught with error, venom, and bad action on both sides. Is it really worth the quibble of whether a given side deserves 21, 62, or 78% of the blame (a determination that is impossible to make, in any case)? Wouldn't everyone be better served by a focus on developing a solution and an international refusal to tolerate illegal and immoral actions on either side? Maybe that's a bit too pragmatic for some, but I don't see any advantage in wallowing in ideology at this point.

Acacia H. said...

You know, this actually explains the entire Middle East (and Northern Africa) (and perhaps Central Africa) quite well: the entire region is suffering from Post Traumatic Stress Syndrome. And the victims are turning on their own children, resulting in a culture of abusers and abused who don't know when or even how to quit.

It's tragic, when you consider it that way.

Rob H.

acksib: what you say when you walk in on a sibling in the bathroom

Paul said...

"the entire region is suffering from Post Traumatic Stress Syndrome."

Tabs of ecstasy and group therapy for everyone!

David Brin said...

" But are you really claiming that current average-American sentiment toward Arabs ("terrorists, towel-heads, oil-extortionists, anti-modern feudalists, sexists par excellence, nuke-'em-into-the-stone-age") really produces a PRO-Arab bias so strong that everyone forgives them all their sins just in order to pile on Israel?"

Of course not! This is one of the lunacies of the left.

The left does have some, you know. Just because 99% of today's madness and nastiness and danger is on the right does NOT mean the left lacks reminders of how awful it can be... and was horrifically worse in the past.

"Wouldn't everyone be better served by a focus on developing a solution and an international refusal to tolerate illegal and immoral actions on either side?"

I totally agree! But to hold up a double standard is not a good place to start. And for sites like that one about Huckabee to spread outright, deliberate knowing slanderous LIES is no way to start either.

But onward. We share a passionate belief that RIGHT NOW is the time for Israelis to get their shit together, shrug off the PTSD and be seen joining this revolution.

David Brin said...

Onward to next post

Hypnos said...

Dr. Brin: I think the first point that is being lost here is that Arab states are not the same thing as the Palestinian nation. I have more respect for Israel than Arab states because it has never employed the Palestinian plight to sustain an oppressive regime, as many Arab - an non Arab, in the case of Iran - states do.

And it is also true that the Arab states should have been more welcoming of the Palestinians - but still, two thirds of Palestinians do no, in fact, live in Palestine anymore. And yet they feel as bound to their land as they were the day they left it, 60 years ago for some of them.

But you seem to be suggesting that all could be solved if just the Palestinians GAVE UP and moved to the Arab states - because after all, they're all Arabs.

That's like saying Catholic Norther Irishmen should have just moved to the Irish Republic.

The Palestinians have a right to live in their own land - and for every offer of peace Israel made to Arab states, it never made a compelling offer to Palestinians, for Palestinian statehood. And as recent leaked documents show, the Palestinians had conceded nearly everything, including the right of return.

Israel still say no.

When I say that Israel is an aggressor state, I'm saying it as it concerns its relationship to the Palestinians. Cast Lead, the Gaza blockade, the occupation of the West Bank - it has nothing to do with defending itself from an existential threat that no longers exist. It is about driving the Palestinians out and annexing their land to create a Greater Israel.

And I know about the Grand Mufti' and Black September and what have you. That doesn't change my overall opinion. Because there is one side that has power, and if that side wants to be recognized as a liberal democracy that respects human rights, it has to act like one. It's not a double standard, it's a higher standard.

«Oldest ‹Older   201 – 206 of 206   Newer› Newest»