Tuesday, September 09, 2025

How a hero might escape the Blackmail Trap: a chapter of near-future what-ifs that could (and should) happen today...

Last time I promised to post this, in order to illustrate how a single hero might turn the tables on blackmailing tormentors, perhaps saving the nation, as well as himself. It's a chapter from a novel in-progress. One that stalled, because I am too old now to drop everything for a year just in order to learn FBI procedures and all that. 

And yet, after blathering about this for many years -- the plot driver for this story suddenly seems totally real life. And I feel compelled to post at least this one scene...

...because it might - just maybe - rouse someone out there to do the right thing. The heroic thing for our country and our world. And be remembered for it, forever. 


== Unbecoming Intimidation ==           

 

           Swire and Lessig were already there, sitting about halfway up the broad steps of FBI HQ, crumpling wrappers from our favorite bite and byte shop, the URL of Sandwich, as I approached... discovering anew each day how much freedom of movement I used to take for granted, back when I could lift my knees all the way.  And stair climbing was going to get worse. 
            Swire wore a tie with his usual denim, a concession for today’s big meeting. His rugged, scruffy look always said “I work undercover, so eat yer heart out.”  Field agents had an escape clause from the FBI’s prim sartorial reputation. 

            Lorenzo Lessig, on the other hand, looked dapper, even professorial, using his briefcase as a seat to protect the rayon of his suit from rough concrete. He stood up, brushing away nonexistent crumbs, then offered me his arm in a courtly, latin manner.  I turned it into a manly handshake.  A thing we do.

            “You didn’t save me any?” 

    I glanced with a moue toward the crushed and unpromising wrappers.

            “Didn’t you just have lunch with your father?” Swire’s headshake rattled a ponytail that might once have been dirty blond, though now it seemed more dirty, with fading hints that presaged early gray.

            “Ancient history. Ten minutes ago. Next time, bring me something anyway.”

            “Pregnancy, God’s back door to gluttony.”

            “That’s not even clever.”

            He shrugged. Lessig grinned.  “Well I think it is wondrous. And I truly must thank you, Isabel, for giving me the password to view life’s miracle.”

            Born in Tampa to a New York retiree and a nurse from Trinidad, he truly had no excuse for putting on these latin airs.  But Lorenzo wore the role well. Also, he spent more time undercover than Pete did.

            “To view life’s... Oh yeah. The womb cam. Sometimes I forget it’s in there.”

            He smiled. Perfect teeth, aquiline nose and dark complexion. “I think perhaps you tell a lie, Isabel. I will wager that you check developments, many times each day. I know that I would, were I you.”

            Involuntary blush response. Find a distraction. I spotted one out the corner of my eye.

            “Cheez-it, guys. The fuzz.”


            They glanced around and saw the same cluster of movement -- half a dozen men and women plus two ambis clustered at the curb, where heavyset drivers in black sunglasses turned to drive away official-looking SUVs after unloading very important cargo.  Ascending the broad steps, all of the former passengers were attired in Washington take-me-very-seriously suits. Only a trained eye could tell that the jackets were made of new, bullet-resisting nano-weave. Any conversation was murmured and innocuous.  These days, you simply did not discuss business out of doors.

            “Deputy fuzz, you mean,” Pete commented. “We all better go in, too, or Her Nibs will assign us to auditing pot dispensaries in Alabama.”

            Her Nibs -- Deputy Director Molly Ringwreath Rogers -- glanced briefly my way as she passed with her entourage. A guarded expression crossed her sharply scupted face as she gave the briefest nod, before resuming her upward stride without interruption.  Athletic. I admired how high she could lift those knees. My own clamber felt awkward, crablike, by comparison. Though I shrugged off Lessig’s gallant hand off my arm. Not yet, Lorenzo. I’ll manage alone, for now.

            Others were converging for the big meeting. Agents, researchers, lawyers and administrators, passing through the great doors and across a broad, polished FBI seal, inlaid across the atrium floor.

            “I’ll go and save us some seats,” Pete said, before hurrying ahead. I couldn’t blame him. In fact, it was probably the right thing to do... though it meant that he missed the grand, surprise entrance that folks would be talking about for... well, forever.


            Lorenzo and I entered ___ Auditorium almost last, lurking at the back and looking for Swire. Most attendees were already seated as the Deputy Director and her chief aides took to plush chairs, onstage to the far left, leaving plenty of room for today’s speakers. I spotted Pete, waving at us with two empty spaces -- one on the aisle for me. I started to nudge Lessig --

            -- when a hand squeezed gently on my shoulder and a rather deep, resonant voice asked: “Would you pardon me, Miss?”

            Tall, square of jaw, with peppered hair slicked in a distinguished cut, the newcomer wore an expensively tailored, dark blue suit with an American flag pin and red silk tie. His gaze swiftly encompassed my condition.

            “Sorry. I mean, pardon me, Madam.”

             “Sure,” I answered, shuffling closer to Lorenzo, wondering. Who makes such distinctions, anymore, because of pregnancy?  

            With my bulk no longer obstructing his path, the tall man murmured a low thankyou and swept on past with a determined air. He looked familiar. As if I really ought to recognize...

            I wasn’t alone in that reaction. Heads turned as elbows jabbed ribs and a wave of sudden silence followed the newcomer, spreading rapidly as he strode down a long aisle toward the front of the hall.  

          For once, Molly Rogers was slow on the uptake. It took an urgent whisper from her assistant for realization to dawn. 

            Hurriedly standing, Rogers stepped forward even as the tall man made short work of eight steps leading to the stage, taking them two at a time. 

            We could all hear every word.


            “Senator. My... what an... unexpected honor.”

            His smile. Later image analysis would reveal tension mixed with eager anticipation that had the taut skin of his cheek throbbing an eleven hertz beat. At the time, from my great distance away, his grin appeared suddenly both familiar and ingratiating. Confident and absolutely determined.

            “It’s Sean fucking McDean!” Swire said, and not just him. The same words skittered around us. Well, pretty much the same. At least the McDean part. Is there an echo in here?

            “No shit?” I was sarcastic, which won a glance of mild disapproval from Lorenzo.

            “Good afternoon, Deputy Director,” the senior Senator from Delaware said, loudly enough for all to discern, even without the amp plugs that many agents were now pushing into their ears. “I am so sorry to be causing a disruption.”

            “Well... sir...” Molly Rogers looked nonplussed. “Is there something we can do for you, Senator? We were about to convene an important meeting --”

            “About the Big Deal. Yes. Very consequential, Madam Deputy Director. Even momentous. Still, I feel obliged and compelled to do something impudent. Something shocking and yet that’s urgent for the sake of our republic.  May I hijack your meeting and your audience for just five minutes?  I promise, on my honor and on my very soul that you will all find it both interesting and worth the time.”


            Still rather stunned, Rogers started to stammer a weak objection, but found herself with no one to talk to, as McDean turned and strode, in three lanky steps, to the nearby podium. From a jacket pocket he pulled out his slim pen-phone and laid it into the lectern’s regular receptacle, turning the pen into a microphone. At once, his voice filled the hall.

            “Ladies and gentlemen of the FBI, those of you both present and tuning in from afar.  Thank you for your kind indulgence and flexibility in allowing me a few brief moments of your valuable time. I’ll let you get back to your scheduled, portentous topic shortly.  But first, let me promise this. What I have to say right now will top anything you expected to witness today!”

            He didn’t bother introducing himself, I noted. Of course, Sean McDean was moderately well-known, a mid-to-upper ranked senator and committee chairman -- though which committee escaped me. I saw agents and techies nearby and all across the hall whip out their phones and pull open scroll screens, or else slip on GuGlasses in order to start glomming overlay data, adding realtime info-gloss as the senator spoke. Both Lorenzo and Pete did that, but I preferred letting it all wash over me, unadorned.

            “I come before you to proclaim and accuse -- as Emile Zola did more than a century ago -- that a terrible crime is taking place! A conspiracy  against the United States of America and against the very possibility of open, democratic government around this increasingly vexed world of ours.”


            Ah. I realized -- or briefly thought I did -- what he had come to talk about. The thing on everybody’s lips -- the Big Deal -- a world treaty whose legal implications, especially for the FBI, were supposed to be today’s topic.  Our scheduled speakers -- one each from Justice, State and Quantico, along with a professor from Georgetown -- sat in the front row.  Pre-empted but as fascinated as anybody.

            “First though,” McDean lifted a hand. “I must ask a question.” He leaned toward us.

            “Are any of you presently aware of major scandals that involve me?”

            The non-sequitur made me blink in surprise. I could tell that it rocked back several of those around me.

            “Not minor stuff!” he continued hurriedly. “None of the usual complaints about this or that misjudged or badly reported campaign contribution. Or rumors that I fudged a grade while at Princeton. Or tales that my son got favors in his bid for that defense contract. Forget about the usual pile of gritty stuff that any politician compiles after thirty years of public service. Mostly baloney but maybe some minor or intermediate sins to atone for... with most of it by now pretty familiar and chewed over by the press.  Putting all of that aside...

            “...please raise your hand if you are aware of something really, really big that’s about to pop, concerning Senator Sean McDean!”

            He paused, and was not the only one turning to scan the audience.  All across the hall, heads rotated. We all looked around.  No hands went up.

            “Now I know that’s not a perfect test,” he continued, voice quavering a little, on a harmonic that denoted tension, blended with tenacity. “Tomorrow, possibly even as soon as I finish up here, some of you will say that you were aware of such a scandal brewing, but could not raise your hand because of legal protocol, or confidentiality, or proper procedure or some similar, lame excuse.  When these colleagues speak, note who they are!  It’s important. And I’ll tell you why.

            “You see, I am being blackmailed.”


            Senator McDean allowed that to sink in.  The hall was dead silent.

            “I was recently shown ‘evidence’  of something awful.”

            He did not lift hands to gesture quotation marks, but his voice put them there.

            “Evidence that was concocted using vividly realistic modern methods, even more advanced than those currently used in Hollywood. I was told that these horrid materials would be revealed to both authorities and the public, if I didn’t comply. Help pass or modify certain bills. Block others from becoming law. The choice I was offered was simple.  Become their lap-dog, their wholly-owned U.S. Senator... or else face ruin.”

            Now, silence gave way to a low murmur. Heads turned and whispers were exchanged. I glimpsed Lorenzo, wearing heavy GuGoggles, use his fingers to pluck at thin air and flick something invisible to the bare-eyed -- something virtual -- past me over to Pete. A link he must have found, online. Pete waved it away and took off his own pair of specs, joining me in the much more fascinating real moment.

            “I strung the conspirators along for as long as I could,” McDean continued. “Pretending to play along. I truly was at a loss, you see.  Would people believe the nasty, so-called evidence that had been concocted about me? Was my life of service at an end? I confess that -- to my everlasting shame -- the temptation to cave-in, though nauseating, did occur to me.  I felt trapped. The possibility of prison or public humiliation can break some men...

            “...or else anger can steel the mind!

            “And so, I got past my moment of weakness. Discretely, I did some research. and came to a stark, horrified realization.

            “I am not the only one!”


            Senator McDean gripped the edges of the lectern so hard that I heard the wood audibly complain with a faint crack. 

            “Let me ask you all something,” he said in a voice suddenly gone both tense and hushed. “Have you ever stopped to wonder why our politics started getting so weird, about a generation ago? I’m not just talking about the cable, web and mesh hate-jockies who keep dividing the people into ever smaller classes of mutual resentment, suckling on the teat of indignant resentment. Nor do I mean the tsunamis of cash that flood through this town, both overt and covert. Indeed, the Big Deal is supposed to partly resolve or reduce that part of things. We can hope. But don’t hold your breath.

            “No, by weird, I’m talking about the way some politicians, leaders, civil servants and other figures of importance keep saying one thing and then doing another. They claim to maintain consistency... adherence to a steady philosophy and agenda. Yet, whatever they touch actually winds up heading in a different direction! Social  conservatives who claim to be vigorously “pro-life” or anti-gay, but who never deliver anything real and always seem to sabotage their side with some ill-chosen words. Did you ever wonder how they could be so stupid?  Or negotiators wrangling new deals for health care or the environment... who somehow leave in place a loophole that lets frackers and frokkers and big pharma companies free to do whatever they please?

            “That’s the sort of thing my blackmailers wanted me to start doing! Maintain my public pose as a fighting reformer! But effectively make sure their subtle agenda kept moving forward! And I realized, it would kill me.  I would die inside, if I went along.

            “So I looked around.

            “Hey, you all know I had a background in computer tech, before seeking public office. I dusted off some of those skills and did a pretty darned sophisticated statistical analysis, based on existing studies of cause and outcome here in Washington. And what do you know? I found clear signs!”

            He leaned forward, intensity in his eyes. “There are hundreds of cases... maybe more! And that’s when I started putting it all together.

            “While we were all obsessed trying to pass legislation to reduce the poisonous effects of money in politics -- from campaign contributions to outright bribery -- we forgot that blackmail is more powerful than other forms of corruption.  If you bribe an official, he may then say “that’s enough for this year.” She may be satiable. There will be limits to how far they’ll sell out their principles.

            “But envision this. What if you have pictures of an under-secretary with a donkey?”

            That roused titters of nervous laughter, especially from prudish Lorenzo.

             “Or a congressman caught with -- what’s the expression? With a live boy or a dead girl? Suppose you have evidence that can send a major official to prison?

            “Do you actually send him to prison?  Or do you use it for leverage. Make him work for you, forever?


            “That’s probably how it all started. Take some starry eyed idealist determined to clean up this town... a freshman congressman or a brilliant administrative appointee. Invite him or her to a high-class party on a yacht.  Separate him from the ones who keep him steady or who provide wisdom in his life. Maybe slip him some drugs or cater to a brief-bad impulse, snap some incriminating pictures, and you’ve got him in your pocket!

            “Realizing this, I looked back at the number of times that I must’ve almost fallen for that kind of trap.  In fact, as many of you know, I did fall once, many years ago, back when I was in the State Assembly! Though it was a simple, clean, consensual lapse, it still makes me twinge with shame. Only the forgiveness of a good woman -- and the people of my district -- let me put that episode behind us and -- with God’s help -- I’ve been a straight arrow, ever since.”

            The Senator shook his head and suddenly veered in tone. I half jumped out of my seat when he pounded the lectern. Bang-echoes bounced around the auditorium.

            “That’s why they resorted to faked evidence, using fantastic tools of image processing, so good that...”

            McDean stopped, perhaps realizing how whiney he was starting to sound. Petulant and self-pitying. So he stood up straight. Letting go of the lectern, he took a couple of breaths, then resumed in a deeper timbre of flat determination.

            “... fakery that’s so masterful, I hold out zero hope that my denials will be believed.  I am resigned to facing a firestorm. Denunciations in the press. Repudiations by my colleagues. The curses of betrayed constituents.... And then there’s my faithful and beloved wife, who will endure hell standing by my side --”

            His voice cracked at that point.  Looking down at his hands. And I felt awed.

            Either he is one hell of an actor... or else psychotic... or the bravest man I ever saw.


            Silence ensued. It bore on and on. Mere seconds that felt much longer, till Sean McDean finally lifted his gaze to sweep the room, steely-eyed.

            “So why am I here? What reason could I possibly have to hector you fine, skilled professionals with this sad tale? The answer is simple.

            “You see, I know my career is toast.  I have just now sacrificed it, rather than succumb to evil plotters and become their tool. Their toy. But I don’t matter.  Let me say that again. I don’t matter at all!

            “I’ve come here today, spilling my guts and proclaiming the likelihood -- though I cannot prove it -- of a terrible conspiracy. Or maybe it’s being done by several different groups. My analysis was pretty crude and subjective. But I brought my accusation here, because you, here in this room, may be America’s last, best hope. Because, if I’m right, our republic is being suborned, and has been for a long time. And the plotters by now have inveigled their way through all the paths and portals and gears of power, taking control over the greatest nation on Earth.

            “I came here today in order to spring their trap upon myself, before your very eyes, daring them to do their worst, and hoping that you --”  he pointed into the audience, somewhere on the left side. “-- or you --” he pointed again. “Or you, or you, will be stirred to investigate all this, perhaps out of curiosity or patriotism or both, despite whatever your superiors tell you! Because some FBI officials may have good reasons to divert you from this matter. And others may be among the suborned... but they can’t get to all of you!”

            Turning left and right, I saw a great many faces transfixed. Captivated. So -- apparently -- was Deputy Director Molly Ringwreath Rogers, who sat staring at the Senator, a look on her face that combined amazement and fascination with... could it be admiration? Was she actually swallowing this fantastic story? I saw her hand go to her ear, listening to something being said by a speaker bud. Muscles tensed along her throat and jaw as she subvocalized a reply, sensed by the pretty -- and functional -- hematite necklace that she wore. The sole accessorized adornment of her severe skirt-suit.


            “I came here...” McDean continued, in a tone I recognized. That of an experienced stump speaker, cranking up the drama toward a big, concluding climax. “I came to ask some of you -- as many as may accept the challenge, the risk, the duty -- to investigate the charges that I’ve raised today! Find proof. Uncover the conspiracy! Reveal this plot and pillory the bastards in the harsh light of truth.”

            McDean spread his arms.

            “But there is another group I’m appealing to right now. Folks who aren’t in this room, but who will doubtless see the recordings later, as they splash and slosh around the world.

            “I’m talking about... I am talking to... all you other blackmail victims out there. Men and women who now find yourself mired in a snare of threats and despair.

            “Perhaps you thought you were the only one. Or among just a few trapped souls. You may even have joined the conspirators by now, rationalizing that their goals are somehow right, as a way to escape self-loathing. A psychological retreat -- your own, personal Stockholm Syndrome.

            “Still, in your heart, you know it’s wrong. And beneath it all, you felt helpless, alone... so terribly alone!

            “But let me tell you now -- you aren’t alone! Moreover, there is still redemption, it can be yours!

            “Just follow my example. Stand up for your country. Find a way to turn the tables. Denounce the sons of bitches and take the resulting heat bravely.

            “Who knows, there may be rewards beyond reckoning, for the first few to come forward! Whistleblower prizes? Book deals? Even forgiveness for whatever drove you to desperate submission.  Especially if you’re among the first to step up.

            “The biggest reward of all? The wondrous feeling that will come with release from your prison! From doing the right thing at last.

            “You don’t believe it works that way?

            “Look at me!”

            At that point, Senator McDean surprised us all by smiling. By grinning.

            “I am about to be ruined, yet I have done my duty ... and I am the happiest man right now on the face of this Earth.”


Sunday, September 07, 2025

Why the Vance (Thiel) transition will only be the beginning. And how the Secret Weapon of the oligarchs may backfire.

While I never believed that Trump had died, I'll certainly join a well-intentioned betting pool over whether he will shuffle off by natural causes before end-of-term. Or even before the 2026 mid-terms. Which makes it important - even now - for us to contemplate potential transitions... or end games.

Whether the proximate cause of departure is physical or mental or scandal-driven or juridicial -- all of them plausible -- folks are already talking about how President J.D. Vance would be a puppet of Peter Thiel and (even worse) the Moldbug neo-monarchist cultists who now roam the White House, providing Peter et. al. with justifying, masturbatory incantations to continue attacking every institution and method of the vastly successful Enlightenment Experiment. The unique endeavor in a flat-fair society and competitive markets that enabled theie comfortable lives and every success of ingrate oligarchs. 

So, will that be it? A smooth transition to the Vance (Thiel) potentate? A simple monarchist coup, establishing CEO-kingship, while finally ending the impudent bourgeoise rebellion of 1776? 

Certainly there would be one silver lining. Ingrate-prepper oligarchs would cease their current efforts to trigger "The Event"... a collapse of civilization, allowing them to emerge later from their plush bunkers as lords among the flies. Why bother, when that power is already theirs, grace-a-Caesar Peter.

Of course only a fool would expect it to last. Not when the planet's quarter of a billion nerds - the ones who know cyber, nano, bio, nuclear and the rest - get fully roused and angry. (You won't like us, when we're mad.) So, even if the neo-monarchist putsch seems smooth at first, it would only set the fuse for Peter the 1st to learn - eventually - the lessons of Charles the first, Louis XVI and Nicholas II. 

But perhaps I am deluded. Scan 6000 years of human history. Were we Americans a fleeting anomaly, in our impudently democratic egalitarianism? Like the brief brilliance of Periclean Athens or daVinci's Florence? The ghost of Machiavelli - Moldbug's supposed role model - can be heard murmuring "So it goes."

Except that I don't think it will be anywhere near that simple. 


           == The wing of the prophet strikes! ==

Because waiting in the wings are the religious zealots typified by House of Representatives speaker Mike Johnson. Remember that Johnson would -- upon Trump's passage from the stage -- thereupon be next in line for the Oval Office. At least until the Senate approves President Vance's appointment of a new VP....

During which interval, Thiel and Vance would be wise to check every meal that they are served. Or the religious affiliations of the bodyguards standing behind them. (Look up Indira Gandhi.)

Or else -- more likely -- one scandal revelation could send Vance tumbling out of the way, in much the same manner as Spiro Agnew vanished from Nixon's line of succession. 

(And yes, the long, long litany of corrupt Republicans goes that far back. Always remember Mike Johnson's 1990s predecessor as Speaker, Dennis Hastert! Similarly chosen by his GOP colleagues to be one heartbeat away from the Oval Office and even then a well-known obscenity of a perv-predator monster. Look him up!)

So. Might a cult religio-caudillo step up to oust Thiel and Vance, replacing CEO-monarchy with theocracy? Robert Heinlein described this scenario in detail, eerily forecasting this mortal hazard to our enlightened, scientific and progress-oriented civilization, with the potential dawning of Nehemia Scudder. (Look up that name, as well!)

Others out there are likening our situation to the late Roman Republic toppling into imperial rule... or the late empire falling to barbarians... or else Idiocracy. I deem those comparisons to be historically simpleminded! Though pushed vigorously by dopes like Chris Hedges or else brilliantly-manipulative scoundrels like Orson Scott Card. Certainly dyspeptic jeremiads do us no good. They only serve the fanatics' End Times fixations.  

       == So. Will it come to all that? ==

Will things come to all that? It shouldn't, as a growing majority of Americans now clearly wish it not to! For one thing, all it would take is a couple of Republican senators to prevent Prez Vance picking a new VP.  And those two need not be 'liberal Republicans.' They might even be radicals on the other side -- looking eagerly toward a Johnson-Scudder supremacy! And the Night of the Long Knives among GOP factions thus begins. Hand me the popcorn.

Or else -- a much finer scenario -- even before the 2026 mid-terms can change the political landscape, five decent Republicans in the House -- (just five!) -- could make Hakeem Jeffries speaker -- or else some compromise person who is a trustworthy adult. An eventuality that could save the life of JD Vance! As the cult's varied factions unite around him, re-joined by necessity... by their common cause of avoiding prison.

And now I know what some of you (all of you?) are muttering. 

"Where are you gonna find that couple of residually-decent, patriotic Republican senators? Or five residually-decent GOP House members, willing to face the right's ire, in order to help save the nation that gave them everything?"


          == The crux-question: what is holding them together? ==

For 20 years I marveled at the spectacularly obedient uniformity of the recent Republican Party. Aside from a few brave dissidents like Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger, they march in lockstep, almost all of them yattering - by nightfall - each day's meme/talking-point issued that morning on Fox. (Many of those memes having originated the day before from a KGB-Kremlin basement.) 

Let's be clear. The 21st Century Republican Party is by far the most disciplined political entity in U.S. history. No one dares deviate a scintilla from Rupert Murdoch's program, no matter how spectacularly nuts and counterfactual it might be.

Which raises the question of HOW? How is such discipline maintained?

I mean, we're talking almost 300 reps & senators, plus their staffs, plus up to 10,000 GOP state legislators, plus increasing numbers of judges, including the blatantly suborned Supreme Court majority, plus so many others totaling several more tens of thousands in the Republican elite, who must be to some degree in-the-know. And many have to be disgusted, realizing that their entire movement has become a tool of cultists and foreign enemies.

Mind you, in his first term, Trump heeded the old guard Republican establishment and appointed grownups to his cabinet. Largely right wingers, sure, but at least most of them were knowledgeable about their new jobs, wanting to do them well. And what happened? 

FORTY of Trump's 44 cabinet appointments later denounced him to varying degrees! Leading to the Donald's great vow: 

No more grownups!  

And lo, there are none. None whatsoever in the cabinet and appointees of Trump II.

And yet, even after recruiting mostly shills from Rupert's harem of Fox yammerers, that gives Trump no peace of mind! No guarantee of the till-death loyalty that old Two Scoops values, above all other traits. 

This round, Don would want better assurance than just picking docile flatterers from the Fox News herd. In fact, I think I know how a former casino mafioso could accomplish it. And has.

 

           == None of the current explanations work! ==

How are the top 1,000 or so republicans kept disciplined, with only a few dozen or so patriotic defectors, so far? Some of you have responded variously with notions like:

- Theory #1: Fanaticism. Those High GOPpers who aren't already mad ideologues have been forced to act that way, by the threat of being 'primaried' out of office in districts that are gerrymandered with double intent. First, to rob all district Democrats of any meaning to their votes. But also in order to multiply the voting power of local radicals.  (I keep offering a partial solution to this!* One that some of YOU might help to do and spread, on your own!) 

And yes, the suborned justices who empowered this crime should be careful, lest someday King Peter or Prophet Mike invite them over for tea, or the view from an upper-story window. While the ghost of Roger Taney moans at their consciences, rattling their sleep with his chains.

But no, mere ideology is a crappy theory to explain such disciplined uniformity! First, because even ideology can be variable, with hair-splitting like we see among liberals, though not among Republicans...

...but also because a hero who wakens from a trance and recants the madness can find other employment at a hundred NGOs, for example. And likely get a hero's treatment by history. And some might even bet on riding a blue wave, if they switch in time. Anyway, a hundred top tier GOP folks can redefine the ideology! Ideologues do it, all the time. 

No. Fanaticism clearly does play a role. But it cannot provide the guarantee of till-death loyalty that Donald Trump so desperately wants and needs. It cannot explain the tight discipline that we observe.


- Theory #2: Lucre. Money. Bribery. Corruption. Those 1,000+ high Republicans, who are complicit in demolition of the Great Republic, might all be in it for the vigorish! 

And sure, tsunamis of cash have flowed into those pockets, for decades. Aided by 'laws and rules' passed by the crooks in legislatures, and supported by corrupt justices. And especially by Trump's firing of nearly all of the Inspectors General across the federal government! Which should have made huge headlines, but simply washed away in the morass of each day's treasons. The "swamp' of K Street lobbyists never had it so good.

But no, mere corruption does not work either, as a theory to explain such tightly disciplined uniformity. I doubt that many of you have met corrupt officials, who tend to be very cautious about appearances! Some will say: "That's enough for this year. If I take any more bribes to do and say stupid things, I'll look like an idiot. Come back next year."

Such satiability is highly variable from one person to the next. But that's the point! It means that corruption-driven discipline is unreliable. Oh, money undoubtedly is a factor. But it utterly does not explain the uniformity. The discipline.


Theory #3:  Cauterized isolation: Under "friend to boys" Dennis Hastert, the 1990s Republican Party banned its members from ever negotiating with the other party without permission from the Speaker and the radical caucus. 200 years of traditional side discussions - cross-party consensus moves which led to civil rights bills and forward looking compromises - were jettisoned by command of the party's new masters. 

Hastert even required that most House GOP reps keep their families in the home district, instead of in DC where their kids might go to school with the children of Democrats, leading to social meetings and (horrors!) even cross party friendships!  (And yes, you are hearing about this here, for the first time. Why?)

This cauterization of contact with the other side empowered radicals to depict Democrats as vile 'demon-rats.' It also had the side benefit of sending House Reps flying "home" every Thursday night, returning to DC late Monday, which left only Tuesday and Wednesday to do the people's business in the Capitol. Leading to GOP-majority Congresses being the LAZIEST and least productive the nation ever saw. Seriously, look it up!


Sure all of the above tactics have clearly contributed to the GOP's stunning, lockstep uniformity in DC - and across the nation - becoming the most tightly disciplined partisan cult in American history. 

Still, those of you who think #1 or #2 or #3 would suffice, shame on you for shrugging off the diversity among your foes! Dismissing them as kneejerk drones who are all the same!  You hate that when they do it to liberals, right?

No, it doesn't work. Not even ALL of those methods, combined, would be adequate to explain what we have seen!

 What's needed, in order to explain Republican uniformity and obedient discipline is something that's coercive enough to overcome all diversity! 

People react differently to bribes or to ideology, but everyone knows what it is like to be afraid.


== The application of coercive pressure ==

The most obvious method of coercion is:

Theory #4: Threats of violence. Yeah yeah. That can work. But threats of violence can lose effectiveness in sudden ways, abruptly becoming counter-productive, as when the threatened person gets really angry and turns to honest cops. It actually happens quite a lot, in cities that suffer intermittently from protection rackets. And those brave storefront shopkeepers are much, much more vulnerable than some multi-millionaire Congressman who can move anywhere. With renown as a hero.

Okay, sure. Heroes need to be... heroic. But are you saying those 1,000+ high GOPpers -- more like 10,000 overall -- include none with any guts, at all? Especially since there are many places in America - and beyond - that would protect them and their families?

Might you coerce a dozen or even a hundred this way? Maybe. But threaten too many and it collapses. Especially if -- as Ghislaine Maxwell clearly has done -- the threatened person can counter-threaten.

 "If I die, the squeal caches that I've hidden in a dozen places will all come out!"

A former casino mob boss would know all about that.

Anyway, there is a form of coercive pressure that can work without any of those disadvantages. And yes, I am talking - and have talked for years - about...

 Theory #5: blackmail.


== The ancient method that keeps on working ==

Blackmail methods have been refined for centuries. Russian secret services have used honey-pot lures to entrap high westerners since the time of the czars. Look up the 1980s scandal of the U.S. Moscow embassy Marine guards. Once ensnared for even a minor infraction, the victim can be nose-pulled through an escalating series of 'favors' until all is lost and they are firmly in the blackmailer's grasp.

Blatant recent examples include a Russian agent who used sex to essentially take over the top leadership of the National Rifle Association! And you actually thought it would stop there?

Now throw in the fact that - just in recent years - THREE Republican Congressmen have spoken of how leading figures in their party regularly throw 'orgies!'

As I discuss elsewhere, the thing about blackmail is that it is self-reinforcing. The victim feels isolated, helpless and all alone. And when it is supplemented by other factors... perhaps orgies, or bribery, or ideological suasion, or all three... the method is pretty much secure from heroism. I mean, who is gonna step up and reveal it all, when the immediate result will be revelation of your own dark secret? And thereupon demolition of everything you've built in your life? Moreover, there's no place on Earth that will be safe for you. Unless...

...unless, well, you do the hero thing just right. And I will shortly post a chapter from a novel in progress that illustrates exactly how it might be done!


== Oh, Lindsey... oh, Lisa & Susan... ==

I've found it stunning how many of the brightest folks I know, who share my worries about the suicide of a great nation in the EIGHTH PHASE of America's recurring civil war - simply shrug off this blatantly obvious method by which the anti-western cabal -- Putin's KGB plus Confederate MAGAs plus would-be feudal lord inheritance brats -- might enforce disciplined uniformity upon their most valuable tool: today's U.S. Republican Party. 

Down the line, nearly everyone shrugs off even the possibility of rampant blackmail, preferring to dismiss the GOP's collapse into treason as a combination of graft and ideological troglodytism.

Though most will avow to some obvious exceptions! For example, even skeptics nod when the name Lindsey Graham comes up, murmuring: "Okay, I'll give you that one." 

But let's spell i out: When a US senator gets re-elected, he or she then has six years  before being called again to the bar of voter judgement. That might as well be a century. For at least the first couple of years, threats of being primaried should have little coercive dominance, with all that remaining time to win back the hearts of offended constituents. Likewise, after many years in office, you should be able to pick and choose among the bribe offers. Such a senator, at least, should feel free to stand up. 

Lindsey has tried!  Count the number of times he came forth, declaring: "Enough!  This latest travesty of Trump's was the limit. I am done with Trump!"  

Only then what happened? The very next day, he groveled, hurrying to kneel and kiss the ring and gush His Majesty's praises. 

And it never occurred to you to ask how? HOW they curbed Graham's repeated attempts to break-away? Especially when he had six more years in office guaranteed? Come on! Either they have a bomb implanted next to his carotid artery... or else... well, most of you already know where I am going with this.

Then there's Susan Collins, who has spent a decade expressing "sadness" and "disappointment" with the "disturbing" behaviors and "unfortunate" hurts to every American value or decency being wrought by the New GOP. And yet, does she ever effectively VOTE against any of it? Or demand investigations? Or denounce any of the vileness and treason in ways that will matter? 

 Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski has voted against Trump, especially in the 2nd impeachment trial, when there was never any chance of reaching the 2/3 needed for actual removal. In 2021, when asked whether she would remain a Republican, Murkowski replied, "if the Republican Party has become nothing more than the party of Trump, I sincerely question whether this is the party for me." And yet, just like Collins being 'disturbed,' it's all just ineffective sighs atop an endless mountain of effective complicity.

 Hey Brin. Okay, they might - and likely do - have all sorts of kinky or incriminating stuff on Graham. But are you seriously suggesting that Collins or Murkowski are being blackmailed?"

I am. Because they both have male relatives and husbands who might be honey-potted. Though that is just a malign imputation, so let me be clear that I have ZERO evidence for such! 

No. What matters is the pattern of behavior. Which is only explicable by theory #5.


== The ultimate outcome? ==

Okay, Brin. Even supposing you are right. What is to be done? With the FBI caving in to Trumpist pressures like a sugar-cube house that's doused in boiling lard, is there any way out?

Well, I will very soon post that novel chapter showing what a single blackmailed hero might do.

Further, late in the term of former President Biden, I issued a public call for him to offer pardons to any high victims of coercive blackmail who might step up, in the manner I describe. Republican or Democrat, if they help to destroy a major blackmail ring, then they should get some clemency for whatever kompromat the blackmailers hold. (Alas, Old Joe never answered.)

Still, some zillionaire might  even now accomplish much the same thing!  Offer whistle-blower rewards that include full coverage* of legal fees for anyone who steps forward in ways that collapse this travesty. And just the offer, by itself, would draw huge attention to the possibility!  (* And maybe a villa in some non-extradition country?)

Attention is what blackmailers dread most. Even more than their victims fear it. For the victims, there may be some pity, even forgiveness and redemption for whatever got them snared. For blackmailers, there may be a much-feared tsunami of revenge.


== There is so much more ==

We should recall that decades ago homosexuals were banned from government service because of the possibility they might be blackmailed with threats of being outed. And while that scenario certainly still applies to some - e.g. likely two of the individuals alluded to here - it has mostly gone away by the simple measure of ending major persecution of - and normalization of - gays.

Still, there are countless things that remain blackmailable, many of them deservedly so! As Dennis Hastert and so many mostly republican pervs-in-high-office have been outed for pedophilia-predation, over the years.

Which brings us to my final scenario. And this one will make most of you howl in derision! 

"Okay Brin, save such nonsense for a novel! A John Grisham paranoia plot-scheme!  There's no way that in real life... there's no way... there's... wait a minute..."

Are you ready? Well, you'll recall the dilemma faced by the ex-casino mafioso who values till-death loyalty above all other traits? Even after recruiting all of his new appointees - not one of them a qualified grownup - from his favorite yammer-jibber 'news' network, he can never be sure that one or two -- or most -- of them won't turn on him later, when it suits them. So what's he to do?

Please squint and put yourself in his shoes!  As I must do all the time, when imagining the motives, means and opportunities of fictional villains, asking myself "What would I do, if I were such a skullduggerous mob boss, who values absolute loyalty far more than competence, from my henchmen? Especially if I have access to all the skills and experience and technologies of the Kremlin and the slightly relabeled KGB?

The answer is simple:

"If you want an appointment to a cabinet position, you must give me leverage over you. To punish you, if you ever denounce me or publish a tell-all book about me."

For one of the semi-adults who served in the first Trump cabinet - say Tillerson or Barr, Mnuchin, Pompeo or Chao - that demand likely would not work. They all had other options. 

But look at the faces in the coterie of half-wit nothings in the cabinet of Trump v.2! Name one who would not plausibly rush to earn their slot by giving old Two Scoops the desired kompromat! And it could all be arranged neatly in an hour, in a back casita at a certain golf resort, with camera crews standing by. Along with (perhaps) a donkey.

All right. It's a Grisham plot. But if you were Two Scoops, with motive, means and opportunity to guarantee till-death loyalty in this way, what would you do?

 == And finally... Re-Register Republican! ==

I'll offer that chapter from my blackmail novel soon. It's already circulating.

But let me finish with the plea I have repeated for years.

You need to check your voter registration now! Many red states and counties are purging their voting rolls of Democrats or independents. But there is one likely way to safeguard your registration (and tell your friends.)

Re-register as Republican. I did ages ago, back when California was GOP gerrymandered, to vote in the only election that mattered in my district, the Republican primary. In many districts across America, that's the only election that matters. So arrange to vote in it!

1. You won't get purged.

2. You'll have a chance to vote against some monster and for a local Republican who seems like the older-fashioned kind. Maybe conservative, but ,aybe one with a decent heart. 

3. If enough folks do this, boy will it screw up the calculations of the oligarchs behind the current madness.

Spread this method. Grit your teeth and do it. You'll get back at least a little bit of the voting power that was robbed from you! Give it a sigh and take up the "R"! Think of Lincoln and Teddy and Ike, and just do it.


== Finally... and for real finally, this time... ==

Order yours now

For years I've shown clearly that we live in a time that's totally equivalent (in shocking ways) to the 1850s. If you want to prevent things from going full 1860s, we need to show our neighbors that we won't be any less than the heroes who stood up and stepped up to save America and freedom and all hope for an enlightened era.

And hence I've long urged folks to make a Union blue kepi their Halloween-season headgear. (This baseball cap version may more suit your style.) 

Only for more than Halloween, this time. The next fourteen months are crucial. The next TWO months, in California, Virginia, New Jersey and Florida!

So. Order yours now