Friday, July 14, 2023

Choosing sides - and better tactics? - for the battles ahead

First a few culture notes: Like will someone please report back here about the sci fi time travel satire "Command-Z"? 


And here's a fun web page running through 25 great tropes in science fiction.


And maybe I'll see some of you next week at Comicon! At the Thursday evening tribute to Greg Bear and then Friday night's "mental powers of superheroes!" Suggestions about both are welcome, down in comments.



== Do we choose progress? ==


Now a much more serious quandary for those on the activist wing of the Union side in this pivotal phase of the ongoing, 250 year American Civil War. Want to both win and prevent this phase from going-hot? 


Then I'm afraid you are gonna have to choose - as did Martin Luther King and almost every accomplished reformer - whether you seek a broad coalition to achieve pragmatic progress - or instead insist on ‘performative allyship,’ which almost always means bullying allies over matters of sanctimony and symbolism.


The former path - chosen by MLK and so many others - requires that the reformer accept a bitter truth, that progress will be faster and better if it is insistent... but also incremental. Frustrating, perhaps. But each new plateau becomes the assumed base for a still-intact coalition to stand upon, while fighting-for the next next. 


We are seeing the calamitive effects of the other approach - utter dogmatic purity-bullying, in the continued strength of a Mad Right that should have collapsed a decade ago, or more. 


The cost of intransigence is most visible across Europe, as voters turn toward 'populist-right' parties, exactly as Putin, Edogan and others intended when they deliberately sent floods of refugees into Greece, Poland, Hungary and even liberal Sweden. Those who demand across-the-board generosity-purity are not helpful to the world's poor... not if liberal governments are thereupon replaced by quasi-fascist ones.


Often, in this real world, you must choose tactics that prioritize. And the priority that makes the biggest long term difference is called ... power


Choose your fights in order to maintain a coalition that has the power to keep progress happening.



== And maybe even READ a little? To know what you are talking about? ==


Alas, we think we moderns are educated. And in many ways we are. While ignoring basics. For example...


...my parents' generation - who actually actually read both Adam Smith and Karl Marx - were able to come up with innovations that canceled ol' Karl's beloved, violently simplistic but seductive teleological scenarios. (I deem KM to be among the greatest authors of all dire-warning, self-preventing science fiction novels.) As well as demolishing the insipid, crypto-marxist screeds of Ayn Rand


They achieved this by doing something that no Marxist thought possible... actually thinking it through. And then by reforming class in America in rapid increments, without class revolution, under FDR/Truman/Eisenhower. 


A deeply-flawed and partial achievement that we then built-upon with subsequent reforms that (admittedly WAY too slowly!) broke (or at least diminished) one bad habit after another. Addictive human habits (e.g. racism/sexism) that all previous cultures (not just Europeans) clutched to their bosoms as basic assumptions. 


Livid over that assertion? That paragraph? Well, control yourself. No we haven't cured those things, compared to what we oughta be.


 But we've come quite some way compared to ALL the rest of human history. And you are invited to refute that, in comments. (Hint, you can't.)


In fact, we've been growing a bit wiser and more tolerant, grinding step-by-step till the job almost seems halfway done and the planet might (perhaps barely) be saved! If the momentum can be kept up. Built up.

Alas, that campaign of justice and growth may never be completed, ironically, because almost no one alive today has actually read or understood Marx! And thus, bastardized, crude 'versions' are flooding the globe, especially in reflexive response to the current blatant, worldwide attempted oligarchic putsch. 

(Those scheming oligarchs, inheritance brats, casino mafiosi, "ex" commissars and murder princes - wallowing in flatterers and masturbatory prepper fantasies - are certainly no smarter! Do billions of dollars actually lobotomize folks? They seem to!)

== WE are not guilt-free ==

While the Mad Right - waging open war against all fact-using professions - is clearly the main existential threat to our planet and children, that doesn't make our side's loudest voices automatically right about all things! Especially their most sanctimoniously-shouted prescriptions. 

Proof of this can be seen in the pure fact that they never hold conferences to actually and adversarially argue out and criticize and improve those prescriptions!

Think about that! Has there ever been critical debate over the sanctimonious symbolism fetishes that have transformed 'woke' from a liberal rallying call into a gleeful derision, gluing the Mad Right's coalition together? Too many clutch their beloved tactics with desperate sanctimony, instead of showing political agility by refining or replacing those that fail to help on the battlefield. Critical conferences could refine tactics to build coalitions... which is exactly why sanctimony junkies fear and prevent that. 

If they did show the guts to hold argumentative conferences to thrash out alternatives, before issuing grand proclamations - then we might have (for example) discussed far better innovative 'pronouns' - like those that were developed across 50 years of sci fi thought experiments about expanded human sexuality - e.g. by far-thinking pioneers like Varley, LeGuin, Farmer, Zelazny, Cherryh - maybe picking a much better set. Far better than today's spectacularly silly effort to bully everyone into using "they" in ways that only confuse and rankle the folks you need, badly, as allies in this struggle.

Now show me anyone who had the patience to parse the sentences above! If any of you did, great. Now graduate to Marx and Adam Smith. To Eleanor Roosevelt and Paine and Popper and Hrdy and Morgan and Konner.

"It's easy to be right about what's wrong, while being wrong about what would be right." – loosely attributed to Karl Popper. 

Better yet, stand up for sci fi!  Those authors I mention above predicted today's issues (I did too, a bit.) How about pointing that out to raving, come-lately prescribers?


== GOP Goals ==


CORRECTION: A member of this community ("Tacitus") pointed out that the following attempted idiocy was merely ruminated by some WI republican state legislators and never made it to the floor: Okay, this is getting crazy, e.g. the desperation of Wisconsin cheater-assembly members to preserve gerrymandering by impeaching a landslide-elected justice before she enters office - because an end to gerrymandering will cost half of them their jobs and all of them their power. 


(See some much-better, never-discussed fixes for gerrymandering.)


Likewise TN lunatics expelling three Democrat members for shouting, no more than MTG did at the nation's President. 


Or Yang/Lieberman with their blatant-shill, so-called "no-labels" scam - trying the Nader-Stein gambit to once again weaken the Union side in this heating-up phase of civil war. Or Lindsay Graham and McCarthy, blatantly puppetted by blackmail, though each tries to maintain a sliver of credibility by backing Ukraine, unlike many of their KGB-run GOP comrades


And now anti-vaccine nutter-activist Robert Kennedy Jr announces his run for president  - a former liberal eco activist and suddenly great-pal of Michael Flynn and Roger Stone - and acorn blown WAY far from his parental tree. Boy, Putin is throwing in all of his assets. Well... almost all...


Next come the McVeighs, as an ever more frantic Putin-Murdoch cabal decides they have nothing more to lose and throw harsh dice.  



== Okay, breathe... and focus... ==


Changes at the IRS"IRS cuts phone waits, promises better service and crackdown on big corporations and hyper-rich tax evaders and no increase in middle class audits.” 


The flat out top priority of today’s GOP is to reverse Nancy Pelosi’s greatest accomplishment. 

Was that the push for clean energy to save our children? 

And genuine shifts in favor of an overheating planet.

The fantastically successful drive to bring manufacturing back to U.S. soil? 

Moves back toward fiscal balance? 

Finally action (not just talk) about repairing infrastructure? 

Greater equity in drug laws and redressing injustices in incarceration? 


All great stuff and more… (HAMMER would-be splitters who call Biden-Pelosi-Harris 'milquetoast'!)... Still, none of those nation-saving measures went to the guts of what the Oligarchy most cares about. What enrages them.


I am talking about the 2022 dems finally reversing three decades of Republican sabotage of the IRS. Sabotage with the specific aim of helping 400,000 uber-overly-rich, tax-avoiding oligarchs to cheat the nation and the future and the middle class. 


== And finally... ==


Finally: A newly released book, Arguments over Genocide  by Steven Schwartzberg takes a revisionist view of the notion that specifically the Cherokee Nation almost prevailed in its case against expulsion at the bloody hands of Andy Jackson. I’ve argued with the author. But its assertions and evidence do rock such notions. They suggest that religious fundamentalism played a major role in the legal gloss that was laid over such crimes. Visit the publisher’s webpage where you can read more of these reviews.


I've seen bunches of sci fi alternate universe tales imagining what-if Native Americans (or Amerinds) ever got it together (with some allies) enough to fight off white colonialist-settlement invasion? Eric Flint, Harry Turtledove, Pamela Sargent and others have woven such tales and they can be stirring. (Too few ponder the even-far-worse calamities imposed on native folks and cultures in Spanish and Portugese occupied areas, to the south.) I wrote, as a major character in EXISTENCE, a fellow who named himself after Tentskwatawa, the charismatic bother of Tecumseh.


And yet...


The closest that a native people ever came to such success was not achieved by the obstinately macho warriors promoted endlessly by Hollywood, but by lawyers. When the Cherokee Nation took the racist/brutal government of Georgia to the U.S. Supreme Court in the 1830s and won their case. If anyone but Andrew Jackson had been president, then, it might have set a great precedent, instead of bringing on the Trail of Tears. (I have a partial screenplay about that almost might-have-been.)


Which makes me wonder. Did anyone try to establish a law firm in DC and other cities that specialized in representing native tribes? It could have been hugely profitable, if they operated on a contingency 10% basis when they permanently saved some vast swathe of native-own lands. At minimum they could have established which councils had signatory rights, ending the practice of putting 'treaties' in front of a randomly collected cluster of sodden 'chiefs.' (A practice that was more common than outright treaty-breaking.)


Sure, it would have been a palliative, not a solution. But I still throw it out there as a scifi alternate history premise that's far more plausible than, say, Crazy Horse burning his way to Washington.


And that's it for the weekend dance through forbidden thoughts.  Go thou forth and persevere through the heat. We got a world to save.


211 comments:

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gregory byshenk said...

gregory byshenk
I am aware of a couple of introductory books, but they are not meant for a general reader.

Alfred Differ said...
I think I run into those kinds of books occasionally at one of our local bookstores. They are all priced as if students were buying them for classes... meaning triple digits. No flashy covers.

I am familiar with that phenomenon, and it may be relevant here, as well, but not really what I was thinking of. Critical Theory is old enough that there are books available from the 20th century that are not outrageously expensive. It is more that they require too much prior knowledge - or perhaps a professor providing lecture material to fill in the background - and are thus not a good choice for a general reading looking for a basic introduction.

Gregory
Postmodernist thought retains the focus on 'criticism', but tends to be skeptical - if not hostile - to any universalist ideals.

Alfred
In my experience 'hostile' is the correct description, but I'm not sure I have distinguished between people who have studied philosophy and those who simply put an argument to use for personal purposes. If someone told me hostility mostly came from non-academics I'd have to consider the possibility.

Some of this is "non-academics", and some of it is (at least in my experience) related to a background in philosophy, regardless of whether one is or is not an "academic". The "parents" (if you will) of 'postmodenrism' were all trained in philosophy (if perhaps not in Anglo-American/"analytic" philosophy), and had a certain shared background. When I was studying - those many years ago - I noted an often marked difference in reading "postmodernists" between those with a philosophical background and those without (in my experience at the time this would commonly have been those studying literary theory).

One interpretation of a "distrust of totalizing theory" (as Lyotard wrote) is that it is a recognition that everything we "know" is based on models - using one or another form of language - and that every model necessarily (being an abstraction) includes as well as excludes. Thus, it is important to attend to what a model excludes as well as what it includes. There is also a skepticism about (absolute) "Truth", because all 'truths' are relative to some system or model (just as in logic, 'truth' is a property of the relations of logical statements). [Note that I am here using language that - to my knowledge - the postmoderists did not use themselves.]

Another - in my view mistaken, but not uncommon - interpretation is to say that, because there is no Truth, then nothing is true, or that since everything is based on a model, then any model (or 'interpretation') is as good as any other. This may be very freeing in areas like literary theory, but runs into serious problems when one is dealing with the real world (however we may define 'real world'), because here it is quite plain that any model or interpretation is not as good as any other; even if we cannot know the correct model, some are plainly better while others are plainly worse.

I would suggest that the first interpretation is in fact not much different than what would be considered a 'scientific' mindset: we have models of the world, but should always be willing to question and revise them. The second interpretation seems to devolve into an empty rejection of any kind of knowledge.

Tacitus said...

David, my old friend, you and I both know that there will be no further official mention of this little White House security matter.

I would demand a great deal more accountability from people who worked in a hypothetical Tacitus Administration.

Your standards seem pretty low to my eyes.

Tacitus

Alfred Differ said...

Gregory Byshenk,

I'm having to adjust my model of you a few times with that most recent post. 8)

I have a shelf dedicated to philosophy books. I took a correspondence course from some mail-in school when I was a kid, but that was before I understood how to motivate myself as a student. In college, my pursuit of physics and math put me in contact with people who had a dim view of philosophy and often of each other. My bookshelf is an attempt to make up for all that because I've come around to a belief that these studies are interconnected. One doesn't do one of them by itself, but that has left me without a professor to help.

I entered your arena due to curiosity about philosophical views of what scientists do. I ran into Kuhn and Popper quickly and noticed I couldn't read Popper without a whole lot more context than I had. His early writings are thick. His later writings are often counter-arguments to stuff I didn't know. So… I got a few more books and it seems there is no end to this. It seems that philosophers have been at this for a very long time… and my professors were wrong. We should all be paying attention to each other. 8)

———

I'm going to remove my assumption of hostility from the broad category and possibly leave it with the literary study folks. Even with them, though, I'm inclined to give then a small concession. They probably fight against models that many believe because many believe them. Arguing that any model will do doesn't wash with me, but constructing alternates in the face of unsupported belief in others IS fair game even when the alternates are ludicrous.

———

not much different than what would be considered a 'scientific' mindset

I agree. I avoid certain terms people tend to capitalize. When I use them at all, I'm usually implying they aren't real beyond the ideal we imagine them to be. Truth, Time, and even Consistency are examples. However, they are still useful in building models and I'm still willing to do that. Some models ARE better than others, but we'd have to agree on a metric for measuring that fitness first. And yes… such metrics include and exclude.

I absolutely love building models and recognizing them in the abstract. Our model for how heat diffuses through a solid is essentially (mathematically) the same as non-relativistic quantum mechanics (probability diffuses) and the Black-Scholes model for pricing options (again… probability diffuses). We don't have all that many models-in-the-abstract that are any good to us, so we re-use and recycle. Thermodynamics shows up in-the-abstract in economics and lots of other fields where people want to simplify humans actions and imagine we would do what we do making speech 'just' how we get there.

Trusting our models is something very different, though. I'll trust them to be what they are, but blind trust is pretty dumb. For example, the Black-Scholes model has a random variable that only works to represent market choices when market players behave in uncorrelated ways. That obviously fails when euphoria or panics set it. Bubbles bloom and burst exactly when the model fails.

———

I'll be adding books to my wish list if you mention them as being useful starts.

David Brin said...

aAcitus, step up NOW with wager stakes over your assertion that 'we will hear no more" - even though the 'baggie in a tourist locker in the outer security area" is stunningly picayune and was likely some visitor panicking and disposing of something from his pocket.

I have been in that room, using those lockers for my cell phone etc. There are more layers beyond (hence the visitor's panic). And your never-voiced implication of a White House staff swamped in drugs is a canard that cannot be supported by these circumstances.

Oh, it might happen. ACCORDING TO TESTIMONY by Trump WH perconnel, Don Jr and others just about flooded the place with snow.

Funny how that's not of interest to you. NOR my call for a bipartisan bill cancelling NDAs for political figures and total transparency of campaign funds and superpacs. No response at all.

Nor the NATIONWIDE tsunami of indictments of GOP factotums for a wide array of crimes from drugs to child predation to treason t being lackeys of the KGB to....ALMOST ONE HUNDRED TIMES as many indictments as for equivalent democrats.

THAT you can ignore, while shouting "Whatabout!!!" at a baggie.

Well *I* have listened and answed *you* ... while you have paid zero attention to anyhting mentioned by me... including the roasting of our planet by your science-hating cult.

Tell you what. come back here with more baggie info any day! And when your cult is finally ready to NAME an actual statute Huinter Biden broke.

gregory byshenk said...

Tacitus said...
I would demand a great deal more accountability from people who worked in a hypothetical Tacitus Administration.

Can you explain in some more detail what you mean by "more accountability" here, given what seem to be the facts of the matter?

duncan cairncross said...

I would agree with Tacitus - more "accountability" is required from the Secret Service and from the CIA
Not because of a baggie of drugs - but because historically the CIA has been very dirty and Trump's Secret Service look (from the outside) to have been dirty as hell

I'm a great believer in the use of compulsory Audits - and transparency

Alfred Differ said...

Be careful about asking the Secret Service to bear witness to anything. Their primary job wrt the White House is protection of certain persons. That can't be done well if those persons are trying to hide or hide information from them.

This is the conflict all LE faces between protection and enforcement. In this case, we optimized for protection to prevent assassinations.

David Brin said...

WEAPONIZATION of Justice, elections, journalism and science? WHY are so many high republicans getting indicted? The right's narrative #1 is that a quarter million FBI/Intel/military officers, prosecutors &judges (half of them GOP appointees) are all at once and in cahoots - perfect collusion 'weaponized' against American conservatism... abetted by 99% of scientists ... assisting Democrat MAYORS at electoral cheating that was executed so perfectly that it left no traces... right under the noses of a dozen red-state Republican governors and secretaries of state who actually controlled the running of elections.

Theory #1 - pushed relentlessly by Fox and the whole MAGA nuremberg rally - is such a magnificent narrative! Such incredible competence by all the nerds you hate! Especially by the quarter million men and women who also won the Cold War and the War on Terror and who limited a recent plague. Such sci-fi-movie level competence would seem stunning in its scale and perfection.

Gee, I wonder why nearly all of those folks would have it in for an oligarch-financed cult that serves the Kremlin and petro-sheiks, casino mafiosi, hedge lords and inheritance brats? If #1 is true, then I admit I'm tempted to root for such competence against evil! Tempted, but no, I am a fan of light. PROVE #1 to me and I'll look into opposing even those professions I admire!

Ah, but then there's the alternative theory. That what we see is what's true. That those quarter million heroes - plus half a million more science workers and half a million civil servants and election workers - are actually decent folks, keeping an eye even on each other, on our behalf.

The theory that scores of diverse grand juries across the nation have indicted almost a hundred times(!) as many high GOPpers as demmies for a different reason. NOT as part of a grand conspiracy - executed with inhuman perfection - but over the course of uncovering one criminal after another, then the next pervert and the next traitor and the next corrupt SOB and the next, amid a swirling cesspit of wretched evil that today's Republican establishment has become.

I can see why some folks cling to theory #1, desperately suckling it from their boob tubes. But sorry, #2 seems more plausible.

Tell you what. How about we put wager stakes on any of it?
Where're you going?

Slim Moldie said...

S2E2 Foundation rebounded from the story telling abomination that was Episode 1. 90% of latter could have been scrapped as it wasn't necessary to move the story. Keep the great stuff and scrap everything else.

Regarding the bag of Eric Clapton found on Snow White. How about Biden challenges the former Trump admin to a dog-sniffing drug-off. Every cabinet member of the current staff/cabinet regime including spouses walks a red carpet while getting sniffed by a multi-nosed canine narcotics team...on the condition that their counterpoint from the previous regime does the same.

David Brin said...

onward

onward

Zen Cosmos said...

when does part 2 post?

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