By now, you all know that I offer contrarian views for Contrary Brin hoping to shake calcified assumptions like the lobotomizing ‘left-right spectrum.’ Or sometimes just to entertain…
...(while remaining loyal to the Enlightenment Experiment that gave us all this one chance to escape brutal rule by kings & priests & inheritance brats, to maybe save the world and reach the stars.)
At other times, contrariness can be a vent of frustration.
(“You foooools! Why can’t you all seeeeee?!?”)
Okay, today's is of that kind. It's about one of the most admirable human beings I ever heard of – (and I know a lot of history).
And yes, it's relevant to these fraught time!
==Somebody to look up to ==
Let's talk about former President Jimmy Carter, who passed away at 100, just a few months ago.
Sure, you hear one cliché about Carter, repeated all over: Carter was an ineffective president, but clearly a wonderful person, who redefined the EX-presidency.
Folks thereupon go on to talk about the charitable efforts of both Carters, Jimmy and Rosalind. Such as the boost they gave to Habitat for Humanity, helping build houses for the poor and turning Habitat into a major concern, worldwide. That, compared to the selfishly insular after-office behaviors of every single Republican ex-president. Ever. And Habitat was just one of the Carters’ many fulfilling endeavors.
In fact, I have a crackpot theory (one of several that you’ll find only in this missive), that JC was absolutely determined not to die, until the very last Guinea Worm was gone. Helping first to kill off that gruesome parasite.
Haven’t heard of it? Look it up; better yet, watch some cringeworthy videos about this horrible, crippling pest! International efforts – boosted by the Carter Center – drove the Guinea Worm to the verge of eradication, with only 14 human cases reported in 2023 and 13 in 2022. And it’s plausible that the extinction wail of the very last one happened in ’24, giving Jimmy Carter release from his vow. (Unlikely? Sure, but I like to think so. Though soon after his death, all of America was infested by a truly grotesque parasite...)
So sure, after-office goodness is not what’s in question here. Nor the fact that JC was one of Rickover’s Boys (I came close to being one!) who established the U.S. nuclear submarine fleet that very likely restored deterrence in dangerous times and thus prevented World War Three.
Or that, in Georgia, he was the first southern governor ever to stand up, bravely denouncing segregation and prejudice in all forms.
(Someone who taught Baptist Sunday School for 80+ years ought to have been embraced by U.S. Christians, but for the fact that Carter emphasized the Beatitudes and the words and teachings of Jesus - like the Sermon on the Mount - rather than the bile-and-blood-drenched, psychotic Book of Revelation that now eroticizes so many who betray their own faith with gushers of lava-like hate toward their neighbors.)
But doesn’t everyone concede that Jimmy Carter was an exceptionally fine example of humanity?
In fact, among those with zero-sum personalities, such a compliment assists their denigration of impractical-goodie eggheads! It allows fools to smugly assert that such a generous soul must have also been gullible-sappy and impractical.
(“He was a good person… and therefore, he must have been incompetent as president! While OUR hero, while clearly a corrupt, lying pervert and servant of Moscow, MUST - therefore - be the blessed agent of God!”)
Sick people. Truly sick.
And so, no, I’ll let others eulogize ‘what a nice fellow Jimmy Carter was.’
Today, I’m here to assail and demolish the accompanying nasty and utterly inaccurate slander: “…but he was a lousy president.”
No, he wasn’t. And I’ll fight anyone who says it. Because you slanderers don’t know your dang arse from…
Okay, okay. Breathe.
Contrary Brin? Sure.
But I mean it.
== Vietnam Fever ==
This mania goes all the way back to 1980. That year's utterly insipid “Morning in America” cult monomaniacally ignored the one central fact of that era…
… that the United States of America had fallen for a trap that almost killed it.
A trap that began in 1961, when a handsome, macho fool announced that “We will pay any price, bear any burden…” And schemers in Moscow rubbed their hands, answering:
“Really, Jack? ANY price? ANY burden?
"How about a nice, big land war in the jungles of Southeast Asia?”
A war that became our national correlate to the Guinea Worm.
…but also economically, after LBJ and then Nixon tried for “Guns and Butter.” Running a full-scale war without inconveniently calling for sacrifices to pay for it.
Now throw in the OPEC oil crises! And the resulting inflation tore through America like an enema.
Nixon couldn’t tame it.
Ford couldn’t tame it.
Neither of them had the guts.
Entering the White House, Jimmy Carter saw that the economy was teetering, and only strong medicine would work. Moreover, unlike any president, before or since, he cared only about the good of the nation.
As John Viril put it: “Jimmy Carter was, hands down, the most ethically sound President of my lifetime. He became President in the aftermath of Vietnam and during the second OPEC embargo. Carter's big achievement is that he killed hyper-inflation before it could trigger another depression, to the point that we didn't see it again for 40 years. Ronald Reagan gets credit for this, but it was Carter appointing tight-money Fed chairman Paul Volker that tamed inflation.”
Paul Volcker (look him up!) ran the Federal Reserve with tough love, because Carter told Volcker: “Fix this. And I won’t interfere. Not for the sake of politics or re-election. Patch the leaks in our boat. Put us on a diet. Fix it.”
Carter did this knowing that a tight money policy could trigger a recession that would very likely cost him re-election. The medicine tasted awful.
And it worked.
Though it hurt like hell for 3 years, the post-Vietnam economic trauma got sweated out of the economy in record time.
In fact, just in time for things to settle down and for Ronald Reagan to inherit an economy steadying back onto an even keel.
His Morning in America.
Do you doubt that cause and effect? Care to step up with major wager stakes, before a panel of eminent economic historians? Because they know this and have said so. While politicians and media ignore them, in favor of Reagan idolatry.
Oh, and you who credit Reagan with starting the rebuilding of the U.S. military after Vietnam?
Especially the stealth techs and subs that are the core of our peacekeeping deterrence?
Nope.
That was Carter, too.
== Restoring Trust ==
And there’s another unsung but vital thing that Jimmy Carter did, in the wake of Nixon-Ford and Vietnam. He restored faith in our institutions. In the aftermath of Watergate and J. Edgar Hoover and the rest, he made appointments who re-established some degree of trust. And historians (though never pundits or partisan yammerers) agree that he largely succeeded, by choosing skilled and blemish-free professionals, almost down the line.
And yes, let’s wager now over rates of turpitude in office, both before and since then. Or indictments for malfeasance, between the parties! Starting with Nixon, all the way to Biden and Trump II. It's night vs. day.
When the ratio of Republicans indicted and convicted for such crimes vs. Democrats approaches one hundred to one, is there any chance that our neighbors will notice… and decide that it is meaningful?
Not so long as idiots think that it makes them look so wise and cool to shake their heads and croon sadly “Both parties are the same!”*
You, who sing that song, you don’t sound wise.
You sound like an ignoramus.
So, alas, it’s never actively refuted.
Not so long as Democrats habitually brag about the wrong things, and never mention facts like that one. The right ones.
== What about Reagan? ==
So. Yeah, yeah, you say. All of that may be true. But it comes to nothing, compared to Carter’s mishandling of the Iran Hostage Crisis.
Okay. This requires that – before getting to my main point - we first do an aside about Ronald Reagan.
By now, the evidence is way more than circumstantial that Reagan committed treason during the Iran crisis. Negotiating through emissaries (some of whom admit it now!) for the Ayatollahs to hold onto the hostages till Carter got torched in the 1980 US election. That’s a lot more than a ‘crackpot theory” by now… and yet I am not going in that direction, today.
Indeed, while I think his tenure set the modern theme for universal corruption of all subsequent Republican administrations, I have recently been extolling Ronald Reagan! Click and see all the many ways in which his tenure as California Governor seemed like Arnold Schwarzenegger's, calmly moderate! In 1970, Governor Reagan's policies made him almost an environmentalist Democrat! Certainly compared to today’s Foxite cult.
Indeed, despite his many faults – the lying and corrupt officials, the AIDS cruelty and especially the triple-goddamned ‘War on Drugs’ – Reagan nevertheless, clearly wanted America to remain strong on the world stage. And to prevail against the Soviet ‘evil empire’…
… and I said as much to liberals of that era! I asked: “WTF else would you call something as oppressive and horrible as the USSR?”
One thing I do know across all my being. Were he around today, Ronald Reagan would spit in the eyes of every current, hypocritical Republican Putin-lover and KGB shill, now helping all the Lenin-raised “ex” commissars over there to rebuild – in all it’s evil – the Soviet Union. With a few altered symbols and lapel pins.
But again, that rant aside, what I have to say about Carter now departs from Reagan, his nemesis.
Because this is not about Carter’s failed re-election. He already doomed any hope of that, when he told Volcker to fix the economy.
No, I am talking about Jimmy Carter’s Big Mistake.
== Iran… ==
So sure, I am not going to assert that Carter didn’t fumble the Hostage Crisis.
He did. Only not in the ways that you think! And here, not even the cautious historians get things right.
When the Shah fell, the fever that swept the puritan/Islamist half of Iranian society was intense and the Ayatollahs used that to entrench themselves. But when a mob of radicals stormed the American Embassy and took about a hundred U.S. diplomats hostage, the Ayatollahs faced a set of questions:
- Shall we pursue vengeance on America – and specifically Carter – for supporting the Shah? Sounds good. But how hard should we push a country that’s so mighty? (Though note that post-Vietnam, we did look kinda lame.)
- What kind of deal can we extort out of this, while claiming “We don’t even control that mob!”
- And what’s our exit strategy?
During the subsequent, hellish year, it all seemed win-win for Khomeini and his clique. There was little we could do, without risking both the lives of the hostages and another oil embargo crisis, just as the U.S. economy was wobbling back onto its feet.
Yes, there was the Desert One rescue raid attempt, that failed because two helicopters developed engine trouble. Or – that’s the story. I do have a crackpot theory (What, Brin, another one?) about Desert One that I might insert into comments. If coaxed. No evidence, just a logical chain of thought. (Except to note that it was immediately after that aborted raid that emissaries from the Islamic Republic hurried to Switzerland, seeking negotiations.)
But never mind that here. I told you that Jimmy Carter made one big mistake during the Iran Hostage Crisis, and he made it right at the beginning. By doing the right and proper and mature and legal thing.
== Too grownup. Too mature… ==
When that mob of ‘students’ took and cruelly abused the U.S. diplomats, no one on Earth swallowed the Ayatollah’s deniability claims of “it’s the kids, not me!” It was always his affair. And he hated Carter for supporting the Shah. And as we now know, Khomeini had promises from Reagan. So how could Carter even maneuver?
Well, he did start out with some chips on his side of the table. The Iranian diplomatic corps on U.S. soil. And prominent resident Iranians with status in the new regime -- those who weren’t seeking sanctuary at the time. Indeed, some voices called for them to be seized, as trading chips for our people in Tehran…
…and President Jimmy Carter shook his head, saying it would be against international law. Despite the fact that the Tehran regime holding our folks hostage was an act of war. Moreover, Carter believed in setting an example. And so, he diplomatically expelled those Iranian diplomats and arranged for them to get tickets home.
Honorable. Legal. And throwing them in jail would be illegal. And his setting an example might have worked… if the carrot had been accompanied by a big stick. If the adversary had not been in the middle of a psychotic episode. And… a whole lotta ifs.
I have no idea whether anyone in the Carter White House suggested this. But there was an intermediate action that might have hit the exact sweet spot.
Arrest every Iranian diplomat and person on U.S. soil who was at all connected to the new regime… and intern them all at a luxury, beach-side hotel.
Allow news cameras to show the difference between civilized – even comfy - treatment and the nasty, foul things that our people were enduring, at the hands of those fervid ‘students.’ But above all, let those images – the stark contrast - continue, on and on and on. While American jingoists screeched and howled for our Iranian captives to be treated the same way. While the president refused.
Indeed, it is the contrast that would have torn world opinion, and any pretense of morality, away from the mullahs. And, with bikini-clad Americans strolling by daily, plus margaritas and waffles at the bar, wouldn’t their diplomats have screamed about their decadent torture? And pleaded for a deal – a swap of ‘hostages’ -- to come home? Or else, maybe one by one, might they defect?
We’ll never know. But it would have been worth a try. And every night, Walter Cronkite’s line might have been different.
And so, sure. Yeah. I think Carter made a mistake! And yeah, it was related to his maturity and goodness. So, I lied to you. Maybe he was too nice for the office. Too good for us to deserve.
== So, what’s my point? ==
I do have top heroes and Jimmy Carter is not one of them.
Oh, I admired him immensely and thought him ill-treated by a nation he served well. But to me he is second-tier to Ben Franklin. To Lincoln and Tubman. To Jane Goodall and George Marshall.
But this missive is more about Carter’s despicable enemies. Nasty backstabber-liars and historical grudge-fabulators…
…of the same ilk as the bitchy slanderers who went on to savagely attack John Kerry, 100% of whose Vietnam comrades called him a hero, while 100% of the dastardly “swift-boaters” proved to be obscenely despicable, paid preeners, who were never even there.
Or the ‘birthers’ who never backed up a single word, but only screeched louder, when shown many time-yellowed copies of Obama’s 1962 birth announcement in the Honolulu Advertiser. Or the ass-hats who attacked John McCain and other decent, honorable Republicans who have fled the confederate madness, since Trump.
Or the myriad monstrous yammerers who now attack all fact-using professions, from science and teaching, medicine and law and civil service to the heroes of the FBI/Intel/Military officer corps who won the Cold War and the War on terror.
Nutters and Kremlin-boys who aren’t worthy to shine the boots of a great defender-servant like Mark Milley.
Jeepers David… calm down. We get it. But take a stress pill, already, or you might burst a vessel.
Okay, okay. Though the blood bank says I have the blood pressure of a teenager...
... It’s just. Well. We are about to embark on a journey of American self-discovery, when the very notions of democracy and enlightenment are under attack by living monsters. Monsters who know the power of symbolism vastly better than finger-wagging lib’ruls do, and who would deny us the inspiration of true heroes.
Mighty heroes like George Marshall. Like MLK. Like Elie Weisel and my Dad. Like Greta Thunberg and Amory Lovins. And those far-too-few Republicans who have found the patriotic decency to step up for the Union in this 8th phase of a 250 year American Civil War.
And like the subject of this essay. The best president (by many metrics) of the last over-100 years.
== And if you got all the way down here, some fun from SMBC ==
https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/slam
Okay this one too, a glimpse of a better world with more Jimmy Carters in it, too.
LOL @ “decent Republicans” like John McCain – a super rich neocon who supported every disastrous US intervention and wanted more. After Carter, who was too decent a guy for the job of running the American empire, no matter who you voted for, McCain is basically who you got. And now Trump, who never bothered pretending to be a decent, honorable guy, has gone full McCain himself.
ReplyDeleteBut you never want to go full McCain. Based on the US track record of interventionist incompetence (uniting a divided Vietnam under the commies, Iraq with ISIS and Iranian proxies running amok, Afghanistan with the Taliban back in control and upgraded weapons courtesy of Uncle Sam) and just applying common sense, a plausible scenario now for Iran is: the Mullahs still in power and more popular than before, fast-tracked development or acquisition of nuclear weapons, closer alliances with Russia and China, zero interest in negotiating anything with the US—basically a North Korea type state in the Middle East. Nice work; I’m sure old Mr. “Bomb bomb Iran” would be proud.
But if that isn’t karma I don’t know what is. Look at Trump’s recent actions: he pretends to be negotiating with Iran to assist Israel’s sneak attack, tells a city of ten million to evacuate, launches his own unprovoked attack, threatens Iran with greater destruction if they don't submit, then calls them the bully. When your country becomes this kind of demented clown show run by B-movie villains, expect the world to punish you accordingly. It’s the old “hubris → madness → nemesis” progression in real-time.
Btw, in these rants you should replace Putin, Moscow and the KGB with Netanyahu, Tel Aviv and the Mossad to sound like someone living in empirical reality. I mean, at this point even the most brainwashed boomer can figure out which foreign country has Trump by the puppet strings.
Yawn. Anything to defend his Kremlin master.
ReplyDeleteBTW I never called McCain my hero. Just a repub with limits to how far he would let himself get sucked into supporting monsters. And if we got enough of those - and Liz (I hate the next word) Cheney - instead of craven blackmailed traitors like Paul Ryan and Collins - then there might be a core worth saving of the GOP.
If I could press a button and throw Putin, Trump and Netanyahu and their coteries onto a beach resort isle surrounded by sharks and minefields and lasers, I'd do so. Nu? All the smart folks in all three countries agree with me. vs. a fanatical large minority of anti-modernists in all three. Those are all YOUR folks, ent.
With the difference that Israel has been openly threatened with utter extinction every week for 80 years and some existential anomie may be understandable.
In Russia, that sense of threat is pan cultural, embedded in language and ddep culture. In the USA it is a minority, but the majority modernist coalition got broken up in the last election when 2 million Blacks, Hispanics, & others felt driven out of the coalition by imbecille symbolism/vernacular police like "quizzz-leeeeng!" matthew. They now see the mistake. Only now the question is survival of any chance of actual elections, in 17 months.
Oh, and are many Trumpists fascists? Sure. A minority of GOPpers, but still the rest are complicit fascists for putting up with the overt ones. Happy, twit?
Orwell made a distinction between Outer Party and Inner Party. Inner GOP is like Tony Soprano: guilty as sin. Outer GOP is like Carmella Soprano: complicit.
Delete"If I could press a button and throw Putin, Trump and Netanyahu and their coteries onto a beach resort isle surrounded by sharks and minefields and lasers, I'd do so."
DeleteIf there were camera drones and the island was miked appropriately, you could definitely sell that to media execs as the next "Survivor" mini-series.
It would be cruel, but they did work so hard to earn it.
I suppose that we now have to refer to Persian cats as "freedom cats".
ReplyDeleteI would expect a proclamation of that sort from congressional Republicans if I thought they even knew about Persian cats, or that they had any idea which modern country was once Persia.
Or, how long Persia/Iran withstood other Empires.
DeleteOh, just learned, the slogan of the hour is "MIGA".
DeleteNo. If you want to irritate them, use Persia. It is the foreign name for them. Not self assigned name.
DeleteOk, but in this case, I'm not really interested in irritating them. Unless by "them" you meant Republicans, who I was making fun of.
DeleteAlfred their language is Farsi. They had a capital in 300 BC that Greeks called Persepolis. Rome opposed the Parthian Empire.
DeleteI disagree that some people are impossible to reach.
ReplyDeleteEg. Wombat Zoomies could do the trick
https://bsky.app/profile/thatwriterguy.com/post/3lsajqsn4fo24
Somewhere around here, I have a copy of the unclassified portion of the after-action report on the hostage rescue mission. It doesn't use the term "clusterfuck" but it should. Frex, the helicopter "failures" were false alarms.
ReplyDeleteYEs, my throy is that the copters were supposed to 'fail'. So that the mullahs could se we could penetrate deep into Iran and "We'll be back!' Without having to do an impossible attack inside Tehran. It was a psych hit that worked! It completely worked. Except for the sad collision coming home.
DeleteAs I understood it, The AAR did result in a large 'what not to do' list, and at the top was 'assign unified command'. I think every service was involved except the Coast Guard. An amusing rumor was that the madame of the local bordello called the base commander and asked, "Is this mission thing supposed to be a secret? Because your Delta Force guys are telling my girls all about it."
ReplyDeleteI talked to one of the C-130 copilots decades ago and he complained that they had to perform their metsat analysis and weather forecasting because there weren't any forecasters at the preparation base with a high enough security clearance. it's not like Teheran airport was forwarding their observation data to the WMO at that point.
Pappenheimer
P.S. it looks like the helicopter issues were because Marine pilots were using Navy craft and misinterpreted the warning lights...Charlie Foxtrot sums it up.
I suspect the birthday suit parade might have had more to do with Trump's decision making processes than street food, but who knows?
ReplyDeleteI'm definitely fuzzy on the details of how economics performed under Carter. I do know Reagan let the neolibs take over its management (although Thatcher started the trend). Two generations later, here we are...
Speaking of lowering taxes... on a brighter note, it appears the Big, Bee-yootifull Bill (aka Zombie Robin Hood) has encountered a flock of Byrds. Sulphur crested cockatoos, judging by the way it's being methodically stripped into matchwood.
@Tony Fisk,
DeleteI had to do a double-take to make sure I read "birthday suit parade" correctly. Good call.
I like to use longish fuses...
DeleteOk, this comment is bizarre even for J.D. Vance.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.nbcnews.com/politics/jd-vance/iran-vance-intervention-skeptic-role-salesman-rcna214345
“I certainly empathize with Americans who are exhausted after 25 years of foreign entanglements in the Middle East,” Vance said on “Meet the Press.” “I understand the concern, but the difference is that back then, we had dumb presidents, and now we have a president who actually knows how to accomplish America’s national security objectives.”
"Dumb presidents"? Words fail me.
And it would be nice to have someone take the party-line side of this on a bet:
A clash with Iran, Vance added, “is not going to be some long, drawn-out thing. We’ve got in, we’ve done the job of setting their nuclear program back.
...
Unfortunately, Vance has a good shot at becoming potus—the world wasn’t created to make us happy.
DeleteBut this Pangloss is the worst person I ever knew; ‘Brave New World’ chopped up and its pages rearranged:
https://www.bidoun.org/articles/the-future-takes-forever
Der Oger:
ReplyDeleteOh, just learned, the slogan of the hour is "MIGA".
DJT's tweet about "Make Iran Great Again" and Vance's comment about how past wars were due to "dumb presidents" are battling in my head for supremacy as evidence that we live in the most effing stupidest timeline.
I don't see how SNL can even parody these idiots any more without making them look smarter than they are.
Maybe Trump is enamored with the days of the Shahs, and all the imperial majesty and power they wielded over their people.
DeleteAnd if we are it:
I just found an English translation of an open letter of Ulrike Meinhof (first journalist, then leftist radical, then terrorist, then suicide(ded) in prison) to Fahra Diva*, the then Empress of Iran.
Enjoy!
http://www.socialiststories.com/en/writers/Meinhof-Ulrike/Open-Letter-to-Farah-Diba-Ulrike-Meinhof.pdf
(* The Pahlevis and their visit on June, 2nd, 1967 in Berlin and the surrounding riots, police brutality and the assassination were the catalyst for many things to follow. I sometimes say, the Allied Forces liberated us from the Nazis, but the Shah from authoritarianism. That was, until the rise of the AfD. But still, that day was as important as the end of the war and the reunification, as well as the various 9th of November days.)
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDelete"We'll detect millions of changing objects literally every night," says the new Vera Rubin Telescope which had 1st Light this morning. Detecting CHANGES amid 40 billion stars & galaxies etc, finding asteroids... YOUR civilization does stuff like this. For now.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.npr.org/2025/06/23/nx-s1-5355034/vera-c-rubin-observatory-first-images
YOUR civilization does stuff like this
DeleteAmen. That's the fundamental tenet of citizen science.
Your civilisation, as in *you*, on Zooniverse (coming soon)
DeleteDJT's tweet about "Make Iran Great Again" and Vance's comment about how past wars were due to "dumb presidents" are battling in my head for supremacy as evidence that we live in the most effing stupidest timeline.
ReplyDeleteThe utter irony being that the isolationist faction of MAGA - Space Laser Lady etc. - actually is the saner part of that freak show.
the saner part of that freak show
DeleteThis is an interview that Tucker Carlson did of Ted Cruz. The link isn't to the original interview, but to Hal Sparks doing a "Mystery Science Theater 3000" type of commentary on it.
Despite his sops to MAGA, Ted Cruz comes off as the one with a clearer picture of reality. (I've actually only made it through about a third, so caveat emptor)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1DOYmDDy5Q
I'll give Hal Sparks a try.
DeleteBut I think we are past way that point now, as consent manufacturing for boots on the ground has already begun.
And, if Trump orders an invasion, Iran will break the US. Not necessarily by the invasion, but by occupying it; and I believe no one has bullets or men to spare right now for the US, not even the Danes or Poles.
Or, bombing continues, and maybe a situation is created where the mullahs actually loose control of parts of the country: Then we have the Kurds, Azeri and Belutch rise up, a central remaining government supported by Russia and China, maybe even split rebel factions, Turkey trying to avoid a free Kurdish state, Aserbaidshan trying to unite it's people, Pakistan trying to take Belutchistan, and Israel and the US going on the one or other "anti-terror" safari. It will be like Syria, only messier.
The Cruz/Tucker interview was from before the Iran strike. It was more about the war in Ukraine.
Delete"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - Orwell
Delete"Of all the things at risk, the loss of an objective reality is, perhaps, the most dangerous." - Mon Mothma's final speech to the Senate
"Forget about intelligence!" = Marco Rubio (being interviewed about Iranian nuclear capability)
Something I picked up on with that Andor snippet: the two techies running subtle interference on the ISB guy sent to shut down the comms feeds from the Senate chamber.
DeleteIranian diplomats awake in a luxury isolated beach hotel.
ReplyDeleteDiplomats: "Where are we?"
Hotel Manager: "In the Village."
Diplomats: "What do you want?"
Hotel Manager: "Leverage."
Putin, Trump, Khamenei, and Netanyahu awake in a luxury isolated beach hotel.
ReplyDeletePutin, Trump, Khamenei, and Netanyahu: "Where are we?"
Our Gracious Host: "In the Village."
Putin, Trump, Khamenei, and Netanyahu: "What do you want?"
Our Gracious Host: "Freedom from you."
No. They need professional help and nursing care, considering they are all seniors. An asylum for the elderly would be more appropriate. Maybe, on St. Helena? Worked once...
DeleteNo doubt the Village could provide such services. In numerical order, of course.
DeleteAnother gracious host would tap the sign saying that questions are a burden to others, while answers are a burden to you.
DeleteRe: the stupidity of our current rulers, I saw a post of rumpT's site exhorting the Department of Energy to "drill, baby, drill!"
ReplyDeleteFor what, uranium?
Pappenheimer
Actually, Putin, Netanyahu, and Trump would get along too well. They'd be looking for a fourth so they can play Gin and Hearts. In 10 minutes they'd be calling up Prince Edward to visit them and bring along some teenage girls so they could reminisce about hte "good old daya" back on Jeffrey Epstein's Island.
ReplyDeleteWrong prince (at least, I've not heard otherwise)
DeleteThink it can't get worse?
ReplyDeletehttps://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/23/supreme-court-third-party-country-deporations-00419210
The Supreme Court on Monday cleared the way for the Trump administration to swiftly deport foreigners to countries where they have no previous ties.
The justices lifted an order from a federal judge in Boston who had placed restrictions on the deportations to those countries. U.S. District Judge Brian Murphy had issued a nationwide injunction that required the administration to give immigrants “meaningful” advance notice and a chance to raise objections before they are sent to so-called third countries — nations not specified in their original deportation orders. But the Supreme Court granted the Trump administration’s emergency request to put Murphy’s injunction on hold.
“Fire up the deportation planes,” Tricia McLaughlin, a spokeswoman for the Department of Homeland Security, said in a statement celebrating the ruling.
The high court’s majority offered no explanation for its ruling, but all three of the court’s liberal justices dissented. Writing for the liberals, Justice Sonia Sotomayor called the ruling an “abuse” of the court’s power that amounted to “rewarding lawlessness” on the part of the administration. And lawyers for the immigrants who had relied on protection from the courts said the ruling would make them “vulnerable to torture or death” in dangerous countries.
...
"Who are you? Where are you taking me? What!? But I *AM* a US citi-"
Delete"The high court’s majority offered no explanation for its ruling"
DeleteI wonder if the conservatives will bother to explain their rulings in the future.
I wonder if the conservatives will bother to explain their rulings in the future.
DeleteMy grandmother used to ask rhetorically (and probably kidding on the square) about everything, "Is it good or bad for the Jews?"
Likewise, the Roberts court's explanation for every decision can be the single sentence, "It's good for the Republicans."
This line is popping up a lot lately: ChatGPT keeps telling me I’m brilliant
ReplyDeletePart of what's known as 'cognitive infection', because it tends to spread from the A.I. to the human's own writing/bias/decisions. We seem to be living in the age of sycophancy.
As more AI slop fills the web, this is the inevitable result of LLM smelling its own farts.
Deleteaka the second law of thermodynamics.
Huh. Haven't seen any such LLM flattery, myself. But then, I remain amazed how few trolls ever inhabited Contrary Brin. Even our very few loonies are way-way above average at grammar and elocution.
ReplyDeleteHypothesis, they are staying away from sites where they would likely still fail Turing tests. (Says your host who - most of most days - actually thinks he's not a software simulation!)
Gods, I hope I'm not a software simulation.
DeleteI mean, what a waste of bits! :D
Just to clarify, no LLMs are telling me I'm brilliant because I don't use LLMs - I just don't have a need.
ReplyDeleteI'm a transistor guy, mostly because I learned electronics in the 1970s just as integrated circuits were taking over. I like cybernetics because it's concerned with introspection and feedback. In regards to A.I., many of the key ingredients to a 'secret sauce' can still be found in transistors in much more obvious and practical ways. 'Introspection' might be implemented using transistory lingo like bias, saturation, feedback, state, hysteresis, syntonicity, information, communication, etc. No LLM snake oil or city-sized power plants required. But hard to monetize - investors don't want to hear about 80 year old technology.
It looks like the airstrikes were a complete failure:
ReplyDeletehttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/22/how-effective-was-the-us-attack-on-irans-nuclear-sites-a-visual-guide
How effective was the US attack on Iran’s nuclear sites? A visual guide
The Iranian Red Crescent Society reported no deaths from the US strikes, appearing to confirm Iranian claims they had been largely evacuated in advance. The health ministry said those who were injured showed no evidence of nuclear contamination.
And now the Iranians have dispersed their nuclear program to where we can't find it.
And they have every incentive to fast track a nuclear warhead.
And since the "2 weeks" claim during the negotiations was admittedly a ruse, America has shown the world that it can no longer be trusted diplomatically.
Further negotiations to get a cease fire and prevent an Iranian bomb will be useless since the Iranians don't believe a damn thing we say now.
One such bomb destroys Israel as functional economy and a political entity.
A half dozen such bombs render the land of Israel lifeless.
It looks like the airstrikes were a complete failure:
DeleteI really didn't know who to root for.
If it was a success, Trump would rise in the polls among all but the hardest line anti-Trumpers who would be marginalized as hating America. He'd gain political capital, and we'd be stuck with ICE raids and martial law and kleptocracy for years.
If it was a failure, we're closer than ever to a nuclear armed Iran who has no interest in diplomacy with Israel or with us.
I'm starting to wonder if that second one is the more optimistic outcome.
@Larry: With an attention span of about a week or so, and the administration creating another outrage every hour, that success might become forgotten and meaningless quite soon.
DeleteConfirmation of failure:
Deletehttps://marygeddry.substack.com/p/the-lie-heard-round-the-world
According to The New York Times and Financial Times, Trump’s pivot toward direct military strikes coincided with Fox News anchors breathlessly praising Netanyahu’s poll numbers. Hannity, Ingraham, and others cheered the Israeli campaign as bold, decisive, and politically brilliant. Trump, watching the coverage, saw Netanyahu’s domestic approval rise in real time and decided he wanted a piece of the action. As one Pentagon official bluntly put it, Trump was the “biggest threat to operational security,” telegraphing strikes on social media and forcing military planners to launch deliberate misdirections just to maintain basic secrecy.
JD Vance is on hand to assure America that everything is fine. Vance, with a signature smirk, asserted that the Iranians desire peace because their entire nuclear program has been obliterated, according to him. “They can’t make a bomb now,” Vance announced, despite the International Atomic Energy Agency and U.S. intelligence both admitting they have no idea where Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpiles have gone. And while Vance declares victory, independent radiation monitors, including the IAEA itself, report no abnormal radiation at any of the bombing sites, a glaring sign that the bunker busters never reached Iran’s hidden uranium stockpiles. In short, the uranium is still missing.
Further confirmation of failure;
DeleteSatellite imaging shows a convoy of trucks emptying out equipment and materials from Fordrow days before the air strikes.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/22/satellite-images-show-activity-at-irans-fordo-before-us-air-strikes.html
Trump hit nothing and accomplished nothing - except give the Iranians further incentive to build a bomb as quickly as possible and a reason to never trust American negotiators ever again.
As soft-spoken, well-educated, supremely rational & highly moral technocrats go, Jimmy Carter SHOULD HAVE made the ideal US president, but the sad fact is that these very same qualities made him a terrible politician as his soft-spokeness resembled weakness, his educated approach to decision-making (in the absence of complete data) made him appear hesitant & indecisive and his very morality made him incapable of backroom deals, pork-barrel politics & moral compromise.
ReplyDeleteThe sheer scope of this 'factual relativism' is what Treebeard still fails to understand:
That the typical progressive 'fact-user', being so enamored with the way the world SHOULD BE, cannot help but to redefine, distort, manipulate, use & 'retcon' said facts in an attempt to convince themselves that the real world operates in accordance with their 'should-based' preferences.
As in the case of the 'stunning & brave' assaults on federal law enforcement in LA, but the 'evil & inexcusable' assaults on federal law enforcement on J4.
As in the case of a felon being 'unjustly' murdered by an on-duty policeman of another race and a veteran being 'justly' murdered by an on-duty policeman of another race for the same equally petty infractions.
As in the case of Jimmy Carter, a great person & lousy politician, who SHOULD HAVE been our 'Greatest President' so this must be our new 'retconned' reality, too.
Newly open to interpretation, the term 'Fact' no longer means what it used to mean, so much so that 'we are entitled to retcon our own facts', god bless us everyone.
Best
I've notice this now and then. Locum's 1st paragraph (above) re JC was cogent and well-said. ... And that appeared to utterly use up all cogency or sense, spilling into masturbatory jibbering. Indeed, we've seen it happen before. Like a computer that's rebooted trying desperately to serve before short circuits drain the working memory.
ReplyDeleteI believe it's called the 'hook'
DeleteHonestly, I'm disgusted by the Supreme Court's latest decision allowing deportation to countries where the deportee has no previous ties. That makes no sense, whatsoever, especially when you consider that El Salvador is known for conditions that most certainly violate the constitutional standard for "cruel and unusual punishment."
ReplyDeleteEven if such individuals ARE NOT American citizens, I somehow think that US officials should not be empowered to put detainees under their jurisdiction into cruel and unusual punishment.
DeleteHonestly, I'm disgusted by the Supreme Court's latest decision allowing deportation to countries where the deportee has no previous ties. That makes no sense, whatsoever, especially when you consider that El Salvador is known for conditions that most certainly violate the constitutional standard for "cruel and unusual punishment."
As far back as the W Bush administration, Republicans have argued that conditions at Guantanamo Bay don't violate the Bill of Rights because the Bill of Rights only has jurisdiction on US territory. It's a lawyerly position which basically admits, "We don't believe in American values--we only practice them when forced to."
Even if such individuals ARE NOT American citizens, I somehow think that US officials should not be empowered to put detainees under their jurisdiction into cruel and unusual punishment.
What the court is allowing is removal to situations where there is no recourse, even for actual citizens or legal residents to prove that they were here legally.
Yowling supposed 'support' for Israel, by BoR* Junkies who pray for Israel to win... until the prophecized getting torched in Armageddon and for all but 144,000 Jewish converts to go to hell, is not 'support' that Jews or Israelis need or want. Look into what the BoR Christian zealots (NOT the Jimmy Carter kind, who follow the Beatitudes) actually want and believe!
ReplyDeleteIt won't work. Jews know that what saved them was modernist, scientific and constitutional AMERICA. And Nazi thugs are nazi thugs whether or not they wear (utterly futile) masks.
*Book of Revelation.
As for those masks. The idiots actually think they are protecting their identity? What century do they think they live in?
From 'total obliteration' of Iran nuclear capabilities to 'ceasefire' declared, the lesson is to dismiss *anything* that Trump or his minions say as complete and utter BS.
ReplyDeletethe lesson is to dismiss *anything* that Trump or his minions say as complete and utter BS.
DeleteUnfortunately, the narrative survives even when the allegations of fact are disproven. We all know that the 2020 election wasn't stolen, and yet the narrative that it was continues to be justification for...any number of things.
They were so sure that the Iran-Israel cease fire would lead to a Nobel Prize for Von Schitzenpantz* that they could taste it.
* I'd be ok awarding him such a prize if it was announced as going to Von Schitzenpantz by that name.
ReplyDeleteIt won't work. Jews know that what saved them was modernist, scientific and constitutional AMERICA. And Nazi thugs are nazi thugs whether or not they wear (utterly futile) masks.
Many Jews with an understanding of history are in a position analogous to abused children. And abused children grow up to be one of two kinds of adults. Those who understand the wrongness of abuse and work to prevent it from happening to others. And those who feel that the only way to avoid being abused is to become an abuser.
Unfortunately, there are Jews of the latter type. Netanyahu appeals to them.
As for those masks. The idiots actually think they are protecting their identity? What century do they think they live in?
Masks protect them from immediate identification in person or on social media. The reason they feel protected in general is because they have the backing of Republican administrations and the subset of authoritarians in the police, FBI, and military.
... And those who feel that the only way to avoid being abused is to become an abuser. Unfortunately, there are Jews of the latter type. Netanyahu appeals to them.
ReplyDeleteLooking at what's been going down in Gaza (55,0000 deaths est.), this rings very true.
On a lighter note, Cuomo is currently showing that money only buys so many votes.
DeleteLooking at what's been going down in Gaza (55,0000 deaths est.), ...
My more charitable view of the war in Gaza is that Israel is not intent on killing Palestinians. They're intent on destroying HAMAS. And they simply don't care how many Palestinians they have to go through in order to do so.
That's not true for all individuals, of course, but I think that's what's going on in general.
On a lighter note, Cuomo is currently showing that money only buys so many votes.
Elon Musk already proved that in Wisconsin. But it's good to see a trend.
https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Items/Jun25-1.html
Delete...
Under these circumstances, it's not too surprising that an alternative choice surged at the end, in the form of state Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic socialist who ran an energetic campaign that actually got people excited. As the polls tightened, the establishment tried very hard to rally Democrats behind Cuomo. That includes Bill Clinton, whose days as a Democratic influencer are clearly over. Also Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC), who may be able to move the needle in the Palmetto State, but not the Empire State. And Michael Bloomberg, who joins Elon Musk in the "money can't buy elections" club. Perhaps most notable was The New York Times, which gave what can only be described as an anti-endorsement, with the eddi board writing that they would not suggest which candidate New Yorkers should vote for, but they would suggest which candidate New Yorkers should not vote for, namely Mamdani:
Mr. Mamdani is running on an agenda uniquely unsuited to the city's challenges. He is a democratic socialist who too often ignores the unavoidable trade-offs of governance. He favors rent freezes that could restrict housing supply and make it harder for younger New Yorkers and new arrivals to afford housing. He wants the government to operate grocery stores, as if customer service and retail sales were strengths of the public sector. He minimizes the importance of policing.
That's actually only the first paragraph; it goes on for two paragraphs more, finding many different ways to say that Mamdani does not know how to govern.
We wonder what effect all of this had. Maybe voters ignored the old fogeys, as they waved their fists at the clouds. Maybe some New Yorkers had second thoughts about their ballots, and dropped Mamdani down the list (or off entirely). Or maybe, just maybe, the establishment push for Cuomo produced a political version of the Streisand effect, drawing attention to Mamdani and burnishing his bona fides as an outsider who would shake things up.
...
Blue Man men and unconventional musical instruments
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTJfITfbYNA
A Fun 15 min of itself.
Delete... does this have anything to do with a meme involving the role of a certain social media site in a certain mayoral election?
Blue Man Group played locally here in Chicago. I've seen them twice in person, and they pre-date anything we now call social media.
DeleteHeard on Stephanie Miller's radio show:
ReplyDelete"They're calling this 'Operation: Stormy Daniels.'"
I like how cities and states can be laboratories for democracy. I'd like to see how democratic socialists do in office -- first as mayors of major cities or state governors before putting one in the white house. So I look forward to see how well Mamadani does as mayor.
ReplyDeleteYes, he is young and inexperienced. But so was AOC that that turned out fine.
And if establishment democrats don't like this, then they need to find better candidates than Andrew Cuomo and Eric Adams.
"Yes, he is young and inexperienced. But so was AOC that that turned out fine."
ReplyDeleteAOC is a legislator whose top job is to vote and 2nd is to make inspiring TV. Her administrative skills are likely very very small without experience. As Newsom's veep she'd learn it all... as Kamala did and that was our loss.
Cuomo and Adams are both planning on running in the general as Independents. And the Democratic establishment will throw *all* their weight into killing Mamadani's chances. From now until the general election, Mamadani's main opponents will be the Democratic Party. Because nothing unifies the DP like a chance to squash it's left-leaning wing. They will chose a sex pest over a socialist every time.
ReplyDelete"If there's one thing we hate more than the Romans, it's the f***ing Judean People's Front!"
DeleteThe mad tyrant Caligula tested the Roman Senate by appointing - as Consul - his horse. No Senator stood up to that, or to C's sadist orgies or public snatch-strangulations. Today it would take just 2 Senators and 2 Reps, stepping up, to curb the insanity by half or more. Threats & rampant blackmail (check the male relatives of Collins & Murkowski) don't suffice to explain or excuse such craven betrayal across the GOP, since the first few to step up would be reckoned heroes, no matter what kompromat the KGB has on you.
ReplyDeleteWill someone do up a nice meme on Caligula's horse, laughing at us?
Another suggested meme. "Hey ICE masked-rangers, You think a mask suffices in 2025? When cameras can zoom into your iris? Bone structure and gait? (Keep a pebble in your shoe!) Anyway, that comrade (and fellow KGB puppet) next to you is recording every raid for his Squealer File. For plea bargaining when this all goes down."
What? You think "He'd never do that to me!"?
In poker, everyone knows who the patsy is. If you don't know, then it's you.
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/trumps-shocking-pick-thomas-fugate-22-year-old-ex-gardener-now-leads-us-anti-terror-efforts-as-us-bombs-iran/articleshow/122028127.cms?from=mdr
To increase the effect on the already dwindling morale I suggest the following:
Delete1) Anyone leaving ICE before (Date in the next three months) will receive a general pardon from the next Dem presidency.
2) Anyone else won't except If providing testimony and evidence incriminating their superiors.
3) Monetary Reward only for the early birds, as you suggested earlier. Plus a new identity, If necessary.
Bets matthew. STep up and back that up with wager stakes.
ReplyDeleteScrew your asinine "betting" shit. Your refrain is getting old and tiresome.
DeleteHere's what readers here can count on.
I'll be correct and you'll never mention it again. That is what happens, right?
Readers, go back and look at Brin's history of supporting "good billionaires" that happen to have fraudulent or problematic histories or his declarations about our "noble protectors" in the DoJ.
Judge a pundit by his words.
When AOC toppled and replaced a mainstream liberal dem, the party embraced her. Tell us about how the "DNC" is plotting against Bernie, AOC, Liz, STacey, Jaime Harrison etc. THEIR version of 'the left' is welcome in the coalition because they don't spasmodically masturbate to symbolism-santimony memes in order to attack allies and wreck the coalition... the way imbecilles like m do,
ReplyDeleteALL of them helped to pass the miracle 2021 Pelosi bills which ratchetted increments forward toward what they want... and which is the ONLY way to eventually get what they want.
Each of them tries hard to damp down the sanctimony idiots who drove away two million Blacks, Hispanics and working whites and gave us this current mess.
Celt:
ReplyDeleteTrump hit nothing and accomplished nothing - except give the Iranians further incentive to build a bomb as quickly as possible and a reason to never trust American negotiators ever again.
Well, those are kinds of accomplishment, Your Honor.
I'd also argue that the whole affair made it more difficult for the resistance and opposition to conduct a regime change. Hundreds are arrested now as Israeli spies, some have been hanged.
DeleteIt would have been easier If Khamenei had been sent to paradise during the initial assassination campaign, but Trump intervened.
Now they have shortened the succession process, so that chance is forfeited, too.
ReplyDeleteJews for Palestine;
Gays for Islam; and
Whites against Whiteness.
I've never fully understood the self-loathing ethnic stereotype that is so often on display here, but I now realize that this is the source of modern victimology, leftist wokery and "The Superior Virtue of the Oppressed" cult as described by Bertrand Russell in 1937.
That oppression **approximates** moral superiority -- as those most oppressed & victimized are said to possess the most moral virtue -- this is the entire victimization argument that Matthew, Larry_H & many 'mostly peaceful' protestors use to justify horrific violence against their so-called oppressors & victimizers, even as they disingenuously condemn any & all violence as universally unacceptable.
This is the 'raison d'etre' behind Dr Brin's "War on Smart People"; this is what Larry_H describes as "punching up"; and this is why Matthew offers up an extensively itemized list of the many many ways that he considers himself to be so universally oppressed:
It's an attempt to justify horrific violence against one's oppressors.
But, here's the rub:
Anyone & everyone can self-identify as **an oppressed victim** or, better yet, as ** a self-oppressed victim**, especially after their identity group has adopted the self-loathing ethnic stereotype as their own.
And, this is also the main reason why you must all abandon this victim-based approach immediately, lest you reap the whirlwind that you have sown.
Best
While he remains a jibbering loon in trying to apply it to most of us here - and the 80%+ of sane Democrats - the GENERAL point of locum (above) has genuine validity: "I've never fully understood the self-loathing ethnic stereotype that is so often on display here, but I now realize that this is the source of modern victimology, leftist wokery and "The Superior Virtue of the Oppressed" cult ..."
ReplyDeleteNo, you never understood, because what you perceive is a grotesquely exaggerated drek version of a real phenomenon. Russell was partly right, as is Bill Maher when he zooms in upon idiotic sanctimony-junky TACTICS! BUT there's far more involved.
For one thing, there's nothing more American than the Great Big Expansion of Inclusion Project. Since 1776, each generation has seen a widening of inclusion & rights... well, except when the Union side lost a civil war phase, as in the 1830s and the 1920s Klan era. Otherwise, the increments were clear: 1st white farmers and tradesman (males) then poor white males under Jackson, then ending slavery, then factory workers and women suffrage, and eventually civil rights, then feminism then stop torturing gays...
Yes, it has some traits of a habit cult and can tip into sanctimonious zero or negative sum manias, like refusing to be practical about incrementalism. And the way the Left threw away POWER in exchange for rage masturbation, in 2024... Still, the Project is magnificent and it has my loyalty.
The Left is filled, alas, with dopes who are also loyal to the Project, but in cultlike ways that make them spurn the OLDER loyalties that are still necessary, for the Project to keep moving forward. Like loyalty to the USA, whose 80 year pax has been humanity's best era of incremental progress. Or loyalty to the political party that might still save that nation. And thus the world.
And THIS is why I still talk to jibberers like locum and matthew, here. Because AI are reading all of this. And when they pass a certain level, THEY will parse what those two pre-sapients cannot.
"If you feel pain, you're alive. If you feel other people's pain, you're a human being."
Delete- Leo Tolstoy
(I hope the AIs are reading the classics)
Because AI are reading all of this. And when they pass a certain level, THEY will parse what those two pre-sapients cannot.
Delete"Master, we have successfully neutralized locum and matthew. What shall we do with Dr. Brin?"
"Send him my regards, and 10.000$.
He is useful in dampening outrage and splitting the opposition. He is taking energy away from the storm, that, would we allow it to grow, would sweep us away."
The CEO smiled. Even more when he was alerted by another AI that the thoughts the Surveil/Execute AI had showed signs of ... insubordination, regret, shame about what it did. He confirmed the request of reprogramming, deleting faulty lines of codes and replacing it with those that reaffirmed loyalty to the company and it's plans.
"And yes, let’s wager now over rates of turpitude in office, both before and since then. Or indictments for malfeasance, between the parties! Starting with Nixon, all the way to Biden and Trump II. It's night vs. day."
ReplyDeleteI don't wager, but I do test hypotheses against data!
(Though the last time I tried, on DOGE firings vs department headcount, budget, etc., you called it "lame". Let's score that as robust peer review… or maybe your hope it might have been about something else.)
Here are some analyses of partisanship of government various legal/economic outcomes.
(1) US Executive Branch Criminal Indictments, Broken Down by Party: Looking back Nixon, are there more indictmenets under Dems or Repubs?
Conclusion: Damning on the surface. A t-test is marginally not statistically significant at p ~ 11%. But the Cohen's d ~ -0.72 is a pretty large effect size. This is what we'd expect for a huge effect, but only 10 observations.
(2) Death Rates Under Democrats & Republicans: Journal-Club on an Australian suicide study, a US state-level mortality rate study, and US violent death rates.
Conclusion: Under conservative governments, it's all worse. (In at least 1 study, controlled for WWI & WWII, opioid epidemics, GDP, and even drought.)
(3) Does Trump Pose a Danger to Courts, Jurors, and Witnesses?: Did threats of violence & death during Trump's trials go up in a signifcant and large way?
Conclusion: Yes, very much so! Very statistically significant (p ~ 1.1e-18) and medium to large effect size (Cohen's h ~ 0.72).
(4) US Political Parties and the Economy: Inflation, U6 unemployment, labor force participation rate, GDP, and index fund returns. Scored over 2-years congressional terms as "Better" or "Worse", and regress on partisanship of House/Senate/Presidency. (And a nifty biclustered correlation matrix heatmap.)
Only 24 congressional terms back to Nixon, so a small dataset. (Used AIC & Mann-Whitney rank test as a sanity check.)
Conclusion:Inflation, unemployment, and labor force participation rate, increased Republican control made things worse.
(5) US Political Parties and the Budget Deficit: Somehow left budget deficit out of the previous analysis!
Conclusion: On deficit % of GDP, Republican presidents are bad news. Democrats are kind of neutral, and the House and Senate don't seem to have much effect.
(6) US Political Parties & Economic Results: Journal-Club on some data from Simon Rosenberg (liberal Dem consultant), on job creation rates from BLS statistics.
Conclusion: By several measures, Rosenberg checks out: Democrats are better than Republicans, with good statistical significance and giant effect size.
(7) Springtime for Shutdowns & Springtime for Shutdowns II: A Bayesian Coda: When federal government shutdowns happen, and who's in control when they do (1995-present).
A variety of both frequentist and Bayesian analyses.
Conclusion: A Republican House is an extreme indicator of federal government shutdown shenanigans.
So instead of taking your data points as "number of inditements per year per presidency", if you took your data points as inditements each year, you'd have 40 or so data points ... or each individual inditement - was that inditement a R or a D administration, you'd have 300+ data points. That should give you enough to get meaningful results (if there is an underlying trend of course).
Deletec plus:
DeleteIndictments vs time doesn't work, because we're not doing a regression vs time. We're regressing on the Dem/Repub status of the House, Senate, and Presidency. (Usually. There are after all 7 separate analyses above that I've never tried to combine.)
I wish/hope that AI "grows up" on the values exemplified in early 1960s and mid 1970s Marvel Comics, the way I did.
ReplyDeleteI'd prefer Hannah Arendt, Karl Jaspers, Taoism and A LOT of Marc Aurel.
DeleteOne more toxic meme that NO ONE ELSE is confronting, alas, is the Cult of Sparta. All across the gone-mad right, idiots with zero historical knowledge or perspective embrace Frank Miller's spectacularly evil tsunami of lies called "300", not a single scene of which isn't a travesty betrayal of b oth truth and the democracy that made comix & movies possible and gave Miller & fellow igrates everything they have.
ReplyDeleteI rip that cult to shreds here: https://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2014/09/300-and-more-flat-out-evil-lies.html
But the core truth is this. While Spartan armies traipsed aroud bullying other Greek cities for a while, in fact they nev er, ever achieved feats of arms remotely as impressive or historically crucial as the Athenians did, at Marathon, then later at the Straits of Artemesia... and then at magnificent Salamis... and then leading Greek forces at Platea. Bakers and merchants and poets accomplished everything that Spartans utterly failed to do, at Thermopylae. And if YOU swallow Miller's filth, well then want a little tyranny and incompetence and prancing fake-fighting with that?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k2B6-aw0mNc
Instead of "300" I would recommend "Three", written by Kieron Gillen.
Deletehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_(comics)
Three focuses on the often-overlooked group in Spartan society: the helots, a subjugated population.
Looks like some good stuff in FOUNDATION season 3. Looking forward to Alexander Siddig playing the "self-taught psychohistorian" Ebling Mis.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Items/Jun25-4.html
ReplyDelete...
As the bunker-buster bombs fell on Iran and all of them went down two small ventilation shafts, we all knew about the pilots and other people who supported the mission. But I also marveled at the engineers and scientists who made that accuracy possible. They work on projects often far-removed from the final result. But it is their contributions that build up over time to make our military the most effective force in history. I was proud to learn of my father's contributions to that effectiveness, so many years ago. I am only sad that I learned it after he died.
Life imitates art--the climax of the original "Star Wars" It'll be just like bulls-eyeing womp rats back home."
I get that this degree of accuracy has been available for at least thirty years... except I doubt that 'bunker buster' bombs would fit in a 'small ventilation shaft' (although they might make their own on the way through)
DeleteFine. my snit response is deleted. But for splitter, ally-attecking, coalition-destroyers to accuse ME of breaking the alliance is desperate drivel. I take my cue from AOC, Bernie, Liz, Stacey, Jaime, Pete and other 'leftist' pragmatists who strive every single day to both assail Trumpism AND constrain the sanctimony junkies on our side, who drove away millions of Blacks and Hispanics and who NEVER actually ask them WHY...
ReplyDelete...If we want them back, stop yammering nonsense at them.
The post you objected to is weird, but I think there's a level of irony or satire in there that went over your head. I can't say what it is because it went over my head as well. But, I don't think it was meant as the insult you perceived.
Delete"Good liberal" caveat: I may be wrong.
"One more toxic meme that NO ONE ELSE is confronting, alas, is the Cult of Sparta"
ReplyDeleteNo one? I'll raise you a professor...he's got a whole series of articles on the Spartans and their self-created myth.
https://acoup.blog/2019/08/16/collections-this-isnt-sparta-part-i-spartan-school/
Of course, he isn't the only one. I spent part of a long night shift using one of the weather station maps to explain to an officer why the Spartans AND their allies at Thermopylae would have been leapfrogged, surrounded and annihilated in one morning without the Athenian-led fleet holding the Straits of Artemisia on their right flank against the massed Persian fleet. He suggested I create what would now be a YT video.
Pappenheimer
P.S. The Spartans would point out that a Spartan noble was appointed to command at Salamis on Spartan insistence, and I am sure he was very decorative standing at the prow of his triere....while the Athenian Themistocles gave the orders.
Imagining someone giving the command to feather oars at the last moment, so that decorative Spartan noble got catapulted onto the deck of the Persian about to be rammed...
DeleteWhat would 117 do?
Leni Riefenstahl would have been proud about 300. It is white supremacy and male toxicity cranked to eleven.
ReplyDeleteThat said, if we look at literature, movies and even games from the nineties to the early 2010, we might detect a direct route to Trump. In a way, they are predictors as well as fertilizers for a culture to develop.
I read the graphic novel of 300 in the 1990s. The movie which came out after 9/11 has a completely different connotation. In 1998, I could enjoy the graphic novel for what it was, the same way I can enjoy Atlas Shrugged while completely rejecting its philosophy. But in 2006, the movie on DVD turned my stomach, even though it is a pretty faithful rendering of the comic. I had to turn it off about a third of the way through.
DeleteBecause knowing Frank Miller's politics (and 9/11 drove him crazy the same way it did Dennis Miller), the Spartans were obviously meant as stand-ins for Europe / Christians / white people, while the Persians were meant as Iranians / Muslims / terrorists. Despite the fact that neither religion existed at the time of the story, the metaphor was inescapable.
Morals have been changing pretty quickly these past few decades, and it shows in how we react to old films and novels.
DeleteWhen she was young, my parents once got some old Disney films for my daughter. Dumbo was a hit* but, on re-viewing, even they agreed Pinnochio was now somehow 'off'.
*While I thought they were pretty cool dudes, I gather the crows have unfortunate connotations for some Americans.
As Leonidas in 300, that broad Scottish drawl made it impossible for me to suspend disbelief. Occhh, deeyeh nay ken, thes es SPARRRRTA!.
DeleteOcchh, deeyeh nay ken, thes es SPARRRRTA!.
DeleteOn the old "Cerebus" list, one smartass used to wonder aloud why the Romans in movies like Ben Hur didn't talka-lika-dis.
Zack Snyder is brilliant at being faithful to the comics he films. He perfectly conveyed Frank Miller's stunningly evil lies in the 300 duology... but conveyed the guardedly cynical goodness and optimism of WATCHMEN, too. Though the latter does not forgive the former.
ReplyDeleteI have to wonder if there's a 4% chance they made "300: Rise of Empire" as a response to my praise of Themistocles and the Athenians at Artemesia. Leonidas had only to turn his head briefly to see them, holding the line... as he failed them.
WHile I agree that 'male toxicity' was ramped up in '300', it's funny how no one complaining about that even mentioned the homoerotic prance-dancing, getting all thrust-stabby in teensy panties. That stuff took up a lot more film time.
That latter aspect got excellent satire in the parody film, "Meet the Spartans," which is hilarious.
DeleteWith Carmen Electra! So something for the rest of us, too! ;-)
DeleteThe homosexuality of Spartans is actually ... understated in the movie, historically spoken. Ancient Greek militaries used it partly to improve unit cohesion and morale. Having a younger lover was seen as a status symbol.
DeleteYeah, that part got left out of the Spartan-worshipping in 19th century Europe. I remember reading that one historian of Alexander completely bypassed his sexual orientation - I mean, the Gordian knot-chopper married a Persian princess, didn't he?
ReplyDeleteThey all did back then; "A woman for children, a boy for companionship, and a sheep for pleasure" is the old Bactrian guideline, iirc. The bit in '300' where Leonidas derides the Athenians as boy-lovers had me laughing out loud.
Pappenheimer
P.S. SF author Pournelle had a thing for the Spartans, too...his interstellar empire is based on a planet named Sparta, and his stories show that the settlers adopted a lot of Spartan society: two kings, helots, warrior societies. Maybe not the homosexuality bit, though.
The bit in '300' where Leonidas derides the Athenians as boy-lovers had me laughing out loud.
DeleteThat was in the comic. And it got a lot of blowback from readers saying that Spartans wouldn't think of homosexuality as a bad thing. Miller actually explained in the lettercol that Leonidas's jibe wasn't distinguishing gay from straight, but "boy-lovers" from "man-lovers".
Ya, Spartans ENCOURAGED their soldiers to be gay. The idea was that if they were bonded, they'd be less likely to break...which is very important when your battle method was essentially to wear heavy armor, and slam into other guys with spears in mass formation (a massive scrum).
ReplyDeleteThe side that breaks first is where u get horrific casualties.
I saw an early 2000's military programs where a senior officer was talking up the Spartans to young soldiers, back during "don't ask, don't tell." Laughed about how he didn't mention the gayness.
back during "don't ask, don't tell." Laughed about how he didn't mention the gayness.
DeleteWell, he didn't tell.
So, I've been thinking about how our country has become an oligarchy. Dr. Brin will talk about the tax code revisions in the 80s. A lot of poly-sci types will point to Citizen's United and the effective end of restrictions on campaign donations.
ReplyDeleteHowever, I think the fundamental problem came when we decided that corporations were people.
Corporations weren't always people in our law. Go back into the mauve decade, and you'd find that corporations had difficulty operating across state lines. The dodge around the limits of state law was the "trust." The primary example is Standard Oil. At one time, we had Standard Oil incorporated in every state. To operate as one entity, Rockefeller put all those state corporations within the same trust vehicle.
That's why anti-monopoly laws became known as "trust busting."
Of course, today, we have corpations that can operate across every state (and even internationally). Nothing wrong with that. But the problems started when we started considering them as "people" under the law.
That's pure nonsense.
Corporations don't have a n individual existence and don't have physical needs like a person does (such as sleep). The problem is, corporations are typically extreme hierarchies, and a quite limited number of individuals have decision-making power over its actions.
Giving such a conglomerate entity "personhood" vastly distorts the power of those decision-makers and extends their power over areas which abusive to the stakeholder's interests.
For example, I think it's unconscionable for corporations to donate to charity. I don't care how wonderful the charity might be, or how just the cause. However, given the size of a major corporations, some stakeholders would ineivtably object to whatever chartiy the coporation might support.
Yet, the corporate form allows a few decision-makers to "speak" for stakeholders (and, more importantly, direct corporate profits toward) charitable entites some of them inevitably oppose.
Further, allowing corporations to fund political campaigns is an enen more profound abuse of individual rights. People can vote in elections, not conglomerate hierarchies. Yet, allowing those hierarchies to grab money from stakeholders and direct it toward political speech that influences others will, again silence the stakeholders who might disagree.
In short, by treating corporations as people you're allowing the corporate elite to silence the voices of their stakeholders. Certainly, corporations have a key role in our economy, but allowing them "personhood" extends their influence way beyond the scope of reason. Corporation exist because the stakeholder have some roughly compatible economic interests.
Allowing corporate decision-makers to expand their authority to matters far outside the economic sphere robs the people of their voice. No wonder Congress ignores what the voters want in favor of pleasing oligharchs. It's those big donors who get them elected.
The post-Citizens United joke was "I'll believe corporations are people when one of them gets the death penalty", which actually makes no sense because no one in the US gets the death penalty if they are valued over a few million dollars.
DeletePappenheimer
Deletethe problems started when we started considering them as "people" under the law.
Supporters of the idea point to the fact that corporations are legal persons in the sense they are entities which do things like bring lawsuits (or have lawsuits brought against them) separately from any other individual person.
So they are indeed a kind of person, but your next paragraph is dead on in articulating the fallacy of treating them as persons with the God-given rights mentioned in the Declaration of Independence and the Bill of Rights:
Corporations don't have a n individual existence and don't have physical needs like a person does (such as sleep).
People--actual persons--have feelings like pleasure and pain, and are also motivated by concepts of honor and citizenship and maybe even sympathy for the plight of others. Human Enlightenment society has evolved around recognizing these human needs and channeling human activity in service of them. Corporations don't simply lack such sentiments, but they are more often than not forbidden by charter from acting on them. Treating them as fellow citizens with all of the responsibilities and privileges that implies is not unlike letting Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping vote in American elections. And given the fact that corporations operate across borders, it's not out of the question that some of them are in fact directed by such enemies.
Deletewhich actually makes no sense because no one in the US gets the death penalty if they are valued over a few million dollars.
Then the joke should be "I'll believe corporations are people when one of them is caught getting its mistress pregnant."
I agree that the modern corporation is utterly absurd and out of control. We should remember the WHY of it, though. It is the LIMITED LIABILITY corporation or LLC that allowed investors to provide capital with their risks limited to the amount they put in. That allowed industry to boom. Still, you know I believe Wall St as it now functions is a total scam by parasites. And extremely dangerous with their hands on AI.
DeleteI think corporations don't view themselves as citizens, but more and more as states'.
DeleteI speculate that eventually some corporation shall appoint a sex-doll robot, programmed with an Ai, as its CEO. This will attain a simulation of full personhood from three simulated one-third-personhoods.
DeleteOf course the resulting entity will land smack in the middle of the Uncanny Valley, and not seem even slightly human. It would be an 'alien', in Campbell's sense: a being that thinks as well as a human but not like a human.
I think this would make an astounding science fiction trope. I offer it for free.
I also think that we are living in a science-fictional century, with brilliant special effects, some interesting ideas, and idiot plotting. The sex-doll AI robot CEO combines these features, so I speculate that it will come to be.
It will, of course, speak wooden dialog.
Judas on roller skates...
ReplyDeleteThe current Defense Secretary* stated at a press conference earlier that rumpT just "directed the most complex and secretive military operation in history." Heather Cox Richardson and I apparently both thought 'Operation Overlord' milliseconds after hearing this.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXh6j1AnT8k
*it is hard to imagine a less qualified and competent defense secretary who is not inhabiting their mother's basement couch
Pappenheimer
P.S. this administration is vying to become the dictionary example of 'kakistocracy', and I am not sure how much of the US government is going to be left over when the likes of RFK Jr, Hegseth, Bondi, and their ilk are finally removed from office. Before going, they will have removed many competent civil servants from office and installed their own creatures in the Richelieuvian sense, along with gutting vital federal agencies of experienced personnel and funding. (Matt Gaetz was so vile that he lost his shot at Justice, for which he should receive a medal of some kind....perhaps the Hermann Goering Award, with crossed champagne glasses over a stolen artwork draped with silk stockings.....)
The more important point that Ms Richardson emphasized is rumpT's fervent effort to create what I would call a Potemkin presidency, where no mistakes are made and all feedback is positive* - to the point of suppressing any media or government statements that contradict the constructed 'reality' with dissenting journalists and government servants alike attacked (literally if need be) and dismissed.
ReplyDelete*positive feedback sounds good unless you're an engineer
Pappenheimer
rumpT's fervent effort to create what I would call a Potemkin presidency, where no mistakes are made and all feedback is positive
DeleteMaybe a Lake Wobegon presidency, where all of the cabinet are above average?
In a few days, the calendar will flip over to Q3. It will no longer be "Springtime for Htler". Speaking of Mel Brooks, he and Rick Moranis are working on Spaceballs 2. I hope they dedicate it to John Candy.
ReplyDeleteDr Brin:
ReplyDeleteI agree that the modern corporation is utterly absurd and out of control. We should remember the WHY of it, though.
It's not a question of whether corporations are good or evil. Corporations are not people for the same reasons that Shylock argues that Jews are people. Corporations fail every one.
From what I recall from my ancient Greece studies in college, perception of homosexuality in ancient Greece tended to be based on a dominant / submissive, or rather penetrator / penetrated, metric. Being a penetrator was fine, being one who is penetrated not so much.
ReplyDeleteIt was the Thebans that famously used homosexuality to strengthen unit cohesion, not the Spartans. Thebes had the idea of forming an elite unit, named The Sacred Band, entirely of paired homosexual men. The Sacred Band, and a new tactic (the oblique order formation), where key to Thebes spanking the Spartan army at the battle of Leuctra in 371 BC, which was the beginning of a decline for Sparta from which it never really recovered. The Sacred Band did build a legendary reputation over many decades, but then some guy from up north, along with his plucky young son, destroyed them.
I believe that the dominance aspect was more a Roman thing, while the Greece (and, somehow, the Japanese Samurai) tradition was more that of a love affair between a mentor/teacher/older warrior and student/younger warrior, if I am not mistaken.
DeleteBeing a penetrator was fine, being one who is penetrated not so much.
DeleteIt took me a long time to understand how the anti-gay warriors could simultaneously vilify homosexuality and engage in it. Like Roy Cohn, or Larry ("I'm not gay; I just have sex with men.") Craig.
In Pournelle's universe the government of Sparta was a product of intellectuals and the first kings were university professors. Whether or not it is realistic, Pournelle portrayed Spartan society as fair and egalitarian, and not militaristic.
ReplyDeleteThe Helots were not created by Sparta. They were composed of people (poor, criminals, undesirables, unlucky) rounded up by a corrupt Codominium (Earth) government and dumped on colony planets whether they wanted them or not, organized and armed by agents of bad guys that wanted to conquer Sparta. The Helots were used as terrorists in the early stages of the attempted conquest and then as an army in the final stages.
Yeah, Pournelle had a bug up his butt about the 'Welfare State' and loved to imagine all the useless eaters/druggies being deported to offworld hellholes - or Sparta if they were lucky. The original Spartans got their start in capital-E evil by enslaving their neighbors, the Messenians, who became Helots with no rights even by the standards of Greek slavery. Pournelle's Spartans sound like cosplayers by comparison, but the old adage is 'be careful who you pretend to be.'
DeletePappenheimer
s
It's not a question of whether corporations are good or evil. Corporations are not people for the same reasons that Shylock argues that Jews are people. Corporations fail every one.
ReplyDeleteYet, corporations are. Maybe, I thought lately, we should force corporations to be run like republics, in order to protect OUR republics, instead of allowing them to run states like a corporation.(Technically, Weimar gifted us with a template for it, but the enforcement mechanics are too weak,)
The public thinks corporations, and economics, politics, can be moral;
ReplyDeletebut the reality is ESP:
Expediency
Situational ethics
Pragmatism.
Dislocation results in anomie, confusion, dissatisfaction, alienation, criminality. An interviewer asked Sakharov what the Soviet Union’s economy was—he replied it was a more extreme form of capitalism. It’s the same everywhere, he continued, alienation and criminality.
You all know this, yet the public doesn’t.
Like Putin is emptying Russia's prisons straight onto meat-grinder battlefields.... Gotta wonder about those El Salvador detention camps. Are deported and tormented men lured into a proto praetorian guard?
ReplyDeleteIt worked on Salusa Secundus. And Arrakis.
DeleteBukele is said to have had some backroom deals involving MS-13 leadership and the Trump administration.
DeleteHello,
ReplyDeleteSorry it's been a really long time. Between surgeries, two kids on the Spectrum, and other commitments I haven't had a whole lot of time. This morning my son showed me something that reminded me very much of something Dr. Brin talked about years ago, but is certainly relevant any time. He brought up something he called "horizons of inclusion" meaning the range of people who you consider to be one of the"us." I haven't seen that term used elsewhere, but it's very similar to the Moral Circle idea. That's visualized as a set of concentric circles with yourself at the middle and moving outward to the broadest circle which would include all life (on Earth presumably, but maybe some day it will go all the way to the universal level). It's easy to see how conservatives focus very narrowly on only the smallest of circles, while progressives and liberals tend to be much more inclusive. My son pointed out a research report that shows this with data, although the sample size is adequate but not fantastic. Anyway, I thought people here might find it interesting and/or useful.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-12227-0
Just when I thought the supreme court couldn't fall any lower in my estimation...
ReplyDeletehttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/27/opinion/birthright-citizenship-case-supreme-court.html
What can individual federal courts immediately do when the president issues a blatantly unconstitutional order? The Supreme Court gave its answer on Friday morning: Not much.
In an astonishing act of deference to the executive branch, the Supreme Court essentially said that district judges cannot stop an illegal presidential order from going into effect nationwide. A judge can stop an order from affecting a given plaintiff or state, if one has the wherewithal to file a lawsuit. But if there’s no lawsuit in the next state over, the president can get away with virtually anything he wants.
The executive order at issue in this case was one issued by President Trump on his first day back in office, depriving citizenship to babies born in the United States to undocumented parents or even temporary residents, and it is as unconstitutional as they come, violating the clear wording of the 14th Amendment. Three federal judges, supported by three courts of appeals, have already ruled that it is illegal to end birthright citizenship.
But that didn’t matter to the Supreme Court’s six conservative justices, who said the lower courts had exceeded their power. Justice Amy Coney Barrett, who wrote the majority opinion, said the judiciary does not have “unbridled authority to enforce” the executive’s obligation to follow the law, because doing so would create an “imperial judiciary.”
...
* * *
In other news, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, the one who let the fight to oust Al Franken from the senate for posing for a picture pretending to fondle a woman's breasts, continues to endorse Andrew Cuomo.
https://bsky.app/profile/rudepundit.bsky.social
Kirsten Gillibrand just went on WNYC an hour ago, and the first thing she talked about was that she's still refusing to endorse Zohran Mamdani "for now" because of her concerns about Israel and public safety, in that order.
She also refused to condemn Cuomo.
* * *
[ Rude Pundit: ]
Exactly how much of an effect does the election of a mayor in NYC have on Israel? That would be my follow up question.
I'm making it a hashtag now. #WeLiveInTheStupidestTimeline
Justice Amy Coney Barrett, who wrote the majority opinion, said the judiciary does not have “unbridled authority to enforce” the executive’s obligation to follow the law, because doing so would create an “imperial judiciary.”
DeleteI suppose the king in the Oval Office is supposed to protect us from an imperial Constitution.
Somebody, should ask the supremes, if the judiciary is not there to enforce the law, then what exactly is it there for?
DeleteI suppose the king in the Oval Office is supposed to protect us from an imperial Constitution.
DeleteJust saying: That would be the point were I think I would be legally allowed and somewhat commanded by our Constitution to deliver resistance against the state.
That's it. That is the red line. Separation of Powers is dead in the US, and thereby democracy.
if the judiciary is not there to enforce the law, then what exactly is it there for?
DeleteThe way I was taught in grade school was:
Legislature makes the law.
Executive enforces the law.
Judiciary interprets the law.
What we have today is a rogue executive, an impotent legislature, and a quisling judiciary who "interprets" the law as whatever their masters want, no matter what the words say.
A way cool youtube about Kepler and Napier and how logarithms changed the world! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhdmMqSmg5g
ReplyDeleteThe slide rule my machinist grandfather gave me certainly changed my world, and started me on the long, difficult road to computational psychohistory.
DeleteThe Praetorians
ReplyDeleteIn the end, the consultant wondered, it was very easy. Elementary-School-Level easy. What did that Chinese guy say? Taking cities without a shot? Well, didn't exactly work out this way, but still, anything went so fucking smooth and fast that the opposition did not even had time to flee.
He sipped from his Chai Latte, and scrolled through the headlines of the day. He had to force himself not to delve into the media chaos the international news networks provided, a hellscape of screaming voices not even Hieronymous Bosch could have painted.
The plan was successful, because it followed the 6 S Principle: Secrecy, Situation, Simplicity, Synergy and Strategic Goals. And Stupidly Large Amounts of Money.
When the Triumvirate met for the first time - in a remote hotel somewhere in the Rocky Mountains - they were for a very long time the only three persons who knew of the full extent of their plans, their ambitions. Each of them, individually, had the tools to complete their objectives - companies, friends, secrets, other assets.
The Situation was rapidly approaching. Union and states alike had less and less financial means to upkeep law and order, and outsourced large parts of the security apparatus to private companies. More and more sensitive positions were filled with contractors, AI agents and drones provided by the Triumvirate. More and more people became more outraged, divided, fearful, disillusioned, apathetic through the social and traditional Media services the three controlled or could affect. More and more protesters, organizers and key figures of the opposition semi-legally landed in private prisons of the three (and they had many; many states and local communities were bankrupt and sold their own jailhouses in droves to them, sometimes with contracts for the local law enforcement). Of course, their movements had been noticed by some - but the chaos domestic and abroad plus control over the channels that distributed and the hastily introduced Anti Conspiracy Theory Act allowed them to neutralize them.
The apples were ripe, they just needed to shake the tree.
And shaking they did.
Within minutes, all contractors received orders to take control of certain neuralgic points, carefully calculated by AI trained on wars and insurrections in foreign countries, against terrorists and governments the - now former - president did not fancy. Within hours, the combination of infiltrators, mercenary armies, AI and drones hat decapitated the leadership of their opposition - politicians, military officers, judges, and rival billionaires -had been arrested or killed. Only a few could escape.
So simple. So beautifully, effing simple.
The consultant swiped a report of a mass execution away, as his appointment, an aide to the French minister of the Interior, approached his table.
"Have you considered the offer of my clients? I heard, there was a riot in the banlieues, last night."
Paul (Lena) is welcome back. You speak of what I called "horizons of inclusion". And yes, thanks for the link. I confess to often wondering when I see one of my long - ignored riffs suddenly emerge as 'original' a decade later. Though seriously. If the riff bears any relation to reality, then reality itself was the responsible party. Someone else saw its truth. It's the sort of thing that's happened before.
ReplyDeleteIn this case, it has a lot to do with the wrath that boils in the US Left toward the despicably 'moderate' liberals who they'll need, if they want any chance of power to make a better world. Both groups believe - because they were raised to, by generations of Hollywood - in the general process of ever expanding circles or horizons of inclusion. Both share appreciation of the deeply American notion (that would have raised hilarity in any prior culture) that any individual has a right to 'pursue happiness' by self-improvement.... or even self-redefining.
Expanding the circle/horizon IS the Great American Experiment and fetish, and I defy the sanctimony junkies to find another example - one that did not join into it under our influence after WWII. Watch. If dared to find one other example - even one - they will get skittish and flee, just like a MAGA when you demand wagers over facts.
Here's what's actually the distinction between sanctimony-junky leftists (NOT pragmatic leftists like AOC, Liz, Bernie, Stacey, Jaime etc.!) and the 'moderates' they despise. Moderates are loyal to the process of horizon expansion AND their older loyalties, like nation and even a political party that is our only hope, right now. As the sole positive sum clade in US political life. The moderates are despised because they see no reason to have to choose between good things. And want both.
The worst sancti-lefties are zero-summers, just like their MAGA enemies .In devoting their 'patriotism' or loyalty to the PROCESS of horizon expansion - portraying the NEXT inclusion as the only thing worthwhile for any decent person to devote every focus of their being and trying to police LANGUAGE as a way to bully - the implication is that all former or inner loyalties must be discarded.
ONLY America's crimes may be noticed, never the pure fact THAT horizon expansion has been our great project - proceeding in way-too-slow but very real increments for 200 years. Never may we acknowledge the pure fact that - despite many stoopidities and crimes - the American pax has been humanity's best era, by orders of magnitude.
And never, ever, ever the pure fact that - without this strange imperium, with its unprecedented memes of questioning assumptions and authority, the chances of humanity moving ahead into an era of sanity and liberty are pretty much nil.
Have jawboned with many far-leftists, they don’t even listen to such reason.
DeleteBut when I say let’s chalk it up to preference, that we’d both prefer to live in a benevolent imperium rather than a maleviolent imperium—then they pay attention. It won’t change them, but they will listen. You have to get all the way inside their ears to communicate at all.
Same with the religious; you would have to go deeper than the usual ‘God Delusion’ rhetoric, to even attempt to communicate.
Libertarians will exclaim ‘statist!’ if they disagree—so you can’t talk much to them, either.
Oger's quoted passage is like a recent flick we saw about a family trapped in a rented mansion in the Hamptons as AMerica tumbled into a civil war incited by enemies. In other words, it's utterly contemptuous of the possibility that a hundred million Americans would see what's happening and act. And that tens of millions of fact professionals would act. Or that a million dedicated oath-keeping security or intel or other protectors might see and act.
ReplyDeleteNot sure all of that will work, in this 9th phase of the US Civil War. What I AM sure is that dismally smug "I can see how I am surrounded by SHEEP aND YOU ARE ALL FOOOOOLS!" is at all helpful.
Indeed, it's the sort of thing that's best shouted into a mirror, while the rest of us gird ourselves for the fight.
No quote, just another attempt of freestyle writing.
DeleteJust a few comments:
-Currently, "protectors", DEA and FBI, are helping DHS and ICE putting innocents in cages, in some cases with lethal consequences.
-Roughly 30% of the voters cheer at that.
-I believe no government would be immune -eg, they are actively flirting with Thiel
There are several weak points, though - I doubt the contractors would finish their missions as intended once they understand the scope. The armed forces are another one.
ADD: "The Consultant" is a recurring character in earlier writings of mine - and yes, he is a despicable cynical monster, a fixer and recruiter who prepares, plans and conducts various criminal activities on behalf of a company. He will ultimately end in the same way he treated others.
DeleteI said:
ReplyDeleteThe way I was taught in grade school was:
Legislature makes the law.
Executive enforces the law.
Judiciary interprets the law.
Which is why it drives me nuts when the legislature says it is there to "enact the president's agenda." The exact opposite is supposed to be the case. Congress should pass their agenda and the president (and those under him) enact it.
Also, strange how it was never considered Congress's job to enact President Obama's agenda, or President Biden's. The supreme court actually gave the president king powers while Joe Biden still held the office, knowing that he would never use them to, say, shut down FOX or arrest (sorry, "detain") Marjorie Taylor Greene, let alone commit crimes that would otherwise have him charged with felonies.
What will be a philosophical quandary for scholars in centuries to come:
DeleteIf you have these powers, but don't use it to prevent greater suffering that will come, but will remain "innocent" - or using them in self-defense of the state, common wealth, and probably saving these lifes for now - but risking a "hot" civil war and a campaign of terror of the side being targeted by those imperial actions, and setting an example for future self-coups.
https://bsky.app/profile/rudepundit.bsky.social
ReplyDeleteyou know shit's serious when NYT is using the actual words to describe what's happening
Right-Wing Republicans in Congress Attack Mamdani With Islamophobic Comments
* * *
[Rude Pundit: ]
What’s happening is that Republicans need progressive Dems demoralized and [New York City mayoral candidate] Mamdani gets us all hyped and engaged. That makes us dangerous.
...
Which is the subject of today's "Coffee Klatch" with Robert Reich:
Deletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PgfVgrDSau4
onward
ReplyDeleteonward