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Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Part 2 of Agressive Agility: Learn from your opponents' cleverest tactic! And turn it on them.

Aggressive agility. It's called judo, and Democrats stink at it.

Last time (in Part One), I described a clever tactic that Republicans used, in the 90s, to flip the entire Democratic coalition that was built by the Greatest (GI Bill) Generation onto its ass, commencing thirty years of all-out war against America by a newly-amplified and mutated GOP. 

That tactic - Newt Gingrich's Republican Contract With America - struck wavering U.S. citizens (just two years after overwhelmingly electing Democrats) as reformist and reasonable...

...in part because many of its provisions were reasonable-seeming! Whereupon, in classic bait-n-switch, the GOP flushed them all away. Getting power was all that ever mattered to them. Or that has mattered to them, since.

So, this time, let's dive into a historical document that I doubt any of you have ever read. Let alone studied for potential tactical lessons. And we have been suffering from that lazy neglect for more than a generation.

Later, in Part Three, we'll open the floor for potential ways that Democrats and decent independents may stop trying to use sumo against judo users! Ways we can adapt. And win.


 

PONDERING A “NEWER DEAL FOR AMERICA"

 

Part Two

Examining the 1994 Gingrich “Contract”


 

Polls show that average American citizens tend to prefer mainstream Democratic policies, such as government transparency, accountability, science & energy research, improved efficiency, moderate environmentalism, assistance to poor childrentolerance of individual diversity, a far better track record of economic outcomes, and responsible attention to our alliances and international affairs. The rich paying their share. And did I mention science? All of them far more helpful to the nation and humanity than the symbolism obsessions of either the entire gone-mad right ... or a net-unhelpful farthest-left.

 

Nevertheless, the Republican Party has developed politically innovative tactics to overcome these policy disadvantages, in order to win one victory after another. These tactics range from open policy initiatives that sincere people might legitimately argue about... to maligning Rooseveltean liberals as “Marxists”... all the way to corruption of both mass media and voting processes and outright theft of trillions, to create wealth disparities worse even than pre-Revolutionary France.  

 Although many of their techniques are despicable – such as fomenting racism and culture war and attacking every fact profession – it is simply dumb not to study the tenacity and determination that these innovations represent! Indeed, a few of the less-dishonorable Republican tactics may merit the highest tribute -- imitation.

 

Take the Republican Contract with America, that we discussed in Part One. Newt Gingrich and the first wave of neocons used it with startling effectiveness, during their 1994 drive to seize control of Congress. By offering a primly laid-out “deal” to voters, they gave an impression that clearcut and measurable changes would be delivered, if only the GOP were given control. Implicitly implied: Democratic Party leadership had been degenerate and wicked.

 

Also implicit? A willing acceptance of punishment, if the Contract's promises weren’t kept! 

 

Given the “Contract’s” political effectiveness. Ought we give that prodigiously successful tactic attention and study?

 

 

II.   Let's examine the Republican Contract with America

 

Here it is. You may not have read the text, back then. But it merits study by anyone interested in the art of politics. Then compare it to my own proposed draft for a 2025 "Democratic Newest Deal" to follow.

 

The contract listed eight reforms that Republicans promised to enact within Congress itself, followed by ten bills they promised to bring to floor debate and votes to become laws. All were "60% issues" that garnered support from 60%+ of polled Americans, and thus they avoided divisive matters like abortion and school prayer.


Note: actual verbiage from the 1994 Contract is in 
serif type face.

 

 

 

THE REPUBLICAN CONTRACT WITH AMERICA  

 

As Republican Members of the House of Representatives and as citizens seeking to join that body, we propose not just to change its policies, but even more important, to restore the bonds of trust between the people and their elected representatives. That is why, in this era of official evasion and posturing, we offer instead a detailed agenda for national renewal, a written commitment with no fine print.

 

(For the full preamble, see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contract_with_America)

 

 On the first day of the 104th Congress, the new Republican majority will immediately pass the following major reforms (of Congress itself), aimed at restoring the faith and trust of the American people in their government.

PART ONE – They proposed to reform Congressional rules and procedures, in ways that sound virtuous:

 

* FIRST, require all laws that apply to the rest of the country also apply equally to the Congress; 

 

* SECOND, select a major, independent auditing firm to conduct a comprehensive audit of Congress for waste, fraud or abuse; 

 

* THIRD, cut the number of House committees, and cut committee staff by one-third;

 

* FOURTH, limit the terms of all committee chairs;

 

* FIFTH, ban the casting of proxy votes in committee; 

 

* SIXTH, require committee meetings to be open to the public;

 

* SEVENTH, require a three-fifths majority vote to pass a tax increase;

 

* EIGHTH, guarantee an honest accounting of our Federal Budget by implementing zero base-line budgeting.

 

 

PART TWO – Here they listed bills and new laws to enact Republican priorities, also in ways that sounded virtuous.

 

 Thereafter, within the first 100 days of the 104th Congress, we shall bring to the House Floor the following bills, each to be given full and open debate, each to be given a clear and fair vote and each to be immediately available this day for public inspection and scrutiny. 

 

 1. THE FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY ACT: A balanced budget/tax limitation amendment and a legislative line-item veto to restore fiscal responsibility to an out- of-control Congress, requiring them to live under the same budget constraints as families and businesses.

 

 2. THE TAKING BACK OUR STREETS ACT: An anti-crime package including stronger truth-in- sentencing, "good faith" exclusionary rule exemptions, effective death penalty provisions, and cuts in social spending from this summer's "crime" bill to fund prison construction and additional law enforcement to keep people secure in their neighborhoods and kids safe in their schools.

 

 3. THE PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY ACT: Discourage illegitimacy and teen pregnancy by prohibiting welfare to minor mothers and denying increased AFDC for additional children while on welfare, cut spending for welfare programs, and enact a tough two-years-and-out provision with work requirements to promote individual responsibility.

 

 4. THE FAMILY REINFORCEMENT ACT: Child support enforcement, tax incentives for adoption, strengthening rights of parents in their children's education, stronger child pornography laws, and an elderly dependent care tax credit to reinforce the central role of families in American society. 

 

 5. THE AMERICAN DREAM RESTORATION ACT: A S500 per child tax credit, begin repeal of the marriage tax penalty, and creation of American Dream Savings Accounts to provide middle class tax relief. (Bill Text) (Description)

 

 6. THE NATIONAL SECURITY RESTORATION ACT: No U.S. troops under U.N. command and restoration of the essential parts of our national security funding to strengthen our national defense and maintain our credibility around the world. 

 

 7. THE SENIOR CITIZENS FAIRNESS ACT: Raise the Social Security earnings limit which currently forces seniors out of the work force, repeal the 1993 tax hikes on Social Security benefits and provide tax incentives for private long-term care insurance to let Older Americans keep more of what they have earned over the years. 

 

 8. THE JOB CREATION AND WAGE ENHANCEMENT ACT: Small business incentives, capital gains cut and indexation, neutral cost recovery, risk assessment/cost-benefit analysis, strengthening the Regulatory Flexibility Act and unfunded mandate reform to create jobs and raise worker wages.

 

 9. THE COMMON SENSE LEGAL REFORM ACT: "Loser pays" laws, reasonable limits on punitive damages and reform of product liability laws to stem the endless tide of litigation. 

 

 10. THE CITIZEN LEGISLATURE ACT: A first-ever vote on term limits to replace career politicians with citizen legislators. (Description)

 

 Further, we will instruct the House Budget Committee to report to the floor and we will work to enact additional budget savings, beyond the budget cuts specifically included in the legislation described above, to ensure that the Federal budget deficit will be less than it would have been without the enactment of these bills. 

 

 

 Okay, there it is, the ingenious document that set in motion a dramatic turnaround in fortunes for the Republican Party. Yes, some - (many?) – parts were despicable dog whistles! But if you are only able to look upon it with loathing, incapable of appreciating its artful skill… or the reasons why it appealed to American swing voters in 1994 … then you have only proved that you are too politically blinkered -- too channeled by reflex hostility -- to see things in a broader perspective.

 

There is so much to examine!

 

Take the first section on Congressional rules and procedures. Here, the majority party in each house has almost total power, constrained only by tradition… and by knowledge that someday they will take their own turn as the minority. Twin constraints that – as of autumn 2025 – no longer seem to concern the House GOP in the slightest. But Speaker Mike Johnson’s complicity with despotism is not the topic here. Rather we are talking about the Contract. Its terms and execution.

 

Of the eight proposed reforms, items labeled THIRD and SEVENTH are rightwing ideological. Number THREE was a continuation of Newt’s banishment of the Office of Technology Assessment and all in-house experts who might say the words that GOP politicians hate most to hear: “That’s not actually true.” A campaign against all facts and fact users that continues to accelerate, today.

 

Number SEVEN accurately reflected Conservative wishes, hoping eventually to shift Social Security into buying stocks that are held mostly by rich Republicans. In order to make them much, much richer.

 

The other six were things that almost any decent citizen might deem reasonable…

 

…and not one of the eight was passed or enforced with any degree of alacrity. Every single one of the in-house reforms was betrayed. And Dems never made an issue of that betrayal.

 

The second section of the Contract was a mélange of attempts at legislation. And hence, the Republicans needed not just a House majority but – for Senate passage – either a filibuster-proof 60 votes, or else a compromise achieved by negotiation with Democrats. Note that Hastert’s “Never Negotiate!” rule was still a year or two in the future. But there was one more obstacle… the veto pen of President Bill Clinton.

 

I won’t go into details here. You can see capsule summaries of the aftermath, the vetoes – with some over-rides – and yes, some negotiated compromises (since the GOP Speaker was still Newt) – in the Contract’s Wikipedia page.  

 

Again, these bills ranged from things that I (and most Democrats or decent/thoughtful people) would deem detestable… all the way to some that aimed in general directions that one could reasonably negotiate. Indeed, as I said earlier, Newt did negotiate a bit with Clinton, amid volcanic partisan-tirades, and there were several effective reforms... that resulted in Newt's ouster by his own party! 


And that’s not the point! The point is that most of the ten were either aimed at augmenting oligarchy… or else betrayed, just like the in-house rule reforms. The net-overall effects were pretty damned meagre.

 

A pause to acknowledge that both parties have since then rushed through major omnibus ‘reform’ bills. The 2025 Republican “Big Beautiful Bill” was a heaping mountain of oligarchic gifts and outright treasons. The 2021-22 “Pelosi Bills” like the Infrastructure Act were vastly more admirable and I deem it borderline criminal the way our own left treated her – and mainstream Dem-pols – after they accomplished so much. (See this!)  And yes, I sure am partisan. I hate the fact that I am compelled to be! But like the 1860s earlier phase of the same civil war, I choose blue because it is the only side with sanity and decency. 

 

Right now, all I ask of you is to squint and consider the tactical effectiveness of the “Contract.” Its gambit at feigning sober-pragmatic sincerity and making plausible promises, while implying the other side is a corrupt morass.

 

Next time in Part Three let’s ponder what it might look like, if we actually study the adversary’s best tactics, so we can use even better ones! And offer our own list of priorities that we intend to fulfill. For the sake of us all.

 

25 comments:

  1. So you should have the
    NEW Contract With America
    Have the whole Republican contract with
    We want to do this - for the good bits
    And
    We DO NOT want to do this - for the bad bits
    AND
    In addition we need to do this - for the other bits

    Finish by thanking the Republican Party for their input way back when - and possibly a snark about how none of it was acted upon

    ReplyDelete
  2. Duncan,

    I have no direct experience of other regions, or other industries, but in the regions and industry that I have worked in illegal immigrants are not taking jobs away from citizens. For years now the problem the company I work for has had is finding any kind of person to hire, and all the other companies in our industry in our region have faced the same thing. It's bad enough that we are one of, if not the, last of our kind in our region.

    This trend started after the great recession of 2008 and steadily worsened. These days, despite constant effort, we have zero regular employees in the field. Our only choice is to hire "subcontractors" and even they are hard to come by. We don't have the luxury of choosing the best price from among several, we pay whatever they ask. All of them are immigrants. Homegrown white folk are nowhere to be found among the pool of available workers.

    In my entire career I've never witnessed immigrants being cheaper labor than non-immigrants. I know that has been a thing, but in more regulated industries like the one I've worked in I think it has been much less prevalent than most suppose. Where that sort of thing has been prevalent is in less well regulated industries like residential construction, agriculture, labor work for private citizens, ect.

    ReplyDelete
  3. It's now official, America is now all in on AI

    https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-rally-nvidia-earning-ai-walmart-results-jobs-data?mod=home_lead

    Stock Market Today: Dow jumps 700 points, Nasdaq and S&P 500 surge after Sept. jobs data; Nvidia earnings revive AI optimism; Walmart dips after results;

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-no-turning-back-on-ai-now-this-firm-says-as-it-boosts-s-p-500-forecast-69bec507?mod=home_lead

    There’s no turning back on AI now, this firm says as it boosts S&P 500 forecast
    ‘This is a truly game-changing technology that will reshape the world economy in the years to come,’ says the bank.

    Let's hope this works out.

    And if SCOTUS shoots down Trump's tariffs, the stock market will go orbital.

    Which is great for those of us who own stocks.

    Not so great for ordinary Americans.

    And the K-shaped economy becomes a harsh fact of life.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. P.S. Given collapsing birth rates, aging populations and inevitable worker shortages we are going to need AI to boost productivity so that fewer worker can be productive enough to pay for Boomer retirements.

      Back in the 70s we had 16 workers per retiree.

      By next decade that will be down to 2 workers per retiree.

      So, using simple numbers, we need an 8 fold increase in productivity to keep the system functioning.

      But if AI pans out it will be bigger than the internet or the computer. It will be like nothing since the invention of the steam engine which created the prosperity of the modern world in the 19th century and ended peasant/lord feudalism and made slavery obsolete.

      But it also created "robber baron" inequality, industrial violence and horrific world wars.

      Buckle your seatbelts, the 21st century is going to be a bumpy ride.

      Delete
    2. The steam engine arrived after prosperity was already on the rise. So did the big push creating world spanning empires for each European nation. The prosperity boom has roots in the 17th century and can be seen in economic data by mid18th.

      The prosperity boom came from us liberating ourselves a bit and accidentally find out that it made a HUGE difference in what the average person could do. THAT’S why the AI changes will cause another boom. What the average person can do is changing.

      Delete
  4. Good comments all three.

    Hm. Cheney funeral. Kamala came without husband and no Clintons. And no Trumps. Not even Vance. Not that I see any 'meaning' or care at all about Cheney. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoXLz_uX2Dk

    ReplyDelete
  5. To Celts point about the number of workers/retiree
    YES there will be more pensioners - but there will be less kids
    The cost/resources required balance out - the demographic mountain is actually a molehill

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Few children mitigates but does not negate an increase in the elderly as the overall total dependency ratios (elderly + young) is projected to have a steady increase in the coming decades and a sharp increase by the end of the century.

      Furthermore, the United States spends 2.4 times as much on the elderly as on children.

      Delete
  6. Off topic, but I found a good and sober analysis on YouTube about the Russian elites, politics and the succession problem:
    Who comes after Putin?

    ReplyDelete
  7. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2p2dz9zk2o

    Donald Trump has accused six Democratic lawmakers of "seditious behaviour, punishable by death", after they released a video urging US service members to refuse unlawful commands.


    Remember the pearl-clutching outrage when we asserted that Trump's actions were treasonous, because that implied that we were calling for him to be executed? IIRC, even our buddy Tacitus was on board that train.

    So where's the outrage at a president explicitly demanding the hanging of congressional Democrats?

    The crickets are no less than I expected, but certainly disappointing.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Where's Cricket?
      Sorry, I'm getting punchy in my old age 8)

      Delete
  8. I do feel that the social contract of taxing those who current work to paying for those currently retired should be technology neutral. If you replace 10 people with automation (factory robot or office AI), then that automated labor should be taxed and the funds go into the pool used to pay social security.

    Is there a SF story about taxing the labor done by robots?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Try "The Midas Plague" by Frederick Pohl

      Delete
  9. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Democrats confirm seditious intent and complain that legal penalty for sedition is unfair to Democrats, but ideal for Trump & Republicans

    These headlines are hilariously insane, are they not?


    Best

    ReplyDelete
  11. jibber-frotheing rabid-spew. Suddenly it is 'sedition' to say "Think twice and get advice before "just following orders" that could send you to prison later or even tried under the Nuremberg Codes. Or that violate the Constitution you are sworn to uphold."

    Yowling fecal froth.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My complaint is that we on the good team were excoriated for even suggesting that the word "traitor" applied to a Russian asset actively harming our country from the White House because doing so implied the ultimate penalty.

      But Von Schitzenpantz gets to expressly call for the death penalty for Democratic congress people, and it's just a Thursday.

      Delete
  12. Yeah, I kinda miss Tacitus too.

    ReplyDelete
  13. https://www.threads.com/@stonekettle

    Zohran Mamdani just completely dogwalked Trump in his own office.

    Mamdani actually got Trump to defend him against a hostile press while speaking up for affordability, condemning antisemitism AND genocide in Gaza, and Trump ended up singing his praises.

    I'm fairly sure Mamdani just torpedoed any chance Elise Stefanik has at governor.

    If the meeting had gone on any longer, I'm fairly sure Trump would have ended up declaring himself a Democratic Socialist.

    It's a hell of a day at sea, Sir!


    On top of this, I haven't found the story myself yet, but my wife tells me that Marjorie Taylor formerly-Greene has announced that she will resign her seat in January.

    Maybe we can (finally) get tired of winning.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Trump respects him because, in his mind, Mamdani is a strongman, or at least a person with a backbone.

      He is surrounded by yes-men, parasites, and underlings, which he clearly recognizes as such and loathes them. The same goes by the consultancy-driven Part of the Democrats, which he sees as weak and ineffectual.

      Personality matters to him, not ideology or pragmatism.

      And this incident might be a valuable lesson for everyone else: send a man with a backbone and clearly defined lines in the sand, not career politicians and diplomats with gifts.

      Delete
  14. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  15. This is likely good news. Trump knows that betraying Ukraine will be unpopular among Americans and even many Republicans. Pretending toughguy and friend, he dangles tomahawks and other next-stage aid before Zelensky, but I've long said "ain't gonna happen." And this ultimatum-flip tells us just one thing. That Vlad Putin has yanked on the leash. Yanked hard, as events on the battlefield and at home give Czar Vlad nightmares about 1917. But NATO has Ukraine's back. Anyway...

    ...anyway, Don should call Vlad's bluff! Any KGB blackmail kompromat videos can now be dismissed as "AI fakery!" The 33% of USians (MAGAs) who excuse every turpitude - and who are already pre-excusing the Epstein reveleations - will easily agree to ignore anything on those Kremlin tapes. And all old Two Scoops needs is 33% of the Senate. (and John Roberts) to hang in there and grift till 2029. (Though healthwise?)

    The danger. If he cries "faked!" at Vlad's videos, is a followup question. What's to keep his cabinet folks from shouting the same thing, re the stuff he has on them?

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/11/21/trump-ukraine-russia-peace-plan/

    ReplyDelete
  16. https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Items/Nov22-1.html

    And here is the dimension that a day's delay added to this item. Here is a list of the highest-on-the-page Trump-related item from 10 major media outlets, as of Friday night at 9:00 p.m. PT. See if you notice a pattern:
    ...
    Yep. Not a one has anything to do with Trump pulling a Mussolini/Hitler/Franco, and calling for leading members of the ooppostion to be put to death. And the story is not to be found lower on the page(s), either. It has completely disappeared. If you were not paying attention during the correct news cycle, you might never even know what happened. For any other president, this would dominate the news for weeks, if not months. For Trump, it's just another Thursday.


    "It's just another Thursday"?

    OMG, Are they reading my posts on this site?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Items/Nov22-2.html

      It is worth noting that [Marjorie Taylor] Greene was hated by the left for 5 years, and never had to fear for her safety. She's been hated by MAGA for 2 weeks, and she's had to engage protection, and then to end her political career.


      Yeah, about all that "left wing" violence...


      Incidentally, the comments on her post are running something like this: 33% "You can't go, because you're the bestest member of Congress ever," 33% "Good riddance!" and 33% "Ah. The Jews finally got to you, apparently?" Those who live by the antisemitic sword, die by the antisemitic sword.


      Heh.

      Delete