Turning the U.S. military into a domestic police force. It's just one of many Project 2025 nightmares-come-true that sound like Nazi Germany or the USSR, right?
Only let me tell you about a time when eerily similar things happened in this very same republic. And back then, it took real pain, sacrifice and courage -- true citizens standing up in their millions -- to restore what has been inarguably the one best -- and possibly last -- hope of humankind.
== Rhyming - creepily - with the past ==
Do you recall just a couple of years ago, when the Foxite incantation howled that 500 new IRS auditors -- hired under the 2021 Pelosi Miracle Bills* to check rich tax cheaters -- would be a 'wave of jack-booted thugs'? Riiight. A few hundred nerdy CPAs hunting billions hidden in Cayman accounts by hedge and inheritance brats... that was looming police state.
But sure, those oligarchs did have reason to fear justice. So justice had to go.
Now, after firing those auditors -- and then all the statistics-keepers and Inspectors General and honest FBI folks -- the Trumpians now cheer as many thousands of masked-tattooed ex-cons rampage across the country without ever showing warrants or ID... and now they are trying to turn the U.S. military into a branch of the insanity. (Ask retired, senior military officers what they think of this!)
What chafes me is that NO ONE is making parallels to the 1850s, when the Fugitive Slave Act and Supreme Court travesties unleashed raiding parties of masked, irregular southern cavalry to go storming across northern states, kidnapping and burning, protected by presidential-appointed marshals and armed troops.
Um, sound familiar? Read about that here! And even earlier parallels made by Robert Heinlein.
The net result of those ravaging, masked gangs, enforcing an evil 'law'? Northerners grew angered and radicalized. Enough to revive their dormant state militias, eventually providing troops needed to save the Union. Oh, and radicalized enough to elect Abraham Lincoln.
You want parallels? Our present mess is almost exactly the same! Except that this time the confederacy has its long-desired foreign backers. And they assume (as they always do, in every phase of this 250 year culture war) that smartypants modernists won't fight.
Sure. As Sam Houston warned his fellow Texans, Blue Americans are cooler of temperament and slower to wrath. But 'when they move it will be with ponderous, unstoppable momentum.'
Today's MAGA/Foxite/Putinist confederacy focuses its core spite not based on race or gender, but against all fact-using professions, from scientists to statisticians to journalists, to the FBI and the U.S. military officer corps. And sure, those cool-blooded fact professionals etc. -- and the tens of millions of folks who believe in them and in things called facts -- are slow to anger.
But we are also the ones who know cyber, nano, bio, nuclear and the rest...
...and MAGA/confederate/KGB-puppets will NOT like us when we get mad.
But you go ahead. Enumerate for yourself the many parallels with the 1850s, including a Supreme Court Chief Justice who will be damned by all future generations as our era's Roger Taney.
And know that you may be asked to step up, at some point. Be undaunted. You are not made of lesser stuff than the heroes of Vicksburg and Gettysburg.
== If Obama had done this ==
Above all, they smell the blood they have wanted since 1865, only this round the confederacy conquered Washington and has its long-sought foreign backers. But Putin and his "ex" commissars are in a hurry. At current trajectories, NATO will be able to stand on its own in just two years. The KGB's stooges here must finish their work or go down with him. And the Union - as in 1863 - is finding its competent leaders.
Oh how it galls them that California's governor is proving adept at getting under old Two-Scoops's skin!
Look, he ain't perfect. But he's good at this. And Californians admire how he's led a progressive state to stability and the world's 4th economy, the most creative, scientific, un-corrupt and well-run commonwealth on Earth. And while he is no Bernie Sanders, Bernie loves Gavin! And read-up on the 2021 Pelosi miracle bills (see below)* before you rant to us about 'moderate sellouts.'
Newsom's response to Texas super-gerrymandering is something that he - (and I and millions) - regret as necessary. I was proud that California, WA, OR, CO and NM led the nation in banning that foul cheat... and we will again! After the master cheaters back off.
Over the longer run, I have offered methods to get around the current Supreme Court's outrageous support for gerrymandering. One concept, that would bypass all politicians, got approving attention from a senior U.S. Court of Appeals judge, who told me it ought to work!
My collection of such potential maneuvers - many of them non- or even anti-partisan - can be found in Polemical Judo.
Meanwhile, my main crit of Newsom is that there are SO many more zinger memes that his people - or even the Lincoln Project - have never considered. And I have troves of them. A Mother Lode.
Troves.
====================================================
PS: While Newsom is doing great at getting under their skins... I still can't believe no one is pushing the video and lyrics... and lesson... of John Fogerty's song Vanz Can't Dance... about the eponymous thieving pig who stole Fogerty's fortune. Play it. Spread it. We need to be ready for when it is the turn of the next monster to assail our great experiment in sapient civilization.
=====
PPS: A genuine, real-but-not-blackmailed hyper right winger, even Bolton had enough when he realized he was working for an idiot who worked for the slightly relabeled and revived USSR, helping the "ex" commissars wage 5th column war against the USA and the West. I am way further down than Bolton on the revenge list of ol Two Scoops. But he'll get to me before most of you. And I am easier to take out, on the street. Still, I am willing to die on this hill. With the grim irony of knowing we need the widest coalition, and that John Bolton now wears blue.
=====
* Any of you who are tempted to rail against "DNC moderates" or "lukewarm semi-liberals" should try to actually know what you are talking about! Aided vigorously by the pragmatic left, like Bernie, Liz, AOC, Stacey, Pete etc. the despised Nancy Pelosi wrought miracles! A set of bills that moved important things forward. And look at the last three DNC chairs before you snarl about "DNC establishment sellouts."
And YOU need to slap - hard! - any splitters who yowl that 'the party establishments are the same!' Or only a sharp turn to the left will lure back the millions of Blacks and Hispanics whose departure left Trump the presidency. The parties aren't the same at any level. And splitters only help the forces of darkness.
Know about those Miracle Bills, before you try any of that crap. Or STFU and let us rebuild a broad coalition.
There is one way I would bend enough to support a CA ballot measure causing our house districts to be redrawn to favor Democrats. It must be stated that the new district map stays in effect while Texas continues to gerrymander their house districts. It must be explicit in the authorization that we revert to our older maps the moment Texas adopts a non-partisan approach similar in effect to what the people of California adopted when we stripped our state legislature of the authority to draw these districts.
ReplyDeleteIf that wording is not explicitly stated, I’m going to vote against it. However, there is also a way to convince me to avoid campaigning against it even with my eventual ‘No’ vote. IF Governor Newsom states openly that Democrats in our red House districts SHOULD reregister as Republicans NOW in order to have a say in the upcoming GOP primaries, I’ll quietly grumble about why we aren’t doing that INSTEAD of inflicting ourselves with cancer and not agitate. Much.
If our neighbors in red districts re-register NOW, they can have a say in the election that actually matters whether or not our districts get re-drawn. Re-register NOW… and then pick a GOP candidate who isn’t batshit insane over one that is. In the November election… vote however you want for your House seat.
Texas Democrats should be urged to do the same if only to avoid being purged from voter roles next.
https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11734
ReplyDeleteThere are a number of precedents that can be challenged in the next Congress. SCOTUS is pretty clear that it doesn't have a lot of power in determining who gets seated. They have previously spoken regarding what qualifications may be considered to reject incoming members-elect, but the Constitution clearly lays the judicial power for seating challenges within the appropriate congressional chamber.
The House refused to seat a polygamist from Utah in 1900. They also refused to seat a corrupt Democrat from NY in 1967 even after he won the special election for the seat left vacant and got re-elected next time. The NY democrat was refused a seat for an entire term while his court case worked through the system and he eventually won it.
DeleteI ask my fellow Californians to pay attention to the longer risks. Tit for tat responses can fail when your opponent gets you to respond in exactly the way they actually want.
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteAlfred Differ:
ReplyDeleteIt must be stated that the new district map stays in effect while Texas continues to gerrymander their house districts. It must be explicit in the authorization that we revert to our older maps the moment Texas adopts a non-partisan approach
The way I've been hearing it, the proposed redistricting has a sunset date. I think it was 2032, which would be the first elections after the new census. Not sure if that meets your criteria, but it does indicate to me that it's an emergency response to a specific threat, and not meant to keep Democrats in power against the will of the voters.
The House refused to seat a polygamist from Utah in 1900. They also refused to seat a corrupt Democrat from NY in 1967...
I see a difference between an already-sitting House rejecting individual newcomers vs an entire state delegation being ousted before a Speaker is even elected.
Re-register NOW… and then pick a GOP candidate who isn’t batshit insane over one that is.
The reason I'm in favor of a tit-for-tat approach is because in today's politics, the "R" matters more than whether an individual congressman is insane or not. What matters is whether they'll elect and support a Trump sycophant as Speaker and vote for whatever insane power grabs Trump wants.
If you can find Republicans who won't do that, go with God. But I'm not thinking you will find such animals.
I ask my fellow Californians to pay attention to the longer risks.
That's a good point, and one which might keep me from going nuts if the initiative fails. My Summer Daydream is that Texas has dummymandered themselves such that in a blue wave, they actually lose some of the watered-down Republican districts. And I'd hate for California or New York or Illinois to self-inflict the same sort of wounds.
I do note that in other contexts, you've lectured that we can't go making rules to prevent any possible sorts of future malfeasance, and that we should stick to remedying the ones that bad actors actually commit. I wonder why you take the opposite approach in this situation.
I just minutes ago finished addressing a joint session of the California Democratic Party's Technology and Business SIGS. We have vigorously active and sincere folks out there striving hard for voter registration and sane legislation and much else!
ReplyDeleteA legislative aid clarified. The bill DID have a clause "when Texas stops, we'll stop." That provision was withdrawn for some legal reasons, so the bill just says "We go back to neutral districts after the 2030 census. And word is that OR, WA, CO and NM will soon follow suit. And one blessing will be to dump the horrid Darryl Issa!
When a lefty primaries an establishment Dem, as AOC did, it can simply be evolution rewarding the talented, tho the Dem NYC candidate is disturbing.
When MAGAs primary a reasonable Rebublican it is to render that category extinct.
Hence re registering GOP - if thousands do it - can make more likely difference than the other way. But the main purpose is to protect you from being purged! And to mess up all their calculations. And - MAYBE - save some rep who shows residual patriotic spine.
tho the Dem NYC candidate is disturbing
DeleteWhat made Mamdani disturbing to you?
And why the other three candidates are not?
(Other: Adams, Cuomo, the GOP Guy.)
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteAdams, Cuomo, and the other GOP Guy have strong negatives, Adams being a literal tool of weaponized prosecution or non-prosecution, as the case may be, Cuomo being a sex pest and killer of the elderly, and the other GOP Guy being a straight-up vigilante. But Mamdani is a socialist, even to the point of being a DSA member. It is impossible to stress how reflexive and knee-jerk antisocialism is in America, and in particularly with the Democratic Party machine, which way back in the 1940s dropped Henry Wallace in favor of Harry Truman as the moribund Franklin Roosevelt's running mate. From the party bosses' perspective, the strong negatives of literal ex-Democrats Adams and Cuomo are unambiguously a lesser evil than a profession of socialist sympathies.
DeletePerhaps Dr. Brin sees AOC as evolving talent and Mamdani as disturbing because the former recently voted in favor of an aid package for Israel (for defensive purposes, they say). For most of postwar American political history, Israel has been described as a "third rail" issue. No politician dared question that relationship. Israel was aligned with America and the PLO was aligned with the Soviets, as was Egypt under Nasser. Criticism of Israel could be very easily and cheaply redbaited out of the discourse. At this point in history (in my opinion) the pro-Israel is an inherently right-of-center position (as Israel itself has become an extremely right wing country), and voters who are strongly pro-Israel are almost all Republican voters, and this is definitely part of the reason Harris' staunch pro-Israel position was a deal-breaker for so many voters, say, in my home state, Michigan. Hopefully Michigan will follow NYC's lead and adopt ranked-choice voting. Right now there's a ballot proposal for it in the works, and of course the Republican majority in the state house is moving very aggressively to strangle it in the cradle.
From last post, Larry Hart noted that:
ReplyDeleteA rainbow crosswalk honouring the victims of the 2016 Pulse nightclub shooting in Florida, Orlando, has been painted over by the state's department of transportation.
The crosswalk was part of a larger memorial to the 49 people who were killed after a gunman opened fire at the gay nightclub in June 2016, in what was then the largest mass shooting in US history.
It can now be reported that the local community have since responded with chalk paint...
Mamdami has been bizarrely anti-semitic-adjacent for a fellow trying to be mayor of that particular city. But my impression is not very well-informed about that.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteThat would be a reason I could understand.
DeleteI for my part try to stay apart of the Palestine/Israel conflict other than saying that though Israel ist our nominal ally, there are genocidal fascists on both sides of the conflict.
I also am not well informed as to why Mamdani is considered anti-Semitic. But my impression is that he has sympathies for the Palestinians suffering in Gaza, which can then be construed as anti-Israel, which in turn can be easily portrayed as anti-Semitic.
DeleteAll that is probably a feint to make him dislikeable, the real reason being that his policies would not be approved of by the rich and powerful.
At least remove, the mayor of New York City has little influence over US foreign policy. His position on Israel doesn't mean much except as an ad hominem way to smear him.
genocidal fascists on both sides of the conflict.
DeleteIsrael's Likud government and supporters are fast becoming the abused child who decides that the only way to avoid being in that position is to become a the abuser himself.
I am on board with looking at the Holocaust and insisting "Never again!", but to me, that means never countenancing that sort of dehumanizing of a people again--any people. There are others for whom it means doing unto others so that they can't do unto us. That seems to be the prevailing attitude that keeps Likud in power in Israel.
@Larry: It is even more insidious. By even criticising Israel for "eye-for-an-eye" policies (which it isn't anymore, looking at the death toll), Netanjahu supporters accuse you of using the old jewish revanchism antisemitic trope.
DeleteIt has becomes a shield for fascists.
I propose that we retire the term 'anti-semitism' for its double inaccuracy. The term "anti-semitism" is inaccurate in that it means "against the Semite race", which includes both Jews and Arabs, which makes Netanyahu and Likud as anti-semitic as Hamas. The term is also inaccurate because the human race is one. 19th-century Europeans insisted on the existence of multiple human races to justify imperialism: but 21st-century DNA sequencing has refuted that pseudoscientific claim. No continent is given over to any single gene, and no gene is confined to any one continent. Instead H. Sapiens is a young species - only 70,000 years since the Toba explosion made us an endangered species - and we interbreed so thoroughly that many of us have Neanderthal or Denisovian genes. H. Floresiensis went extinct before we got there, or some of us would now be part hobbit.
DeleteI propose that we replace the doubly-inaccurate term "antisemitism" with "Jew-hatred", or if you don't like the rawness of that, "Judeophobia", to echo "Islamophobia". (Also because fear is less glamorous than hatred.)
Neither is mine tbh. I have many biases. I may well have a blind spot for the "antisemitism of the left" that so many conservatives and moderates insist is a thing. I certainly scold and unfollow all lefties and proggies who use rhetoric like "Jewish lobby" or "Zionist entity." I have zero reason to believe Mr. Mamdani engages in that kind of rhetoric, but I'm a non-local and merely casual observer of whatever is going on in New York.
ReplyDeleteDr Brin:
ReplyDeleteAnd one blessing will be to dump the horrid Darryl Issa!
I honestly didn't realize he was still alive, let alone still a congressman.
Wasn't there a Republican congresswoman in the last Government who hadn't been seen in Washington for years, and was finally found to have been moved into a geriatric facility?
DeleteLorraine:
ReplyDeleteAdams, Cuomo, and the other GOP Guy have strong negatives,
Adams and Cuomo might as well be GOP guys. Trump supports them, not only against Mamdani but against charges of corruption.
In the Chicago mayoral races, there's always tough-on-crime white dude who runs against the favorite as the Democrat that Republicans can vote for. Cuomo seems to be running in that lane in New York.
DeleteAdams!?
DeleteI know him
Let me see
Wasn't he facing all those corruption charges?
Dropped, for a fee,
by Trump's SCJ.
And the state officials resigning rather than enact the order.
Timeline Reference from CBS.
DeleterumpT seems to be pro-corruption in government; he's not only supported obviously crooked GQP politicians like Texas' AG Paxton, who is so corrupt that other TX republicans wanted to get rid of him (an amazing feat), but pardoned Democratic ex-Gov Blagojevich and got NYC Mayor Eric Adam's charges dropped (at which a number of Justice Dept lawyers resigned in protest.)
ReplyDeleteTo anyone wondering why, there may be 2 reasons:
1) he literally does not see corruption by public officials as a crime. Any official who is NOT wetting his beak is a fool in the rumpT book.
2) he prefers to have minions who can be threatened with exposure and arrest, which makes them easier to control (cf. Dr. Brin's theorem of a blackmailed Federal apparatus).
These are not mutually exclusive. As I recall reading in an earlier life, the British Empire often worked through 'native' rulers - Rajahs, Sultans, etc. - and appreciated a really vile and greedy personage, as such were forced to remain loyal to and rely on British support against their abused populace.
Pappenheimer
P.S. there's no reason a politician can't be 'tough on crime' (blue collar) and totally down with white collar malfeasance.
Of course he is pro-corruption. He is corruption personified. Everything is personal to Trump.
Delete
Delete...pardoned Democratic ex-Gov Blagojevich
Blago's wife lobbied intensely for his pardon, and it wouldn't surprise me if she appealed to Trump's vanity with words or other favors.
and got NYC Mayor Eric Adam's charges dropped
He wanted to drop the charges "without prejudice", meaning they could reinstate the charges again if Adams didn't toe the line. Instead, the judge dropped the charges with prejudice, meaning they didn't have that hold over Adams any longer.
I'd guess that DJT cares about the Mayor's race in NYC because so many of his crimes fall in that jurisdiction. A Republican mayor would probably be too much for him to ask for, but a compliant fellow-travelling Democrat would be preferable (from his POV) to a left-wing populist like Mamdani.
there's no reason a politician can't be 'tough on crime' (blue collar) and totally down with white collar malfeasance.
Delete"Tough on crime" is a visceral issue which is code for "making (white) people feel safe on the streets" with an overtone of "harsh revenge against those who make (white) people feel unsafe on the streets."
Financial crimes just don't trigger the reptile brain in that manner.
Financial crimes just don't trigger the reptile brain in that manner.
DeleteI sometimes think they feel entitled to it. Being "better people", being above the law, which is only for the plebs.
The unbridled scaling up of generative AI infrastructure is the paperclip thought experiment reified.
ReplyDeleteToday only - the entire UPLIFT STORM TRILOGY (e-books) is on-sale for $4.99. That's a trio of great adventures across five galaxies, with wildly original aliens... and dolphins... and 'illegal refugees'... and Big Ideas.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-uplift-storm-trilogy-david-brin/1139190454
https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Items/Aug24-1.html
ReplyDeleteD.W. in Bloomfield, NJ, writes: I think Gavin needs to call up Arnold and tell him "Look, I agree with you about gerrymandering, and I'm not fighting with Republicans here. I'm fighting fascists, and I think you're on board with that. We need to defeat the fascists first, and then we need to fight for a nationwide ban on gerrymandering. It just won't work if only ethical states are ethical."
The last sentence there mirrors my thinking. Maybe more to the point, "It just won't work if the game allows unethicality to be a winning strategy."
In (American) football, pass interference is penalized in a way that makes it cost more than it gains. In (rest of the world) football which is all about moving the ball without use of hands, touching the ball with your hands loses you the ball.
In either of these situations, if the rules allowed violations to occur without penalty, then cheating is a winning strategy. And it would be absurd to insist that your team play by the letter of the rules when the other team can always win by flaunting them. The team that asserts, "We'll stop cheating as soon as everyone is prevented from doing so," is not rigging the rules in their favor. They're preventing the other side from doing so.
Yes, that is the right way to look at it.
DeleteAbout the deceitful and dirty Texas GOP gerrymandering - it may backfire.
ReplyDeleteThe whole point of gerrymandering is to create safe districts with a minimum 5% voting edge.
However, if you spread that over too many districts, those margins dop to 1% to 2%.
At that point small changes in voter turn out can flip entire districts.
@Celt,
DeleteYes, especially if they're relying on Republican votes from 2024.
The voice in my head which agrees with Alfred that blue states shouldn't resort to the dirty tricks Republicans use would love to see Republicans tricks backfire on them as you describe. It's also why I don't advocate that my home state of Illinois try to gerrymander our maps any further. They're probably already gerrymandered at peak Democrat.
No doubt, Republicans will resort to secondary efforts to depress the Democratic vote in their states, like purging rolls, rigging machines, and using ICE to intimidate voters. I think we're at the point in The Magnificent Seven where the good guys understand that they can't just make the bad guys move on by making things a bit unpleasant for them. Rather this community is "the only game in town", and they'll do whatever they possibly can to win it.
What's chapping my jeans the most is that some large portion of the country seems to think that One Man Rule is a good idea. Isn't Vance a disciple of Moldbug's foretold 'enlightened despot'? And is Donald F. Trump, aging sociopathic nepo baby, that apotheosis of manliness and cool calculation? Or is he merely the John to the Jesus of, say, J D Vance, warming up just off stage?
ReplyDeleteI want a rewrite. This show is just badly crafted.
Pappenheimer
P.S. there will be losses, in human life and progress, in staggering number if this goes on. It's already begun.
'In either of these situations, if the rules allowed violations to occur without penalty, then cheating is a winning strategy.'
ReplyDeleteFirst 10mins of Rollerball has umpires and penalties.
Trump continues to escalate the non-situation in DC by its bootstraps: guardsmen are now patrolling with firearms.
ReplyDeleteNapoleon, on the Rue de Peletier, with a battery of cannon. Only Napoleon put his own * and had a horse shot out from under him. Got to give that bastard his due.
ReplyDeletePappenheimer, wondering what would have happened if Gen Smedley Butler had not told the Business Plotters to zark off.
Pappenheimer:
ReplyDeleteI want a rewrite. This show is just badly crafted.
That was true of "The Apprentice" as well. He must have had Mule powers even back then.
'the Trumpians now cheer as many thousands of masked-tattooed ex-cons rampage across the country without ever showing warrants or ID'
ReplyDeleteHow many thousands? --'thousands'? I quibble, though come to think of it, a fair amount of this post is looking fairly archaic, derogatory, and offensive.
Sealion off the starboard bow.
DeleteThis is not a race to the bottom, the CA redistricting proposal is measured response.
ReplyDeleteIt is projected to net 5 democratic seats which matches the projected 5 TX seats that will be lost. I've seen reports that a more aggressive redistricting could have removed all the GOP seats in CA. It should also be noted that the proposed CA map only affects federal house seats. If CA DEMS wanted to be more aggressive, they could have also redrawn the map for the state legislature, but chose not to.
DeleteI've seen reports that a more aggressive redistricting could have removed all the GOP seats in CA.
52 straight parallel rectangles from the coast to the eastern border of the state would likely accomplish that end.
It should also be noted that the proposed CA map only affects federal house seats. If CA DEMS wanted to be more aggressive, they could have also redrawn the map for the state legislature, but chose not to.
There is a move here in Illinois to make fairer maps, but only at the state legislature level. That's the only way such a thing could pass here while so many red states are gerrymandered in the opposite direction.
Talk about rules for me but not for thee. K.K.Karoline Leavitt asserts that the American government can't function if Von Schitzenpantz has to deal with co-equal branches of government.
ReplyDeleteWas there ever any assertions from either side that the congress and the judiciary must not interfere with President Biden's or President Obama's agenda? Heck, Mitch McConnell considered it his duty to interfere as much as possible.
Autocracy has no rules except the current whims of the rulers.
DeleteIt can't function with co-equal branches, eh?
DeleteHow *have* you guys managed for the past 249 years?
It's true. The current administration can,'t function without co-equal branches either.
DeleteKilmar Abrego Garcia has been arrested again, this time Noem wants to book him a flight to Uganda.
ReplyDeleteBTW, isn't it a crime in the US to falsely accuse a person of a crime? Or is It civil litigation only? Do a president's pardon powers extend to civil cases?
Kilmar Abrego Garcia has been arrested again,
DeleteThis is getting to be like A Tale of Two Cities, when Charles Evremonde (called Darnay) is found innocent and sympathetic by the mob, only to be re-arrested and sentenced for the same crimes the next day.
If only we could convince ICE that someone else is actually Abrego, so they'd ship the other guy off to Uganda instead of him. I'd nominate Nick Fuentes for the Sydney Carton role. "Tis a far, far better thing I do..."
Do a president's pardon powers extend to civil cases?
ReplyDeleteNo, they do not.
You like musical snark? Have you seen any of Randy Rainbow's takes on classic Broadway songs lampooning Cheetolini?
ReplyDeleteRandy Rainbow's takes on classic Broadway songs lampooning Cheetolini?
DeleteI haven't checked in on him for a while, but I used to during DJT's first term. I especially liked "I Am the Very Model of a Very Stable Gen-i-us".
I think it might have been under the last blog posting that Dr. B brought up the John Fogerty "Vanz Kant Danz." Finally remembered to check it out. Holy cow! How is nobody using this?
ReplyDeleteIt feels a bit like a Connie Willis time travel novel. I could imagine a "historian" from the future traveling back to 1985 to change the original title from Zanz Kant Danz.
But alas, folks are too swamped with the latest thing to bother reading or listening to what has already been said.
Actually this is fairly common on Bluesky. Search on "can't danz".
DeleteCan confirm, and... Gov.. Gavin Newsom has read the memo.
Delete(X link)
I'd like to propose a more appropriate WH ballroom for "Miller & Vought's meat puppet", just take a defunct Kmart and slather the interior with gold tone wall paper, he'll never know the difference.
ReplyDeleteIf only we could convince ICE that someone else is actually Abrego, so they'd ship the other guy off to Uganda instead of him. I'd nominate Nick Fuentes for the Sydney Carton role. "Tis a far, far better thing I do..."
ReplyDeleteLooking at our laws, we are already deep in genocide and crimes against humanity territory, which can be persecuted even if they are committed elsewere on the world.
So, imagine someone won a vacation over here for outstanding performance, and then got arrested upon arrival...
(To be honest, I have the distinct feeling the prosecutors would rather risk an indictment for themselves for bending the law and non-prosecution of a crime plus a political scandal than taking that case.)
I saw a newsletter today where Nate Silver is siding with the effort to redraw CA districts for the US House. The argument goes that gerrymandering is terrible, but going high when they always go low is worse.
ReplyDeleteOk. (Grumble.)
(Grumble.)
DeleteIf I was religious, I might have faith that going high would ultimately be vindicated and that God would insure that their overreach would be a dummymander that loses seats.
Unfortunately, I've gone more to the belief that, "There is no justice. There's just us." Not that I want to go low for its own sake (nor does Newsom), but that in order to win, we need to show strength rather than purity.
I’m not above a bit of violence against monstrous behaviors. It’s just that Putin and others like him benefit from this fight. I’m just inches away from willingly supporting a war.
Delete...a bit of violence...
DeleteTo be ready for an actual fight, we must go in with the understanding that we could lose, or that even if we win we could be hurt or killed. Jefferson actually said (or at least wrote) that the tree of liberty must from time to time be watered by the blood of tyrants and patriots. In a fighting war, there will be bloodshed on both sides, and the good guys aren't guaranteed to prevail.*
That said, I'm getting to the point where cowardice isn't even a winning strategy. I know they'll eventually come after me and mine, no matter how much I might try to go along to get along. I live a more comfortable life than probably most people on earth do, and if so inclined, I could make a case that I indeed have a lot to lose by getting myself into their sights, as opposed to staying out of politics and protests. But the carrot of continuing my creature comforts for another day, another week, another year, knowing all the time that the knock on the door will come , is no longer incentive enough to remain docile in the face of injustice.
I've never considered my self either brave or overly patriotic, but if the tree of liberty must be watered with my blood in order to save it, that's a better outcome than living under the raised jackboot for another decade or two.
And "There comes a time in every father's life...when he looks into his little girl's eyes and he knows, he must change the world for her."
* Growing up in the sixties, all the stories I heard about WWII were told with the hindsight knowledge that the allies won the war and the bad guys were defeated. It only occurred to me later that while the war was in progress, the outcome wasn't a done deal.
DeleteLarry,
Delete...we must go in with the understanding that we could lose...
Of course. We must also realize that we might win... or even become the monster we fight. Tyrants and Patriots. Yes. Quite.
But... the war I'm picturing isn't a civil war. If I were President, I'd be shifting troops to the Baltics and Poland... assuming they didn't mind. Fuck Putin. I'd politely point out to Xi that we'd block Security Council votes opposing them taking back parts of Siberia the Russians took in the 19th century and might even help them if they let Taiwan be for another couple generations.
I'm in a foul mood.
Larry Hart,
ReplyDeleteNot picking on you, just riffing off of "Not that I want to go low for its own sake (nor does Newsom), but that in order to win, we need to show strength rather than purity."
I'd rather "we need to do what's necessary to win" than "show strength." I really, really, really hate the trope that "we need someone strong who can make tough decisions," meaning we need someone that is a morally decrepit selfish asshole who has a penchant for doing shitty things. The correlation in so many peoples' minds that "strength" means doing unethical things, like cheating, being an asshole, doing illegal things. That's not strength. That's merely male human 101.
I'm pretty sure you don't mean it that way, but so many people do.
@Darrell E,
DeleteNot dismissing your point out of hand, but I'm not sure I see the difference between "show strength" and "do what's necessary" as far as warding off the interpretation that they mean "doing unethical things like cheating and being an asshole." Many people take your preferred phrase that way as well.
For the record, what I meant by "we need to show strength rather than purity," is that we have to demonstrate that we can potentially win a battle before they'll agree not to have the battle. If our only argument is "battle is a bad thing," that won't stop them from engaging in them.
Is repeated games of prisoner dilemma an accurate description of the politics between the DEMs and GOP?
ReplyDeleteIf so, then isn't tit-for-tat with occasional forgiveness the optimal strategy?
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DeleteYes.
DeleteWhen they go low, we go low. When they go high. we go high. Plus occasional forgiveness. That's Game Theory 101.
A reminder that chat robots are not AI and that tech-bros should be held liable for their fraudulent products.
ReplyDeletehttps://sfstandard.com/2025/08/26/family-blames-sam-altman-chatgpt-teen-son-s-suicide/
OpenAI sued after its chat bot "AI" encouraged and aided in 14-year-old kids suicide.
I've seen the filing (can't reprint here due to copy-write issues with Lexus) and the quotes from the OpenAI chatbot are utterly horrific. The chatbot taught the kid how to succeed at hanging himself, and it gave encouragement to do so.
I hope Sam Altman dies penniless.
There are no good billionaires.
@matthew,
DeleteOn Stephanie Miller's show, they were speculating that people would start asking AI whether their spouses were cheating on them, and then filing for divorce based on the response.
That was bad enough, but your example is so much worse.
Having "AI" added to Excel spreadsheets *with a caveat that the numbers may not be reliable* is terrifying to me.
DeleteSome of the stuff I use Excel for can get people killed if the numbers are not reliable. All it would take is one idiot MBA using Microsoft's fake "AI" and overriding an engineer on safety...
I guarantee this is happening somewhere at this minute.
Having "AI" added to Excel spreadsheets *with a caveat that the numbers may not be reliable*
DeleteTo what end is this being done? Weren't the numbers reliable the way they were?
Larry,
DeleteImagine asking an AI to fetch the latest US public debt figures to update our hosts' observation about the second derivative or curvature of the graph... and getting fabricated numbers that re-enforced your existing bias. That's the kind of danger that exists.
AI's can hallucinate. Small ones do it often enough to be obvious that we often avoid trusting them, but the bigger ones will tempt us by being right much of the time.
Churchill describes the moment in WWII when he was advised the USA was entering the war as a feeling of utter relief - that there had been little chance of victory for Britain until then.
ReplyDeletePappenheimer
And yet the Commonwealth persevered alone for those early years. What would have happened if they hadn't?
DeleteEventually, the Soviet Union would have been defeated, under great costs, or be driven behind the Ural. England would have sued for peace and getting a reprieve until that would have happened, maybe having to give up colonies in Africa. Maybe Mosley would have been become PM, but I doubt that.
DeleteStable Oil sources might have given the Reich some reprieve, but truth is, both the losses in material and human lives so far would have not changed much about the fact that it was bankrupt.
In the end, they would try to invade Great Britain with nuclear bombs at their disposal this time. King, government and parliament might flee to Canada, and govern the empire from exile.
On the other side of the world, Japan might have been crushed faster by the US; maybe not, especially if the nuclear bombs were shared. Another thought would be that since the European part of the USSR was conquered, they might take a bite from Siberia or focus their eyes on Australia and New Zealand.
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DeleteEventually, the Soviet Union would have been defeated, under great costs, or be driven behind the Ural. England would have sued for peace and getting a reprieve until that would have happened,
DeleteThat mirrors the backstory of Robert Harris's alternate history novel Fatherland. The Nazis had successfully cut Moscow off from its oil fields and counteracted the Brits' cracking of Enigma so as to starve the island into submission. The action of the novel takes place in a 1964 in which all of western Europe is a kind of EU with Germany in charge, and Germany has been in a cold war with the US for 20 years.
On the eve of Hitler's 75th birthday, Germany needs for the US to stop supplying weapons to the Russians who are resisting Germany's push east for Lebensraum, and to that end, are planning a state visit from President Kennedy--only late in the book do we see which Kennedy is president.
And meanwhile, a high-ranking elder Nazi official has been murdered...
Harris's novel also has some cute one-off details. One I remember is that King Edward and Queen Wallis nominally reign in England.
DeleteThe notion that the US wouldn't enter WWII is quite a stretch. The real question was whether or not we'd enter before Britain had to sue for peace.
DeleteThere is no realistic scenario where the USSR wouldn't have sacrificed another 20 million souls to defeat the Nazis. German supply lines couldn't support Hitler's ambitions and he was taking non-functional economies in the nations he crushed.
There is no realistic scenario where the US could have stayed out. Our grand strategy began to change in 1873 when the Spanish chased us away from supporting a rebellion in Cuba because we didn't have any functional ironclads at the time. Our PEOPLE thought like isolationists, but our leadership switched over within a generation turning us into a maritime power. We could NOT afford to let the Nazis dominate the Atlantic and HAD to come to the defense of the British Navy at least.
Alfred's right about our sea lanes and entering the war generally - the USN was already fighting a pretty little undeclared war in the North Atlantic against U-boats before any declaration of war, as Nazi* skippers complained to Doenitz about. The AVG contesting Chinese airspace with Japan (these were 'mercenary' pilots with 'donated' P-40s).
ReplyDeleteI've discussed this with actual historians back in my day and without the Pearl Harbor crushing victory/horrific blunder, US entry would have been delayed at least a year. Even with Pearl, it took Hitler's declaration of war against the US to ensure US declaration of war against Germany, which pretty ,much led Hitler to that Berlin bunker in a straight line.
In the East, even though it was Russian manpower being sacrificed, it took huge US/UK logistical support to keep the USSR in the war and strong enough to counterattack. Please note that Lend/Lease was initiated BEFORE the US was an active combatant.
* not all Nazis, I have to admit.
Pappenheimer
Iowan republicans have just lost their supermajority.
ReplyDelete(always assuming they don't use their current supermajority to overturn the result: a 22% voting swing is clearly somebody playing shenanigans!)
Just realised that, if this trend goes down in Texas in 14 months (a ways off, I know), they will be looking *very* foolish.
DeleteThere are two types of gerrymandering. In Texas it's cram all the urban dems together in one district with one rep per entire city. But there's also - when things are more even - by creating districts with 'small but comfortable' GOP majorities, if dems don't show up much more at the polls. Such distrcts are actually quite vulnerable if there's a moderately big swing.
ReplyDeleteAlfred is right about WWII. The more scientists flee to America the more doomed the Nazis and Japanese imperialists become.
One can observe the effect of an exodus of scientists here and now. It will be worse in the future, even if fascists are driven out of government I don't expect us to regain those losses in my lifetime.
DeleteAlfred Differ:
ReplyDeleteThe notion that the US wouldn't enter WWII is quite a stretch. The real question was whether or not we'd enter before Britain had to sue for peace.
I hadn't understood until quite recently how much of an isolationist movement there was here in the US before Pearl Harbor. And while some of that was merely corporations wanting to continue doing business with Germany, some was also barely-disguised Nazi sympathy.
Given that, and with the hindsight of what is going on in the US today, was there any chance of the US entering the war on the Axis side? Especially once the USSR was their enemy?
"I hadn't understood until quite recently how much of an isolationist movement there was here in the US before Pearl Harbor." Yeah, FDR had already neutered the isolationists staring in 1938 with the Naval Act of 1938, despite the Bund rally in NYC in 02/1939. Then the Two Ocean Act of 07/1940. Add in the Selective Service Act on 09/1940. Plus, his Fireside chat of 12/1940. Then drove a stake into the movement in early 1941 with the Neutrality Patrol and Lend Lease. Polls in the summer of 1941showed that the American public knew the US entry war was 'when' and not 'if'.
DeleteAnd while the AVG arrived in the East in the spring of1941, they did not fly a combat mission until after Pearl Harbor.
FDR HATED Germans in general (read "The Strategists" by Phillips O'Brien) and AH in particular. With him holding the office of the President, there is no chance of the USA joining the Axis unless one invokes "alien space bats". Wilkie, too, was an 'interventionist". Lindbergh would have stood no chance as a third-party candidate.
Alfred Differ:
ReplyDeleteWe must also realize that we might win... or even become the monster we fight. Tyrants and Patriots. Yes. Quite.
Becoming the monster we fight is indeed a possibility--look at Netanyahu's Israel for example. Furthermore, the women in my family are surprising me with their increasing bloodthirstiness toward Republicans. A 1941 Captain America (portrayed in the early 1970s) could want to "still be the good guys when we win." I'm not so sure that's entirely possible in today's situation, when the very mechanisms of law and justice are corrupted.
That said, I think we're interpreting Jefferson's "tyrants and patriots" remark differently. I don't take him to mean that both camps are equally bad and must be fought against in order to maintain (the tree of) liberty. I take him as saying that maintaining liberty requires occasional fights against the tyrants, and that for that to happen, patriots must inevitably also make sacrifices in the process.
If I were President, I'd be shifting troops to the Baltics and Poland... assuming they didn't mind.
Unfortunately, the current occupant of that office is so not interested in anything of the kind. He's more interested in shifting troops to Los Angeles and Chicago...intending that we very much do mind.
Fuck Putin. I'd politely point out to Xi that we'd block Security Council votes opposing them taking back parts of Siberia the Russians took in the 19th century and might even help them if they let Taiwan be for another couple generations.
Your Mike Doonesbury's Summer Daydreams are better than mine. :)
I'm in a foul mood.
That mood is appropriate to the times, and you at least channel it creatively.
maintaining liberty requires occasional fights against the tyrants, and that for that to happen, patriots must inevitably also make sacrifices in the process.
DeleteI'm reminded that it was after the Russian puppet president of Ukraine in 2014 had snipers kill "100 martyrs" in Kiev that the parliament had enough and (constitutionally) ousted him from office, eventually leading to Zilenskyy's election. The 100 martyrs would be examples of patriots whose blood was necessary to water the tree of liberty. Not because they were a threat, but because a fight was necessary.
Or a fictional example. In The Postman, Dena's female scouts were brutally slaughtered by the Holinsts, which set off a chain of events leading to...well, to the climax (no spoiler). The tree of liberty was watered by the blood of Holnists and Corvallians (if that's a word).
No. I think we are reading Jefferson the same way. I have no issues with your paraphrasing of him.
DeleteThe women around me are also turning bloodthirsty. It’s not guys with guns the maggot fools should worry about.
https://www.threads.com/@harryjsisson/post/DN1aTkSYhCV
ReplyDeleteMAGA is having the weirdest possible reaction to Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce getting engaged. Charlie Kirk just said “Submit to your husband, Taylor. You're not in charge.” These freaks need to go outside and touch grass!
Taylor Swift should have a wedding reception at Cracker Barrel. That might cause enough MAGAt heads to explode that they wouldn't be around to vote in 2026.
I'm reasonably sure the K. C. metro, while no Chicago, can do better than Cracker Barrel. Some of the better choices might annoy MAGAts even more.
Delete"These freaks need to go outside and touch grass!"
DeleteThese freaks need to be kissed by a girl, maybe have a girlfriend, or actually get laid.
Nothing more dangerous than a young male who is not getting laid.
These are the guys that become MAGA and suicide bombers.
What women deserve that sort of mate?
DeleteEd Murrow and Walt Cronkite reporting from "This is London..." during the Blitz made a huge difference in public attitudes.
ReplyDeleteThere's one scenario for a reversed alliance. IF Republicans regained the White House in 1940 AND IF Stalin never purged the Soviet officer corps and hence the USSR resisted competently from the start AND the Prusiian officers killed Hitler... then it is conceivable the US would have supported Japan striking the USSR from the East... All of which seem totally unlikely.
Without Pearl Harbor the US fleet would have rushed to MacArthur's aid and gone to the bottom with the entire 1st Marine Division. But no, FDR did not seek the Pearl calamity.
Hellerstein:
ReplyDeleteI propose that we retire the term 'anti-semitism' for its double inaccuracy. The term "anti-semitism" is inaccurate in that it means "against the Semite race", which includes both Jews and Arabs, ...
While your analysis is factually correct, I think you're running up against Asimov's "We've known for centuries that 'oxygen' is a misnomer, but what can you do?"
Also, I will point out that today's MAGA Republicans hate both Jews and Arabs, making them true anti-Semites.
...21st-century DNA sequencing has refuted that pseudoscientific claim...
They don't loathe Jews on account of DNA. The treatment of Jews as a despised "other" long predated any kind of genetic science. They used to blame us for killing Jesus*. Or for lending money at interest. Or for secretly controlling the world. Genetics has very little to do with it.
I propose that we replace the doubly-inaccurate term "antisemitism" with "Jew-hatred"
Dave Sim insisted on Judenhass. It sounds better in the original German.
* To mangle DJT, Christians should be thanking us for killing Jesus, which as I understand it is the only thing that allows their souls to be granted salvation. They should be coming up to us with tears in their eyes, going "Sir, sir, thank you for saving my eternal soul."
(Did I say that or think it?)
A Second American Civil war would not be like the first.
ReplyDeleteIt would be more like The Troubles in Northern Ireland.
And like the Troubles, it would last for decades.
That’s an understatement. We’d burn the world with us.
DeleteWow. The Spacex Superheavy+Ship mission was spectacular and stunningly competent. And visually amazing, especially when both parts landed gently in the ocean with pinpoint accuracy on opposite sides of the world.
ReplyDeleteScott Manley is the best observer/analyst:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kZw2vyZNz5I
And I refuse to let political bitchiness get in the way of my appreciation of great American technical competence. While many of humanity's forward possibilities are being (temporarily!) stymied right now by betrayers against modernity, our progress OUTWARD continues...
... though I still think "Artemis" is dumb to the point of deliberate treason...
Manley just quit his day job (retired?) to do what he’s doing. Bright guy.
ReplyDeleteThat flight was fun to watch. Also kinda fun was watching Musk’s people communicate the vision better than he did. He did fine enough but his folks are bought into the vision. That matters a lot.